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Game Recap
CAR3
FinalSat, Dec 30, 2023Every game that night
TOR2

CAR beat TOR 3-2, and the chances backed it up: 2.65 expected goals to 1.86. S. Aho led the way with 3 points (1 G, 2 A). P. Kochetkov stopped 25 of 27.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
CAR1113
TOR0022
  1. 1st 2:24CARM. BuntingPP0.17 xG
  2. 2nd 13:52CARS. JarvisPP0.17 xG
  3. 3rd 4:16TORT. Liljegren0.14 xG
  4. 3rd 19:05CARS. AhoEN0.67 xG
  5. 3rd 19:50TORN. Robertson0.06 xG

Team Stats

CARTOR
28Shots on goal27
2.65Expected goals1.86
50Shot attempts52
195v5 shots on goal25
2/4Power play0/3
27Hits28
12Blocked shots11
8Penalty minutes10
6Giveaways9
8Takeaways12

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

CAR 2.65 xGTOR 1.86 xGGoal

00.511.522.531st2nd3rdCAR goal, 2:24CAR goal, 13:52TOR goal, 4:16CAR goal, 19:05TOR goal, 19:50

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

CAR26 on goal, 3 scored
TOR27 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

CAR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
S. AhoC123400+1018:433:26
A. SvechnikovRW022370+1016:483:24
S. JarvisRW101432-2021:383:36
M. BuntingLW1013110013:283:26
T. TeravainenC000020+1018:521:24
J. StaalC000020-2016:410:13
J. MartinookLW000112-1015:350:00
S. NoesenRW000213-1014:071:11
J. DruryC0000100013:551:08
M. NecasC0000100212:441:13
J. KotkaniemiC000100029:580:00
J. FastRW000010003:380:00
B. BurnsD0004000222:173:33
J. SlavinD0001210021:010:00
B. PesceD000103-1020:500:15
B. SkjeiD000200-1020:451:16
J. ChatfieldD0002100015:360:00
D. OrlovD0000400215:240:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
P. Kochetkov27252.92660:00Win
A. Raanta000–0:00

TOR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
M. DomiC022011+2211:551:35
N. RobertsonLW101131+2010:481:08
M. MarnerRW000301-1223:125:05
A. MatthewsC000512-1222:294:29
W. NylanderRW000400-1020:374:38
J. TavaresC000220-1019:024:18
T. BertuzziLW000220-1017:381:41
M. KniesLW0001200213:370:00
C. JarnkrokC000210+2013:200:45
N. GregorLW0000300010:440:00
P. HolmbergRW000021009:420:00
B. McMannC000110008:200:00
T. LiljegrenD112321+2019:301:19
M. GiordanoD011100+1017:290:00
M. RiellyD000211-1025:164:41
J. McCabeD000031+1218:530:21
T. BrodieD0000100018:130:00
S. BenoitD0000320013:320:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
M. Jones27252.92658:54Loss
I. Samsonov000–0:00