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Game Recap
CAR4
Final/SOTue, Mar 7, 2023Every game that night
MTL3

CAR beat MTL 4-3 in a shootout, and the chances backed it up: 3.64 expected goals to 2.59. CAR outshot MTL 39 to 24. M. Pezzetta led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). F. Andersen stopped 13 of 14.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdSOT
CAR11114
MTL21003
  1. 1st 10:17MTLA. Belzile0.40 xG
  2. 1st 16:16MTLM. Hoffman0.12 xG
  3. 1st 16:31CARJ. Slavin0.07 xG
  4. 2nd 1:00CARB. Skjei0.23 xG
  5. 2nd 2:49MTLM. Pezzetta0.12 xG
  6. 3rd 16:22CARJ. Fast0.22 xG

Team Stats

CARMTL
39Shots on goal24
3.64Expected goals2.59
84Shot attempts45
295v5 shots on goal23
0/2Power play0/4
11Hits17
9Blocked shots24
10Penalty minutes6
8Giveaways19
8Takeaways4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

CAR 3.64 xGMTL 2.59 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.541st2nd3rdOTMTL goal, 10:17MTL goal, 16:16CAR goal, 16:31CAR goal, 1:00MTL goal, 2:49CAR goal, 16:22

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

CAR38 on goal, 3 scored
MTL24 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

CAR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
T. TeravainenC011200-1017:470:51
J. FastRW101121+1015:070:00
D. StepanC011211007:220:00
P. StastnyC011000007:200:48
S. AhoC0003020221:251:54
M. NecasC000402-1020:501:59
A. SvechnikovRW0002200419:021:58
J. KotkaniemiC000210-1017:190:55
J. MartinookLW000220+1016:030:00
S. JarvisRW0002010015:570:45
J. StaalC000101+1215:280:00
S. NoesenRW000110008:321:22
B. PesceD022211+2022:380:00
J. SlavinD1015000026:530:00
B. SkjeiD101210+1021:230:05
B. BurnsD000400+1226:280:54
S. GostisbehereD000300-2018:112:00
J. ChatfieldD000100-207:150:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Raanta1082.80020:00
F. Andersen14131.92945:00Win

MTL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
A. BelzileRW112100+1210:410:31
C. TierneyC022100+109:380:03
M. PezzettaLW112240+108:280:02
M. HoffmanC101203+1018:224:08
J. DrouinLW0110100017:582:41
N. SuzukiC000301-1024:354:08
J. AndersonRW000211+1218:533:52
R. Harvey-PinardLW000313-1018:133:13
J. YlonenRW000100-1017:142:40
R. PitlickC000010-1016:401:52
D. GurianovRW000220-1015:112:46
C. DvorakC0001010014:460:46
M. MathesonD000321-2027:534:19
D. SavardD000013-2022:300:06
J. HarrisD0000030019:120:00
J. EdmundsonD000013+2018:140:04
J. KovacevicD0001320017:450:00
C. WidemanD000203+2212:472:54
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
J. Allen39363.92365:00OT loss
S. Montembeault000–0:00