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Game Recap
CAR3
FinalWed, May 24, 2023PlayoffsEvery game that night
FLA4

FLA beat CAR 4-3, and the chances backed it up: 4.12 expected goals to 3.15. CAR outshot FLA 39 to 24. M. Tkachuk led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). S. Bobrovsky stopped 36 of 39.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
CAR1113
FLA2114
  1. 1st 0:41FLAA. Duclair0.21 xG
  2. 1st 10:23FLAM. TkachukPP0.21 xG
  3. 1st 13:03CARP. Stastny0.02 xG
  4. 2nd 2:51CART. Teravainen0.02 xG
  5. 2nd 9:49FLAR. Lomberg0.14 xG
  6. 3rd 16:38CARJ. Fast0.16 xG
  7. 3rd 19:55FLAM. TkachukPP0.22 xG

Team Stats

CARFLA
39Shots on goal24
3.15Expected goals4.12
73Shot attempts52
295v5 shots on goal19
0/4Power play2/4
33Hits22
12Blocked shots24
10Penalty minutes10
7Giveaways17
3Takeaways5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

CAR 3.15 xGFLA 4.12 xGGoal

012341st2nd3rdFLA goal, 0:41FLA goal, 10:23CAR goal, 13:03CAR goal, 2:51FLA goal, 9:49CAR goal, 16:38FLA goal, 19:55

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

CAR38 on goal, 3 scored
FLA24 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

CAR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
J. MartinookLW022211+1217:450:16
J. FastRW1013210017:162:51
T. TeravainenC1013000016:563:26
P. StastnyC101121+1014:311:24
J. KotkaniemiC011110008:203:11
S. JarvisRW0002110020:574:23
J. StaalC0001500219:372:30
S. AhoC0005400219:154:35
M. NecasC0003200017:464:29
M. MacEachernLW000020+1013:130:00
J. DruryC0004100010:443:22
S. NoesenRW000100003:430:38
B. SkjeiD0222113+2025:400:14
J. ChatfieldD011000+1015:120:00
B. PesceD0003020025:510:38
B. BurnsD0005120424:554:31
S. GostisbehereD000301-1020:533:32
J. SlavinD000000000:460:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
F. Andersen24204.83359:55Loss
A. Raanta000–0:00

FLA Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
A. BarkovC022242+1022:154:01
M. TkachukLW202420-2218:484:45
S. ReinhartC0111120022:354:39
C. VerhaegheC011200+1218:142:10
A. DuclairLW101210+1013:341:03
R. LombergLW101121009:580:00
E. StaalC011001009:050:00
C. WhiteC011022005:330:00
S. BennettC000640-2018:584:45
A. LundellC0002100016:021:49
N. CousinsC000103-2012:150:00
E. LuostarinenC000002027:321:05
G. ForslingD011002+2024:251:23
A. EkbladD011012+1022:562:30
B. MontourD000103-2021:565:22
M. StaalD000101-3017:290:00
R. GudasD0001420417:210:13
J. MahuraD0000010013:040:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
S. Bobrovsky39363.92360:00Win
A. Lyon000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.