Game Recap: CGY 2, COL 9, March 30, 2026

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Game Recap

CGY2

FinalMon, Mar 30, 2026Every game that night

COL9

COL beat CGY 9-2, and the chances backed it up: 6.36 expected goals to 3.12. COL outshot CGY 49 to 29. N. MacKinnon led the way with 3 points (1 G, 2 A). B. Coleman had 6 shots on goal against our projection of 2.5. S. Wedgewood stopped 27 of 29.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
CGY	0	1	1	2
COL	5	1	3	9

1st 2:31COLJ. Drury0.13 xG
1st 6:31COLN. KadriPP0.16 xG
1st 7:37COLN. KadriPP0.64 xG
1st 9:19COLG. Landeskog0.07 xG
1st 15:50COLP. Kelly0.10 xG
2nd 3:37CGYB. Othmann0.35 xG
2nd 19:25COLN. MacKinnonPP0.08 xG
3rd 6:24COLM. Necas0.16 xG
3rd 8:10COLS. Malinski0.20 xG
3rd 12:53CGYR. Strome0.33 xG
3rd 16:48COLA. Lehkonen0.35 xG

Team Stats

CGYCOL

29Shots on goal49

3.12Expected goals6.36

58Shot attempts89

275v5 shots on goal43

0/1Power play3/4

15Hits15

15Blocked shots12

8Penalty minutes2

15Giveaways16

5Takeaways6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

CGY 3.12 xGCOL 6.36 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

CGY29 on goal, 2 scored

COL49 on goal, 9 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

CGY Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
Y. Sharangovich	C	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	16:12	1:02
R. Strome	C	1	0	1	2	0	2	-1	0	16:09	1:07
V. Olofsson	LW	0	1	1	3	0	0	0	0	14:45	1:03
J. Beecher	C	0	1	1	3	0	1	-1	0	12:47	0:07
B. Othmann	LW	1	0	1	1	2	0	-3	0	11:55	0:02
M. Backlund	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	17:56	1:03
B. Coleman	LW	0	0	0	6	2	1	0	2	16:24	0:51
J. Farabee	LW	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	15:17	0:00
M. Coronato	RW	0	0	0	2	1	0	-1	2	15:00	0:51
M. Frost	C	0	0	0	1	1	1	-2	0	14:07	0:51
M. Gridin	RW	0	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	13:55	0:49
A. Klapka	RW	0	0	0	2	3	2	-3	0	11:50	0:06
Z. Whitecloud	D	0	0	0	1	1	1	-2	2	24:04	0:00
K. Bahl	D	0	0	0	0	1	1	-2	0	23:10	0:00
O. Määttä	D	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	22:12	0:08
H. Brzustewicz	D	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	19:56	1:00
Z. Parekh	D	0	0	0	0	1	1	-2	0	15:37	1:00
B. Pachal	D	0	0	0	1	1	2	-2	2	13:19	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
D. Wolf	16	12	4	.750	9:19	Loss
D. Cooley	33	28	5	.848	50:41

COL Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
N. MacKinnon	C	1	2	3	5	3	0	+1	0	19:20	4:56
M. Necas	C	1	2	3	3	0	0	+1	0	17:57	3:51
J. Drury	C	1	2	3	3	1	0	+3	0	13:11	0:04
P. Kelly	C	1	2	3	2	0	0	+3	0	12:07	0:00
N. Kadri	C	2	0	2	5	0	1	-1	0	19:08	3:53
B. Nelson	C	0	2	2	1	1	0	+1	0	16:46	4:12
A. Lehkonen	LW	1	1	2	3	0	0	+1	0	15:08	1:09
V. Nichushkin	RW	0	1	1	4	0	0	+1	0	15:42	1:11
G. Landeskog	LW	1	0	1	3	2	2	+1	0	13:05	0:46
R. Colton	C	0	0	0	0	2	0	-1	0	14:43	0:00
L. O'Connor	RW	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	14:38	0:00
J. Kiviranta	LW	0	0	0	2	2	1	+2	0	10:55	0:00
C. Makar	D	0	3	3	2	0	0	+1	0	17:15	3:02
S. Malinski	D	1	1	2	4	1	4	+2	0	21:55	1:24
B. Kulak	D	0	0	0	3	0	1	0	2	20:56	0:00
D. Toews	D	0	0	0	2	0	1	+3	0	19:35	0:06
J. Manson	D	0	0	0	4	1	1	+1	0	18:56	0:00
B. Burns	D	0	0	0	3	1	1	+1	0	16:43	0:36

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
S. Wedgewood	29	27	2	.931	60:00	Win
M. Blackwood	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

CGY

Line 1R. Strome15:02Y. Sharangovich14:38V. Olofsson13:42

Line 2M. Backlund14:11J. Farabee13:20B. Coleman13:14

Line 3M. Coronato14:09M. Gridin13:01M. Frost13:11

Line 4B. Othmann11:53A. Klapka11:44J. Beecher10:37

Pair 1Z. Whitecloud21:01K. Bahl20:25

Pair 2O. Määttä18:58H. Brzustewicz18:56

Pair 3Z. Parekh14:37B. Pachal12:11

COL

Line 1R. Colton14:43L. O'Connor14:38N. Kadri15:10

Line 2M. Necas14:06N. MacKinnon14:17A. Lehkonen13:24

Line 3G. Landeskog12:19V. Nichushkin13:41B. Nelson11:45

Line 4P. Kelly11:39J. Drury12:36J. Kiviranta10:19

Pair 1D. Toews18:55S. Malinski19:28

Pair 2B. Burns15:10J. Manson18:00

Pair 3B. Kulak20:56C. Makar13:44

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamNazem Kadri COL Faces CGY, his team until Mar 20262 G, 5 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	CGY 2.4, COL 3.6	CGY 2, COL 9
Total goals	6.0	11
Shots on goal	CGY 24.9, COL 34.2	CGY 29, COL 49
Win chance	COL 70%	COL won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
COL N. MacKinnon	4.5	5	1.62	3	43%	1
COL M. Necas	2.9	3	1.19	3	33%	1
COL N. Kadri	2.8	5	0.79	2	27%	2
COL C. Makar	2.8	2	1.00	3	24%	0
COL B. Nelson	2.7	1	0.91	2	36%	0
CGY B. Coleman	2.5	6	0.51	0	23%	0
COL G. Landeskog	2.4	3	0.80	1	28%	1
CGY M. Backlund	2.3	0	0.46	0	18%	0
CGY M. Coronato	2.2	2	0.46	0	19%	0
COL V. Nichushkin	2.2	4	0.66	1	28%	0
COL S. Malinski	2.0	4	0.36	2	6%	1
CGY M. Gridin	1.9	1	0.46	0	16%	0
CGY V. Olofsson	1.8	3	0.39	1	20%	0
COL R. Colton	1.8	0	0.37	0	16%	0
CGY Y. Sharangovich	1.8	1	0.38	1	20%	0
COL A. Lehkonen	1.8	3	0.54	2	23%	1
COL B. Burns	1.8	3	0.31	0	8%	0
CGY J. Farabee	1.6	2	0.37	0	18%	0
CGY M. Frost	1.6	1	0.41	0	16%	0
COL D. Toews	1.5	2	0.42	0	8%	0
COL J. Manson	1.4	4	0.31	0	6%	0
CGY R. Strome	1.3	2	0.40	1	13%	1
COL P. Kelly	1.3	2	0.33	3	14%	1
COL J. Drury	1.2	3	0.30	3	11%	1
COL L. O'Connor	1.2	0	0.34	0	13%	0
COL B. Kulak	1.2	3	0.21	0	4%	0
CGY Z. Parekh	1.1	0	0.25	0	6%	0
CGY H. Brzustewicz	1.0	2	0.21	0	4%	0
COL J. Kiviranta	1.0	2	0.22	0	10%	0
CGY Z. Whitecloud	1.0	1	0.22	0	5%	0
CGY O. Määttä	0.9	1	0.27	0	4%	0
CGY A. Klapka	0.9	2	0.20	0	10%	0
CGY B. Othmann	0.9	1	0.11	1	6%	1
CGY J. Beecher	0.8	3	0.15	1	8%	0
CGY K. Bahl	0.8	0	0.21	0	4%	0
CGY B. Pachal	0.8	1	0.15	0	3%	0

Shots on goal: 18 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.5 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.