Game Recap: CGY 0, MIN 2, November 9, 2025

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Game Recap

CGY0

FinalSun, Nov 9, 2025Every game that night

MIN2

MIN beat CGY 2-0, with the chances close: 2.97 expected goals to 2.36. CGY outshot MIN 36 to 19. M. Boldy led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). M. Weegar had 6 shots on goal against our projection of 2.2. J. Wallstedt stopped 36 of 36.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
CGY	0	0	0	0
MIN	0	1	1	2

2nd 13:47MINM. Boldy0.10 xG
3rd 19:10MINK. KaprizovEN0.94 xG

Team Stats

CGYMIN

36Shots on goal19

2.36Expected goals2.97

77Shot attempts47

335v5 shots on goal13

0/3Power play0/4

15Hits13

13Blocked shots20

6Penalty minutes6

19Giveaways15

5Takeaways6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

CGY 2.36 xGMIN 2.97 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

CGY36 on goal, 0 scored

MIN18 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

CGY Skaters

Player	Pos	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
M. Coronato	RW	5	0	1	-1	2	19:41	2:53
N. Kadri	C	4	0	0	-2	0	19:11	2:51
J. Huberdeau	LW	3	1	1	-1	0	18:07	2:17
M. Frost	C	1	1	0	-1	0	16:46	2:50
J. Farabee	LW	0	0	0	-1	0	16:30	1:14
B. Coleman	LW	0	0	3	0	0	15:13	0:38
Y. Sharangovich	C	2	0	0	-1	0	15:02	0:41
M. Backlund	C	3	0	0	0	0	14:35	0:00
C. Zary	C	1	0	0	0	0	12:08	0:38
S. Honzek	LW	1	1	1	0	0	12:08	0:00
A. Klapka	RW	1	2	1	0	2	9:41	0:00
R. Lomberg	LW	0	3	0	0	0	8:38	0:00
M. Weegar	D	6	3	2	-2	2	26:01	2:26
R. Andersson	D	1	0	2	-1	0	24:58	1:07
K. Bahl	D	2	0	1	0	0	21:19	0:00
J. Hanley	D	1	3	0	-1	0	21:02	0:00
Y. Kuznetsov	D	2	1	0	0	0	11:58	0:00
B. Pachal	D	3	0	1	0	0	11:21	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
D. Cooley	18	17	1	.944	57:41	Loss
D. Wolf	0	0	0	–	0:00

MIN Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
J. Eriksson Ek	C	0	2	2	3	0	0	+2	0	20:48	3:47
M. Boldy	LW	1	1	2	3	1	2	+2	0	19:54	3:55
K. Kaprizov	LW	1	0	1	3	0	2	+1	2	18:22	3:59
M. Johansson	LW	0	1	1	0	0	0	+1	0	13:40	1:39
M. Zuccarello	RW	0	0	0	2	1	1	0	0	17:30	3:52
R. Hartman	RW	0	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	15:58	1:31
M. Rossi	C	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	15:05	1:28
V. Tarasenko	RW	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	15:02	1:26
V. Hinostroza	C	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	12:04	0:00
M. Foligno	LW	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	10:25	0:00
Y. Trenin	C	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	2	10:20	0:00
D. Yurov	RW	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	9:50	0:03
B. Faber	D	0	0	0	0	0	3	+1	0	24:51	0:24
J. Spurgeon	D	0	0	0	0	1	1	+1	0	24:00	4:00
J. Brodin	D	0	0	0	1	0	0	+2	2	22:37	0:04
Z. Buium	D	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	20:38	1:23
D. Hunt	D	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	13:55	0:04
D.Jiricek	D	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	9:01	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Wallstedt	36	36	0	1.000	60:00	Win
F. Gustavsson	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

CGY

Line 1M. Coronato15:13M. Frost12:58J. Huberdeau13:24

Line 2N. Kadri12:46Y. Sharangovich12:23J. Farabee10:51

Line 3M. Backlund11:38B. Coleman11:09S. Honzek10:28

Line 4C. Zary10:13A. Klapka8:45R. Lomberg8:38

Pair 1M. Weegar19:36J. Hanley18:01

Pair 2R. Andersson16:34K. Bahl16:21

Pair 3Y. Kuznetsov11:14B. Pachal10:38

MIN

Line 1V. Tarasenko12:46R. Hartman13:48V. Hinostroza11:25

Line 2M. Zuccarello13:05K. Kaprizov11:33M. Rossi11:09

Line 3J. Ek12:16M. Boldy11:17M. Johansson11:10

Line 4Y. Trenin10:20D. Yurov9:47M. Foligno9:48

Pair 1J. Spurgeon17:31J. Brodin18:43

Pair 2B. Faber18:35Z. Buium17:08

Pair 3D. Hunt11:28D.Jiricek9:01

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamBlake Coleman MIN Faces CGY, his team until Apr 20260 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	CGY 2.9, MIN 3.1	CGY 0, MIN 2
Total goals	6.0	2
Shots on goal	CGY 29.5, MIN 29.4	CGY 36, MIN 19
Win chance	MIN 54%	MIN won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
MIN K. Kaprizov	3.5	3	1.26	1	45%	1
CGY N. Kadri	3.2	4	0.84	0	30%	0
MIN M. Boldy	3.0	3	0.89	2	31%	1
MIN J. Ek	2.9	3	0.66	2	26%	0
MIN R. Hartman	2.4	0	0.54	0	23%	0
CGY B. Coleman	2.3	0	0.51	0	22%	0
MIN M. Zuccarello	2.2	2	0.88	0	24%	0
CGY M. Coronato	2.2	5	0.53	0	21%	0
CGY R. Andersson	2.2	1	0.46	0	10%	0
CGY M. Weegar	2.2	6	0.53	0	10%	0
CGY M. Backlund	2.0	3	0.39	0	16%	0
CGY J. Farabee	2.0	0	0.43	0	18%	0
CGY J. Huberdeau	1.9	3	0.75	0	23%	0
MIN V. Tarasenko	1.8	0	0.58	0	22%	0
CGY M. Frost	1.8	1	0.49	0	17%	0
MIN M. Rossi	1.7	2	0.58	0	22%	0
MIN B. Faber	1.7	0	0.34	0	7%	0
CGY C. Zary	1.6	1	0.40	0	17%	0
MIN M. Johansson	1.6	0	0.48	1	16%	0
MIN J. Spurgeon	1.6	0	0.44	0	9%	0
CGY Y. Sharangovich	1.4	2	0.43	0	20%	0
CGY S. Honzek	1.4	1	0.22	0	11%	0
MIN V. Hinostroza	1.4	1	0.31	0	14%	0
MIN J. Brodin	1.2	1	0.31	0	6%	0
MIN Y. Trenin	1.2	0	0.22	0	12%	0
CGY A. Klapka	1.2	1	0.27	0	13%	0
MIN M. Foligno	1.2	2	0.34	0	16%	0
CGY K. Bahl	1.1	2	0.24	0	4%	0
MIN Z. Buium	1.0	0	0.28	0	4%	0
MIN D. Yurov	0.9	1	0.23	0	13%	0
CGY B. Pachal	0.8	3	0.16	0	3%	0
CGY R. Lomberg	0.8	0	0.13	0	7%	0
CGY J. Hanley	0.8	1	0.18	0	3%	0
MIN D. Hunt	0.8	0	0.16	0	3%	0
MIN D.Jiricek	0.7	1	0.15	0	3%	0

Shots on goal: 21 of 35 players within one of their projection; they took 0.2 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.