Game Recap: CGY 4, SJS 1, February 26, 2026

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Game Recap

CGY4

FinalThu, Feb 26, 2026Every game that night

SJS1

CGY beat SJS 4-1, with the chances close: 2.95 expected goals to 3.03. N. Kadri led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). C. Graf had 4 shots on goal against our projection of 1.4. D. Wolf stopped 34 of 35.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
CGY	0	1	3	4
SJS	0	1	0	1

2nd 1:17SJST. Toffoli0.06 xG
2nd 15:02CGYN. Kadri0.11 xG
3rd 5:22CGYC. Zary0.09 xG
3rd 11:56CGYN. Kadri0.17 xG
3rd 17:30CGYM. BacklundEN0.53 xG

Team Stats

CGYSJS

29Shots on goal35

2.95Expected goals3.03

45Shot attempts70

235v5 shots on goal28

0/3Power play0/3

16Hits33

23Blocked shots7

4Penalty minutes6

21Giveaways15

3Takeaways4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

CGY 2.95 xGSJS 3.03 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

CGY29 on goal, 4 scored

SJS35 on goal, 1 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

CGY Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
M. Backlund	C	1	1	2	5	0	1	+2	0	18:57	2:06
N. Kadri	C	2	0	2	5	1	0	+2	0	18:54	2:51
C. Zary	C	1	1	2	4	0	0	+3	0	17:34	2:01
J. Farabee	LW	0	1	1	1	0	1	+2	0	19:46	2:52
M. Coronato	RW	0	1	1	2	0	1	+1	0	15:56	2:58
Y. Sharangovich	C	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	16:51	2:00
B. Coleman	LW	0	0	0	3	2	0	0	2	14:11	0:00
M. Gridin	RW	0	0	0	1	0	3	-1	0	13:54	2:58
M. Frost	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	-1	2	13:33	2:03
J. Beecher	C	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	10:37	0:31
A. Klapka	RW	0	0	0	2	6	0	+1	0	10:33	0:16
M. Pospisil	C	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	8:01	0:26
Z. Whitecloud	D	0	1	1	0	0	3	+1	0	24:45	0:10
M. Weegar	D	0	1	1	1	1	5	+1	0	20:53	3:10
Y. Kuznetsov	D	0	1	1	1	0	3	0	0	20:03	0:32
K. Bahl	D	0	0	0	0	2	3	+2	0	24:44	0:00
Z. Parekh	D	0	0	0	0	0	0	+1	0	13:39	2:06
J. Hanley	D	0	0	0	0	1	2	+1	0	11:09	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
D. Wolf	35	34	1	.971	60:00	Win
D. Cooley	0	0	0	–	0:00

SJS Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
M. Misa	C	0	1	1	0	1	0	-1	0	13:59	1:39
T. Toffoli	C	1	0	1	3	0	0	-2	0	13:30	1:09
M. Celebrini	C	0	0	0	5	0	0	-2	0	22:30	3:43
A. Wennberg	C	0	0	0	3	1	0	-1	0	21:56	3:45
K. Sherwood	LW	0	0	0	5	8	0	-1	2	19:09	3:55
W. Eklund	LW	0	0	0	4	2	1	-2	0	17:39	1:45
C. Graf	RW	0	0	0	4	2	1	-1	0	16:33	0:00
W. Smith	C	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	15:55	3:40
P. Kurashev	C	0	0	0	3	0	0	-1	0	15:18	1:30
B. Goodrow	C	0	0	0	0	4	1	0	0	9:03	0:00
Z. Ostapchuk	C	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	8:55	0:00
R. Reaves	RW	0	0	0	0	9	0	0	0	8:00	0:00
M. Ferraro	D	0	1	1	0	0	1	-1	2	18:01	0:00
J. Klingberg	D	0	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	23:05	3:54
D. Orlov	D	0	0	0	0	3	0	-2	0	22:40	1:30
S. Dickinson	D	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	2	17:55	0:30
V. Desharnais	D	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	16:26	0:00
T. Liljegren	D	0	0	0	1	0	0	-1	0	15:08	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
Y. Askarov	28	25	3	.893	58:18	Loss
A. Nedeljkovic	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

CGY

Line 1J. Farabee13:50C. Zary14:56N. Kadri14:45

Line 2M. Backlund13:16Y. Sharangovich13:59M. Coronato11:53

Line 3B. Coleman10:23M. Gridin10:56M. Frost11:30

Line 4A. Klapka10:17M. Pospisil7:35J. Beecher7:18

Pair 1K. Bahl19:36Z. Whitecloud19:45

Pair 2J. Hanley10:33Z. Parekh11:33

Pair 3M. Weegar15:27Y. Kuznetsov16:58

SJS

Line 1C. Graf14:44P. Kurashev12:58A. Wennberg13:52

Line 2K. Sherwood13:21W. Smith12:15M. Celebrini16:52

Line 3W. Eklund11:59M. Misa11:44T. Toffoli10:39

Line 4R. Reaves8:00B. Goodrow7:16Z. Ostapchuk7:14

Pair 1D. Orlov17:37J. Klingberg19:01

Pair 2M. Ferraro15:50T. Liljegren12:34

Pair 3S. Dickinson15:29V. Desharnais13:05

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamDevin Cooley CGY Faces SJS, his team until Apr 20240 saves on 0
HometownDevin Cooley CGY Plays near home (born in Los Gatos)0 saves on 0
HometownDustin Wolf CGY Plays near home (born in Gilroy)34 saves on 35, the win

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	CGY 3.3, SJS 3.0	CGY 4, SJS 1
Total goals	6.3	5
Shots on goal	CGY 29.9, SJS 27.7	CGY 29, SJS 35
Win chance	CGY 53%	CGY won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
SJS M. Celebrini	3.7	5	1.27	0	34%	0
CGY N. Kadri	2.9	5	0.84	2	29%	2
SJS T. Toffoli	2.7	3	0.73	1	29%	1
CGY M. Backlund	2.7	5	0.64	2	22%	1
CGY M. Coronato	2.5	2	0.61	1	24%	0
SJS W. Smith	2.5	2	0.87	0	28%	0
SJS K. Sherwood	2.5	5	0.57	0	25%	0
CGY B. Coleman	2.4	3	0.57	0	24%	0
CGY Y. Sharangovich	2.3	2	0.59	0	27%	0
CGY M. Weegar	2.2	1	0.55	1	12%	0
SJS W. Eklund	2.1	4	0.63	0	18%	0
CGY M. Gridin	1.9	1	0.44	0	17%	0
CGY J. Farabee	1.8	1	0.44	1	19%	0
CGY C. Zary	1.8	4	0.50	2	20%	1
CGY M. Frost	1.7	0	0.47	0	17%	0
SJS J. Klingberg	1.6	1	0.48	0	11%	0
SJS C. Graf	1.4	4	0.51	0	20%	0
SJS A. Wennberg	1.4	3	0.63	0	18%	0
SJS P. Kurashev	1.3	3	0.44	0	15%	0
SJS M. Misa	1.3	0	0.40	1	12%	0
CGY M. Pospisil	1.2	1	0.25	0	7%	0
CGY A. Klapka	1.2	2	0.31	0	14%	0
CGY Y. Kuznetsov	1.2	1	0.24	1	8%	0
SJS D. Orlov	1.2	0	0.38	0	7%	0
SJS M. Ferraro	1.2	0	0.22	1	5%	0
SJS T. Liljegren	1.1	1	0.28	0	6%	0
CGY Z. Whitecloud	1.1	0	0.28	1	8%	0
CGY K. Bahl	1.1	0	0.31	0	6%	0
SJS S. Dickinson	1.0	1	0.22	0	3%	0
CGY Z. Parekh	1.0	0	0.22	0	7%	0
SJS B. Goodrow	0.8	0	0.16	0	8%	0
SJS Z. Ostapchuk	0.7	0	0.12	0	7%	0
CGY J. Beecher	0.6	1	0.14	0	7%	0
SJS V. Desharnais	0.6	3	0.12	0	2%	0
CGY J. Hanley	0.5	0	0.14	0	2%	0
SJS R. Reaves	0.5	0	0.10	0	5%	0

Shots on goal: 19 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.2 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.