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Game Recap
CAR3
FinalSun, May 5, 2024PlayoffsEvery game that night
NYR4

NYR beat CAR 4-3 despite fewer good chances: 1.92 expected goals to 2.70. M. Zibanejad led the way with 3 points (2 G, 1 A). I. Shesterkin stopped 22 of 25.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
CAR1023
NYR3014
  1. 1st 2:46NYRM. Zibanejad0.19 xG
  2. 1st 3:48CARJ. Slavin0.02 xG
  3. 1st 10:05NYRM. ZibanejadPP0.15 xG
  4. 1st 16:28NYRV. TrocheckPP0.15 xG
  5. 3rd 2:48CARM. Necas0.19 xG
  6. 3rd 8:21NYRA. Panarin0.08 xG
  7. 3rd 18:13CARS. Jarvis0.05 xG

Team Stats

CARNYR
25Shots on goal23
2.70Expected goals1.92
72Shot attempts44
145v5 shots on goal19
0/5Power play2/2
31Hits31
14Blocked shots28
8Penalty minutes12
8Giveaways10
4Takeaways6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

CAR 2.70 xGNYR 1.92 xGGoal

00.511.522.531st2nd3rdNYR goal, 2:46CAR goal, 3:48NYR goal, 10:05NYR goal, 16:28CAR goal, 2:48NYR goal, 8:21CAR goal, 18:13

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

CAR25 on goal, 3 scored
NYR22 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

CAR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
S. AhoC022130+2021:293:53
J. GuentzelC011514+2021:054:28
S. JarvisRW1013000018:184:31
M. NecasC1012100017:583:33
J. MartinookLW0110500013:570:02
A. SvechnikovRW000230+2419:373:30
T. TeravainenC000101-1015:453:44
J. DruryC0000110013:230:49
E. KuznetsovC0000200213:024:09
J. StaalC000362-1012:510:06
S. NoesenRW0000200011:223:30
J. KotkaniemiC0000110010:570:00
B. BurnsD011202+2022:543:58
D. OrlovD011120-1018:570:03
J. SlavinD101311+1017:530:06
B. SkjeiD000100+1020:154:11
J. ChatfieldD000011-1018:310:03
T. DeAngeloD0001210213:430:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
F. Andersen23194.82657:05Loss
P. Kochetkov000–0:00

NYR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
M. ZibanejadC213212+1016:130:23
V. TrocheckC112322-1220:280:23
C. KreiderLW022111+1215:250:23
A. PanarinLW101400-1017:040:23
A. LafrenièreLW011211-1012:150:00
J. RoslovicC011110+1011:330:00
A. WennbergC000112-1016:570:00
B. GoodrowC0000410014:400:00
W. CuylleLW000260-1013:570:00
K. KakkoRW000203-1013:000:00
J. VeseyLW0002110012:310:00
M. RempeC000130027:060:00
A. FoxD011012-2222:590:09
R. LindgrenD000001-2023:330:00
K. MillerD000002+1019:490:00
J. TroubaD0001560419:100:00
B. SchneiderD0000230019:100:00
E. GustafssonD000121+1015:290:14
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
I. Shesterkin25223.88060:00Win
J. Quick000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.