Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!
Game Recap
CAR2
Final/OTSat, Apr 27, 2024PlayoffsEvery game that night
NYI3

NYI beat CAR 3-2 in overtime, with the chances close: 3.12 expected goals to 3.50. CAR outshot NYI 44 to 35. M. Barzal led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). S. Varlamov stopped 42 of 44.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOT2OTT
CAR101002
NYI011013
  1. 1st 8:00CARS. JarvisPP0.31 xG
  2. 2nd 10:10NYIM. Barzal0.02 xG
  3. 3rd 1:38NYIJ. PageauPP0.34 xG
  4. 3rd 14:08CARS. NoesenPP0.11 xG
  5. 2OT 1:24NYIM. Barzal0.07 xG

Team Stats

CARNYI
44Shots on goal35
3.50Expected goals3.12
91Shot attempts77
405v5 shots on goal30
2/4Power play1/2
26Hits40
18Blocked shots22
8Penalty minutes12
16Giveaways21
6Takeaways1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

CAR 3.50 xGNYI 3.12 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.51st2nd3rdOT2OTCAR goal, 8:00NYI goal, 10:10NYI goal, 1:38CAR goal, 14:08NYI goal, 1:24

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

CAR42 on goal, 2 scored
NYI34 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

CAR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
J. GuentzelC0112000225:273:06
S. JarvisRW1013120024:573:05
T. TeravainenC011101-1024:312:07
M. NecasC011211-1022:232:17
S. NoesenRW101220-1011:412:08
S. AhoC000332-1228:252:57
A. SvechnikovRW000330-1025:513:05
J. StaalC0002700020:570:07
J. MartinookLW0005010020:110:07
J. KotkaniemiC000410-1018:140:00
E. KuznetsovC0001000012:082:14
J. DruryC0001000011:310:00
D. OrlovD0003330229:070:00
J. ChatfieldD000211-1028:190:00
B. BurnsD0004130026:533:05
J. SlavinD0001020226:360:07
B. SkjeiD000032-2025:122:08
T. DeAngeloD000500-1021:150:07
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
F. Andersen35323.91481:08Loss
P. Kochetkov000–0:00

NYI Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
B. HorvatC022511+2027:462:53
M. BarzalC202410+2026:462:52
J. PageauC1014200022:140:46
A. LeeLW0113400419:451:25
B. NelsonC0001010026:252:51
K. PalmieriC0006200024:292:11
P. EngvallLW0001200024:230:47
C. CizikasC000142+1022:120:00
H. FaschingRW000111+1019:500:00
K. MacLeanC0000300014:080:00
C. ClutterbuckRW000020007:020:00
R. IskhakovC000001005:580:00
N. DobsonD011112+1432:551:30
A. PelechD0110660229:260:01
R. BortuzzoD011041+1214:250:00
A. RomanovD000331+2032:050:00
R. PulockD0002440030:290:44
M. ReillyD0003020021:222:10
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
S. Varlamov44422.95581:24Win
I. Sorokin000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.