Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!
Game Recap
CAR6
FinalTue, Oct 17, 2023Every game that night
SJS3

CAR beat SJS 6-3, and the chances backed it up: 3.62 expected goals to 1.31. CAR outshot SJS 42 to 16. S. Jarvis led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). A. Raanta stopped 12 of 14.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
CAR1146
SJS1203
  1. 1st 3:15SJSF. Zetterlund0.15 xG
  2. 1st 4:06CARS. JarvisPP0.03 xG
  3. 2nd 8:54CARJ. SlavinSH0.50 xG
  4. 2nd 9:11SJSF. ZadinaPP0.02 xG
  5. 2nd 16:06SJSW. EklundPP0.20 xG
  6. 3rd 9:07CARS. NoesenPP0.16 xG
  7. 3rd 11:51CARS. JarvisPP0.09 xG
  8. 3rd 14:53CARM. Necas0.02 xG
  9. 3rd 15:08CARB. Pesce0.01 xG

Team Stats

CARSJS
42Shots on goal16
3.62Expected goals1.31
88Shot attempts33
225v5 shots on goal10
3/7Power play2/6
12Hits13
10Blocked shots32
20Penalty minutes14
5Giveaways6
12Takeaways3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

CAR 3.62 xGSJS 1.31 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.541st2nd3rdSJS goal, 3:15CAR goal, 4:06CAR goal, 8:54SJS goal, 9:11SJS goal, 16:06CAR goal, 9:07CAR goal, 11:51CAR goal, 14:53CAR goal, 15:08

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

CAR39 on goal, 6 scored
SJS15 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

CAR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
S. JarvisRW202421+1021:006:49
M. NecasC112400+1020:236:32
M. BuntingLW022000+1018:367:20
J. KotkaniemiC022301+1217:252:33
S. NoesenRW112210+1014:192:53
T. TeravainenC011301+1018:586:29
J. MartinookLW000200-1015:560:00
J. StaalC000111-1214:250:05
J. FastRW0000210014:140:00
J. DruryC000300+1012:462:06
B. LemieuxLW000140006:480:00
B. SkjeiD022412+2218:450:24
B. BurnsD011301+1021:014:38
J. SlavinD1014000017:530:00
B. PesceD101312+1017:230:00
D. OrlovD0000000217:572:52
J. ChatfieldD0002000012:170:00
T. DeAngeloD0003000128:344:29
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
F. Andersen211.5005:27
A. Raanta14122.85754:12Win

SJS Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
T. HertlC022111-1219:358:25
F. ZetterlundLW112101+1012:582:35
W. EklundLW101211-1016:003:43
F. ZadinaRW101100-1214:133:05
M. HoffmanC000111-1018:046:29
A. DuclairLW000121-3417:256:51
T. BordeleauC000201-1016:595:52
L. KuninC0000110015:540:15
N. SturmC000102-1015:410:16
A. BarabanovLW0000000214:224:54
J. PetersonC0000030012:550:56
G. SmithRW000211009:190:16
H. ThrunD0110140017:362:37
M. FerraroD000124-1218:180:16
J. RuttaD0002030017:510:50
K. BurroughsD000033-1017:170:17
M. BenningD0001050017:100:00
N. KnyzhovD0000000216:530:28
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
M. Blackwood42366.85760:00Loss
K. Kahkonen000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

  • Old teamDmitry Orlov SJS Faces CAR, his team until May 20250 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.