Game Recap: CGY 3, CHI 1, January 15, 2026

Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!

Game Recap

CGY3

FinalThu, Jan 15, 2026Every game that night

CHI1

CGY beat CHI 3-1, and the chances backed it up: 3.30 expected goals to 1.85. M. Backlund led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). L. Crevier had 4 shots on goal against our projection of 1.4. D. Cooley stopped 22 of 23.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
CGY	2	0	1	3
CHI	1	0	0	1

1st 2:38CHIN. Foligno0.14 xG
1st 3:14CGYY. SharangovichPP0.65 xG
1st 6:05CGYM. BacklundSH0.20 xG
3rd 18:59CGYM. CoronatoEN0.59 xG

Team Stats

CGYCHI

23Shots on goal23

3.30Expected goals1.85

52Shot attempts47

175v5 shots on goal20

1/4Power play0/4

29Hits11

12Blocked shots19

17Penalty minutes17

18Giveaways17

4Takeaways7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

CGY 3.30 xGCHI 1.85 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

CGY22 on goal, 3 scored

CHI23 on goal, 1 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

CGY Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
M. Backlund	C	1	1	2	3	1	0	+2	0	20:07	2:12
Y. Sharangovich	C	1	1	2	2	1	0	+1	2	16:51	2:57
C. Zary	C	0	1	1	2	1	0	0	2	19:47	3:11
M. Coronato	RW	1	0	1	4	1	0	+1	0	13:42	1:09
N. Kadri	C	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	20:05	1:58
J. Farabee	LW	0	0	0	1	1	0	+1	5	16:06	0:58
J. Huberdeau	LW	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	15:26	0:58
A. Klapka	RW	0	0	0	2	6	2	0	0	15:10	0:00
M. Frost	C	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	14:03	3:09
J. Kirkland	C	0	0	0	0	1	1	-1	0	9:03	0:01
D. Hunt	LW	0	0	0	1	5	0	-1	2	5:35	0:00
R. Lomberg	LW	0	0	0	1	0	0	-1	0	5:34	0:00
R. Andersson	D	0	0	0	0	1	1	+1	0	26:55	3:13
K. Bahl	D	0	0	0	0	4	1	+1	0	23:44	0:00
Y. Kuznetsov	D	0	0	0	1	0	2	+1	0	20:12	0:06
M. Weegar	D	0	0	0	3	2	2	0	4	20:01	0:58
J. Hanley	D	0	0	0	1	2	2	0	2	13:02	0:00
H. Brzustewicz	D	0	0	0	0	1	1	-1	0	12:37	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
D. Cooley	23	22	1	.957	60:00	Win
D. Wolf	0	0	0	–	0:00

CHI Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
N. Foligno	LW	1	0	1	1	2	2	+1	0	13:37	3:32
L. Slaggert	LW	0	1	1	3	0	0	+1	0	11:27	0:00
C. Dach	C	0	1	1	1	0	1	+1	0	8:01	0:00
C. Bedard	C	0	0	0	3	0	0	-2	0	22:05	4:04
A. Burakovsky	LW	0	0	0	1	0	3	-2	0	19:22	4:13
R. Greene	C	0	0	0	0	1	0	-1	0	18:08	3:46
T. Bertuzzi	LW	0	0	0	2	0	0	-2	0	18:02	4:30
O. Moore	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	-1	2	16:10	3:32
I. Mikheyev	RW	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	13:46	0:12
R. Donato	C	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	4	13:30	4:01
J. Dickinson	C	0	0	0	2	1	1	0	0	13:25	0:14
N. Lardis	LW	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	13:12	3:43
M. Grzelcyk	D	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	2	20:53	3:27
A. Levshunov	D	0	0	0	2	0	1	-2	2	19:46	4:18
W. Kaiser	D	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	19:40	0:00
A. Vlasic	D	0	0	0	2	0	3	0	0	19:09	0:15
L. Crevier	D	0	0	0	4	2	3	0	0	17:17	0:13
C. Murphy	D	0	0	0	0	2	1	+1	5	15:18	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
S. Knight	22	20	2	.909	59:02	Loss
A. Soderblom	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

CGY

Line 1N. Kadri15:56C. Zary15:30A. Klapka15:10

Line 2M. Backlund11:43Y. Sharangovich11:47M. Coronato10:43

Line 3J. Huberdeau10:34M. Frost10:13J. Farabee10:06

Line 4J. Kirkland5:10R. Lomberg5:34D. Hunt5:35

Pair 1R. Andersson16:37K. Bahl15:55

Pair 2M. Weegar14:35Y. Kuznetsov15:14

Pair 3J. Hanley11:34H. Brzustewicz12:24

CHI

Line 1A. Burakovsky13:08C. Bedard14:18R. Greene13:13

Line 2J. Dickinson9:57I. Mikheyev10:59T. Bertuzzi12:24

Line 3O. Moore9:04N. Lardis8:39R. Donato9:29

Line 4N. Foligno10:05C. Dach8:01L. Slaggert9:26

Pair 1A. Vlasic14:46L. Crevier14:10

Pair 2W. Kaiser15:38A. Levshunov13:28

Pair 3C. Murphy13:47M. Grzelcyk13:48

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	CGY 3.1, CHI 3.0	CGY 3, CHI 1
Total goals	6.1	4
Shots on goal	CGY 29.9, CHI 27.0	CGY 23, CHI 23
Win chance	CGY 52%	CGY won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
CGY N. Kadri	3.1	1	0.82	0	29%	0
CHI C. Bedard	2.8	3	0.93	0	28%	0
CGY M. Backlund	2.5	3	0.56	2	20%	1
CGY M. Coronato	2.3	4	0.57	1	23%	1
CGY M. Weegar	2.3	3	0.51	0	11%	0
CGY R. Andersson	2.2	0	0.54	0	14%	0
CHI T. Bertuzzi	2.2	2	0.69	0	28%	0
CGY J. Farabee	2.1	1	0.45	0	20%	0
CGY Y. Sharangovich	1.9	2	0.51	2	23%	1
CHI R. Donato	1.9	0	0.53	0	22%	0
CHI I. Mikheyev	1.9	1	0.45	0	22%	0
CHI A. Burakovsky	1.8	1	0.67	0	21%	0
CGY J. Huberdeau	1.7	1	0.70	0	23%	0
CGY C. Zary	1.7	2	0.45	1	19%	0
CHI N. Lardis	1.7	0	0.30	0	16%	0
CGY M. Frost	1.6	0	0.41	0	15%	0
CHI R. Greene	1.6	0	0.41	0	15%	0
CHI A. Levshunov	1.5	2	0.47	0	5%	0
CHI L. Crevier	1.4	4	0.25	0	7%	0
CGY A. Klapka	1.3	2	0.30	0	15%	0
CHI O. Moore	1.3	0	0.38	0	12%	0
CHI J. Dickinson	1.3	2	0.32	0	15%	0
CGY Y. Kuznetsov	1.2	1	0.28	0	9%	0
CHI N. Foligno	1.1	1	0.37	1	13%	1
CHI W. Kaiser	1.1	0	0.21	0	6%	0
CGY D. Hunt	1.1	1	0.24	0	10%	0
CHI L. Slaggert	1.1	3	0.23	1	10%	0
CGY K. Bahl	1.1	0	0.25	0	6%	0
CHI C. Murphy	1.1	0	0.20	0	4%	0
CGY H. Brzustewicz	1.1	0	0.15	0	4%	0
CHI C. Dach	1.0	1	0.22	1	9%	0
CHI M. Grzelcyk	1.0	1	0.28	0	2%	0
CHI A. Vlasic	1.0	2	0.22	0	3%	0
CGY R. Lomberg	0.9	1	0.16	0	8%	0
CGY J. Kirkland	0.6	0	0.22	0	8%	0
CGY J. Hanley	0.6	1	0.13	0	3%	0

Shots on goal: 20 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.3 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.