Game Recap: CGY 1, BOS 4, January 8, 2026

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Game Recap

CGY1

FinalThu, Jan 8, 2026Every game that night

BOS4

BOS beat CGY 4-1, with the chances close: 3.16 expected goals to 2.70. S. Kuraly led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). M. Coronato had 5 shots on goal against our projection of 2.2. J. Korpisalo stopped 28 of 29.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
CGY	0	1	0	1
BOS	2	2	0	4

1st 9:48BOSS. Kuraly0.09 xG
1st 12:06BOSE. Lindholm0.15 xG
2nd 14:02BOSM. Lohrei0.06 xG
2nd 17:59BOSC. Mittelstadt0.04 xG
2nd 18:44CGYC. Zary0.25 xG

Team Stats

CGYBOS

29Shots on goal30

2.70Expected goals3.16

56Shot attempts75

225v5 shots on goal28

0/2Power play0/2

27Hits23

19Blocked shots17

6Penalty minutes6

15Giveaways19

8Takeaways3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

CGY 2.70 xGBOS 3.16 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

CGY28 on goal, 1 scored

BOS30 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

CGY Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
C. Zary	C	1	0	1	4	2	1	+1	0	16:08	0:52
M. Frost	C	0	1	1	2	1	0	+1	0	14:29	0:53
N. Kadri	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	-1	0	18:51	1:08
J. Huberdeau	LW	0	0	0	0	1	0	-1	0	18:37	1:08
M. Backlund	C	0	0	0	5	1	1	-2	2	17:35	1:19
J. Farabee	LW	0	0	0	3	2	2	-1	2	17:17	1:08
M. Coronato	RW	0	0	0	5	0	0	-2	0	16:20	1:35
Y. Sharangovich	C	0	0	0	3	0	1	+1	0	16:16	0:26
J. Kirkland	C	0	0	0	1	4	1	-1	0	10:28	0:00
A. Klapka	RW	0	0	0	0	4	0	-1	0	10:22	0:52
B. Coleman	LW	0	0	0	0	3	0	-2	2	9:55	0:00
R. Lomberg	LW	0	0	0	0	0	0	-1	0	9:36	0:00
K. Bahl	D	0	1	1	1	3	2	0	0	21:43	0:00
R. Andersson	D	0	0	0	2	1	5	0	0	24:08	1:15
M. Weegar	D	0	0	0	1	4	2	-1	0	22:49	1:12
Y. Kuznetsov	D	0	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	19:40	0:00
H. Brzustewicz	D	0	0	0	1	0	1	-2	0	16:50	0:27
J. Hanley	D	0	0	0	0	1	2	-2	0	12:56	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
D. Wolf	30	26	4	.867	60:00	Loss
D. Cooley	0	0	0	–	0:00

BOS Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
S. Kuraly	C	1	1	2	2	4	1	+1	0	14:28	0:00
T. Jeannot	LW	0	2	2	0	4	1	+1	0	12:23	0:00
D. Pastrnak	RW	0	1	1	1	1	1	+1	0	16:56	1:53
E. Lindholm	C	1	0	1	2	0	1	+1	0	15:35	1:34
P. Zacha	C	0	1	1	0	0	0	+1	0	15:30	1:36
V. Arvidsson	LW	0	1	1	3	0	0	+2	0	14:18	0:53
M. Khusnutdinov	C	0	1	1	2	1	0	+1	0	13:22	0:00
C. Mittelstadt	C	1	0	1	4	0	1	+1	0	13:07	0:34
M. Geekie	C	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	16:45	1:54
F. Minten	C	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	15:55	0:51
A. Steeves	C	0	0	0	1	4	1	0	0	14:36	0:33
M. Kastelic	C	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	2	12:57	0:00
C. McAvoy	D	0	1	1	0	0	4	+1	2	24:01	1:54
M. Lohrei	D	1	0	1	2	1	2	0	0	17:03	0:33
N. Zadorov	D	0	0	0	3	2	2	+2	0	20:30	0:00
H. Jokiharju	D	0	0	0	2	0	1	+3	0	19:07	0:00
A. Peeke	D	0	0	0	2	0	1	-1	0	18:52	0:00
J. Aspirot	D	0	0	0	1	4	0	+1	2	18:35	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Korpisalo	29	28	1	.966	60:00	Win
J. Swayman	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

CGY

Line 1N. Kadri16:03J. Farabee14:48J. Huberdeau15:06

Line 2M. Backlund13:37M. Coronato13:29B. Coleman9:55

Line 3C. Zary15:16Y. Sharangovich15:03M. Frost12:43

Line 4R. Lomberg9:36A. Klapka9:30J. Kirkland9:29

Pair 1K. Bahl17:37R. Andersson18:38

Pair 2M. Weegar19:46Y. Kuznetsov17:57

Pair 3H. Brzustewicz16:16J. Hanley12:56

BOS

Line 1M. Geekie14:16A. Steeves14:03F. Minten13:39

Line 2S. Kuraly13:22M. Kastelic11:54T. Jeannot11:43

Line 3P. Zacha12:29C. Mittelstadt12:33V. Arvidsson13:01

Line 4E. Lindholm11:55M. Khusnutdinov12:22D. Pastrnak12:48

Pair 1C. McAvoy19:16J. Aspirot17:36

Pair 2A. Peeke17:33M. Lohrei16:30

Pair 3N. Zadorov16:06H. Jokiharju16:39

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamElias Lindholm BOS Faces CGY, his team until Jan 20241 G, 2 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	CGY 2.8, BOS 3.2	CGY 1, BOS 4
Total goals	6.0	5
Shots on goal	CGY 28.8, BOS 28.3	CGY 29, BOS 30
Win chance	BOS 57%	BOS won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
BOS D. Pastrnak	3.8	1	1.27	1	43%	0
CGY N. Kadri	3.1	0	0.79	0	27%	0
CGY B. Coleman	2.5	0	0.56	0	23%	0
BOS V. Arvidsson	2.4	3	0.56	1	21%	0
CGY M. Backlund	2.3	5	0.50	0	18%	0
BOS M. Geekie	2.3	2	0.83	0	32%	0
CGY M. Coronato	2.2	5	0.53	0	21%	0
CGY R. Andersson	2.1	2	0.51	0	11%	0
CGY M. Weegar	2.1	1	0.47	0	9%	0
BOS E. Lindholm	2.0	2	0.66	1	23%	1
CGY Y. Sharangovich	2.0	3	0.51	0	23%	0
CGY J. Farabee	1.8	3	0.37	0	16%	0
CGY J. Huberdeau	1.8	0	0.67	0	21%	0
BOS C. McAvoy	1.7	0	0.57	1	10%	0
CGY M. Frost	1.7	2	0.42	1	15%	0
BOS P. Zacha	1.6	0	0.63	1	20%	0
BOS F. Minten	1.5	1	0.43	0	19%	0
CGY C. Zary	1.5	4	0.39	1	16%	1
BOS S. Kuraly	1.4	2	0.26	2	12%	1
CGY A. Klapka	1.3	0	0.29	0	14%	0
BOS C. Mittelstadt	1.3	4	0.53	1	18%	1
BOS M. Kastelic	1.3	2	0.27	0	12%	0
BOS N. Zadorov	1.3	3	0.32	0	8%	0
BOS A. Steeves	1.2	1	0.40	0	17%	0
BOS T. Jeannot	1.1	0	0.30	2	13%	0
BOS A. Peeke	1.1	2	0.20	0	4%	0
CGY R. Lomberg	1.0	0	0.17	0	8%	0
CGY Y. Kuznetsov	1.0	1	0.27	0	7%	0
CGY K. Bahl	1.0	1	0.21	1	4%	0
BOS M. Khusnutdinov	1.0	2	0.31	1	12%	0
CGY H. Brzustewicz	0.9	1	0.14	0	3%	0
BOS M. Lohrei	0.9	2	0.31	1	5%	1
BOS H. Jokiharju	0.9	2	0.20	0	4%	0
BOS J. Aspirot	0.8	1	0.13	0	6%	0
CGY J. Hanley	0.6	0	0.13	0	2%	0
CGY J. Kirkland	0.6	1	0.22	0	7%	0

Shots on goal: 16 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.