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Game Recap
CAR3
FinalSat, Feb 17, 2024Every game that night
VGK1

CAR beat VGK 3-1, with the chances close: 2.95 expected goals to 3.44. S. Jarvis led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). S. Martin stopped 29 of 30.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
CAR0123
VGK1001
  1. 1st 10:15VGKJ. Marchessault0.29 xG
  2. 2nd 1:21CARA. Svechnikov0.12 xG
  3. 3rd 0:19CARS. JarvisSH0.12 xG
  4. 3rd 6:19CARS. Noesen0.79 xG

Team Stats

CARVGK
28Shots on goal30
2.95Expected goals3.44
65Shot attempts56
275v5 shots on goal27
0/0Power play0/2
20Hits29
15Blocked shots18
4Penalty minutes0
2Giveaways6
5Takeaways11

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

CAR 2.95 xGVGK 3.44 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.51st2nd3rdVGK goal, 10:15CAR goal, 1:21CAR goal, 0:19CAR goal, 6:19

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

CAR28 on goal, 3 scored
VGK27 on goal, 1 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

CAR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
S. JarvisRW112223+2017:020:00
J. StaalC011230+1016:490:00
A. SvechnikovRW1011510216:280:00
M. NecasC011300+1216:180:00
J. KotkaniemiC011300+109:410:00
S. NoesenRW101312+109:250:00
S. AhoC0002000017:560:00
J. FastRW000120-1016:210:00
J. MartinookLW0001100015:530:00
M. BuntingLW0002000014:580:00
J. DruryC0000010014:470:00
T. TeravainenC0001010010:240:00
B. SkjeiD011111+2021:360:00
B. PesceD011202+2020:470:00
B. BurnsD0001120022:090:00
J. SlavinD0000020021:530:00
D. OrlovD0003100017:200:00
J. ChatfieldD0000300016:130:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
S. Martin30291.96760:00Win
P. Kochetkov000–0:00

VGK Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
I. BarbashevLW011420+1019:301:36
J. MarchessaultRW1013100018:562:21
N. RoyC011201+1016:301:38
C. StephensonC000000-3019:472:16
W. KarlssonC000300-1018:072:22
M. StoneRW000222-2018:042:22
B. HowdenC000121-1016:380:04
P. CotterLW0004300016:241:43
M. AmadioRW0001000016:031:34
B. FroeseC0001000010:270:00
K. KolesarRW000040-109:510:00
J. RondbjergRW000222-108:130:00
A. PietrangeloD000333-1021:271:34
Z. WhitecloudD0000160019:410:04
D. MiromanovD000111-1018:492:22
N. HagueD0000510018:260:04
A. MartinezD000101-1017:500:00
B. McNabbD0002300017:080:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Hill28253.89358:09Loss
L. Thompson000–0:00