Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!
Game Recap
CGY5
LAK1
CGY beat LAK 5-1, with the chances close: 3.27 expected goals to 3.30. N. Kadri led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). J. Farabee had 4 shots on goal against our projection of 1.4. D. Vladar stopped 30 of 31.
Scoring
| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CGY | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| LAK | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Team Stats
CGYLAK
29Shots on goal31
3.27Expected goals3.30
45Shot attempts60
285v5 shots on goal25
0/2Power play1/3
15Hits19
11Blocked shots7
6Penalty minutes4
12Giveaways12
3Takeaways0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
CGY 3.27 xGLAK 3.30 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
CGY Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Backlund | C | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 18:02 | 1:58 |
| N. Kadri | C | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 16:32 | 1:58 |
| D. Hunt | LW | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 14:30 | 0:00 |
| Y. Sharangovich | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:21 | 2:05 |
| M. Coronato | RW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 14:31 | 1:57 |
| R. Lomberg | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:19 | 0:00 |
| S. Morton | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:25 | 0:04 |
| A. Klapka | RW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:39 | 1:05 |
| J. Farabee | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:05 | 1:00 |
| B. Coleman | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 16:47 | 1:55 |
| A. Suniev | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 14:48 | 2:02 |
| M. Frost | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:34 | 1:51 |
| Z. Parekh | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 20:31 | 1:56 |
| B. Pachal | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 15:29 | 0:00 |
| M. Weegar | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 22:28 | 2:04 |
| D. Miromanov | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:02 | 0:00 |
| K. Bahl | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 19:30 | 0:05 |
| H. Brzustewicz | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 18:23 | 0:00 |
LAK Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Ward | RW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:52 | 1:04 |
| Q. Byfield | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 19:27 | 3:19 |
| A. Kuzmenko | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 | 16:48 | 3:33 |
| K. Fiala | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 0 | 16:26 | 3:35 |
| A. Kopitar | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 | 16:22 | 3:32 |
| J. Malott | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 16:04 | 1:29 |
| A. Laferriere | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 15:30 | 0:37 |
| W. Foegele | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:30 | 0:25 |
| A. Turcotte | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 14:21 | 1:31 |
| T. Lewis | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:14 | 0:00 |
| S. Helenius | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:12 | 0:00 |
| A. Thomas | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 10:28 | 0:00 |
| B. Clarke | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 18:58 | 1:45 |
| J. Spence | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 17:11 | 1:04 |
| D. Doughty | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 22:32 | 3:21 |
| M. Anderson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 20:18 | 0:00 |
| J. Edmundson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 18:37 | 0:05 |
| V. Gavrikov | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 18:34 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Rittich | 29 | 24 | 5 | .828 | 59:36 | Loss |
| D. Kuemper | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | CGY 2.7, LAK 3.2 | CGY 5, LAK 1 |
| Total goals | 5.9 | 6 |
| Shots on goal | CGY 26.7, LAK 29.2 | CGY 29, LAK 31 |
| Win chance | LAK 60% | CGY won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CGY N. Kadri | 3.1 | 4 | 0.74 | 2 | 28% | 2 |
| LAK K. Fiala | 3.0 | 5 | 0.85 | 0 | 32% | 0 |
| LAK W. Foegele | 2.5 | 2 | 0.57 | 0 | 23% | 0 |
| LAK A. Laferriere | 2.4 | 3 | 0.47 | 0 | 19% | 0 |
| CGY M. Weegar | 2.3 | 2 | 0.50 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| CGY M. Coronato | 2.3 | 1 | 0.50 | 1 | 21% | 0 |
| CGY B. Coleman | 2.2 | 2 | 0.46 | 0 | 20% | 0 |
| CGY M. Backlund | 2.1 | 3 | 0.39 | 2 | 16% | 1 |
| LAK Q. Byfield | 2.0 | 2 | 0.71 | 0 | 22% | 0 |
| CGY A. Klapka | 1.8 | 0 | 0.35 | 1 | 18% | 0 |
| LAK A. Kuzmenko | 1.7 | 1 | 0.77 | 0 | 29% | 0 |
| LAK B. Clarke | 1.7 | 2 | 0.38 | 1 | 6% | 0 |
| CGY M. Frost | 1.5 | 3 | 0.39 | 0 | 14% | 0 |
| CGY Y. Sharangovich | 1.4 | 1 | 0.38 | 1 | 19% | 0 |
| LAK A. Kopitar | 1.4 | 0 | 0.81 | 0 | 24% | 0 |
| LAK V. Gavrikov | 1.4 | 2 | 0.33 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| LAK D. Doughty | 1.4 | 2 | 0.51 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| CGY J. Farabee | 1.4 | 4 | 0.27 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| LAK J. Malott | 1.2 | 0 | 0.19 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| LAK J. Spence | 1.2 | 1 | 0.35 | 1 | 4% | 0 |
| LAK J. Edmundson | 1.2 | 1 | 0.24 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| LAK M. Anderson | 1.1 | 1 | 0.28 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| LAK T. Lewis | 1.1 | 2 | 0.20 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| CGY K. Bahl | 1.1 | 1 | 0.21 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| LAK A. Turcotte | 1.0 | 2 | 0.29 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| CGY D. Miromanov | 1.0 | 0 | 0.16 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| CGY D. Hunt | 1.0 | 1 | 0.18 | 2 | 8% | 0 |
| LAK A. Thomas | 0.8 | 1 | 0.22 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| CGY R. Lomberg | 0.8 | 1 | 0.13 | 1 | 7% | 0 |
| CGY B. Pachal | 0.7 | 0 | 0.12 | 1 | 3% | 0 |
| LAK S. Helenius | 0.7 | 0 | 0.17 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 23 of 31 players within one of their projection; they took 0.0 more than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.