Game Recap: CHI 5, DET 1, November 9, 2025

Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!

Game Recap

CHI5

FinalSun, Nov 9, 2025Every game that night

DET1

CHI beat DET 5-1 despite fewer good chances: 1.62 expected goals to 5.46. DET outshot CHI 46 to 20. C. Bedard led the way with 3 points (1 G, 2 A). D. Larkin had 7 shots on goal against our projection of 3.1. A. Soderblom stopped 45 of 46.

Team Stats

CHIDET

20Shots on goal46

1.62Expected goals5.46

33Shot attempts85

165v5 shots on goal35

3/3Power play0/5

17Hits20

16Blocked shots8

10Penalty minutes6

12Giveaways20

4Takeaways3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

CHI 1.62 xGDET 5.46 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

CHI19 on goal, 4 scored

DET45 on goal, 1 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

CHI Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
C. Bedard	C	1	2	3	2	0	1	0	0	17:55	1:19
T. Teravainen	C	1	1	2	1	0	0	0	0	18:56	1:19
A. Burakovsky	LW	1	1	2	4	0	3	0	0	15:54	1:19
T. Bertuzzi	LW	1	1	2	2	1	0	0	4	15:15	1:19
R. Donato	C	0	1	1	0	0	0	+1	0	12:42	0:00
O. Moore	C	1	0	1	5	0	0	+1	0	11:32	0:00
I. Mikheyev	RW	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	19:41	0:00
N. Foligno	LW	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	17:30	0:00
R. Greene	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	+1	0	17:27	0:00
C. Dach	C	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	0	12:19	0:00
S. Lafferty	C	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	11:26	0:00
A. Levshunov	D	0	2	2	0	2	2	0	0	17:08	1:19
L. Crevier	D	0	1	1	1	1	1	+1	2	15:33	0:00
M. Grzelcyk	D	0	1	1	0	0	1	+1	0	13:40	0:00
A. Vlasic	D	0	0	0	1	0	3	0	0	23:28	0:00
W. Kaiser	D	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	21:24	0:00
S. Rinzel	D	0	0	0	1	1	2	0	0	14:29	0:00
C. Murphy	D	0	0	0	1	4	1	0	4	13:41	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
A. Soderblom	46	45	1	.978	60:00	Win
S. Knight	0	0	0	–	0:00

DET Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
L. Raymond	LW	0	1	1	5	2	0	0	0	19:17	6:15
D. Larkin	C	1	0	1	7	0	0	0	2	18:45	5:49
A. DeBrincat	RW	0	0	0	4	1	0	0	0	19:39	6:10
P. Kane	RW	0	0	0	5	0	0	-1	0	17:34	5:27
E. Finnie	C	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	16:25	3:49
N. Danielson	C	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	15:16	3:30
J. van Riemsdyk	LW	0	0	0	3	0	0	-2	0	14:57	3:30
M. Kasper	C	0	0	0	1	3	1	-1	0	14:46	3:52
J. Compher	LW	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	14:38	0:18
A. Copp	C	0	0	0	0	1	0	-1	0	14:00	0:19
M. Appleton	C	0	0	0	3	3	1	0	0	12:00	0:17
E. Soderblom	LW	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	11:24	0:00
S. Edvinsson	D	0	1	1	3	0	2	+1	2	21:32	0:44
M. Seider	D	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	25:07	6:23
A. Sandin-Pellikka	D	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	21:02	3:26
B. Chiarot	D	0	0	0	2	3	2	0	0	19:08	0:11
A. Johansson	D	0	0	0	1	3	0	-1	0	12:41	0:00
T. Hamonic	D	0	0	0	2	0	1	-1	2	10:53	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Gibson	19	15	4	.789	59:37	Loss
C. Talbot	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

CHI

Line 1C. Bedard16:06A. Burakovsky14:10T. Bertuzzi13:33

Line 2R. Donato12:42O. Moore11:32I. Mikheyev14:25

Line 3N. Foligno11:57S. Lafferty11:26C. Dach12:19

Line 4T. Teravainen12:59R. Greene13:05

Pair 1C. Murphy10:23M. Grzelcyk13:35

Pair 2A. Vlasic18:59S. Rinzel14:24

Pair 3A. Levshunov13:42W. Kaiser15:36

DET

Line 1D. Larkin12:02L. Raymond12:39E. Finnie12:36

Line 2P. Kane11:44J. Compher13:32A. DeBrincat13:06

Line 3M. Appleton11:12N. Danielson11:46M. Kasper10:54

Line 4A. Copp12:53E. Soderblom11:24J. Riemsdyk11:04

Pair 1S. Edvinsson20:17M. Seider17:50

Pair 2B. Chiarot18:09A. Sandin-Pellikka16:48

Pair 3T. Hamonic10:53A. Johansson12:41

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamPatrick Kane CHI Faces DET, his team until Apr 20265 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	CHI 2.8, DET 3.5	CHI 5, DET 1
Total goals	6.3	6
Shots on goal	CHI 23.9, DET 30.8	CHI 20, DET 46
Win chance	DET 62%	CHI won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
DET A. DeBrincat	3.3	4	0.87	0	32%	0
DET D. Larkin	3.1	7	1.04	1	37%	1
DET P. Kane	2.7	5	0.86	0	27%	0
CHI C. Bedard	2.6	2	0.92	3	27%	1
DET L. Raymond	2.3	5	0.91	1	28%	0
DET M. Seider	2.1	2	0.59	0	10%	0
DET E. Finnie	2.1	1	0.63	0	24%	0
DET M. Kasper	2.1	1	0.50	0	23%	0
CHI T. Bertuzzi	1.9	2	0.68	2	28%	1
CHI I. Mikheyev	1.9	0	0.49	0	23%	0
CHI R. Donato	1.9	0	0.57	1	23%	0
CHI A. Burakovsky	1.8	4	0.67	2	22%	1
CHI S. Rinzel	1.5	1	0.32	0	6%	0
DET J. Riemsdyk	1.4	3	0.50	0	19%	0
CHI T. Teravainen	1.4	1	0.68	2	21%	1
DET J. Compher	1.4	0	0.47	0	18%	0
DET M. Appleton	1.3	3	0.37	0	13%	0
CHI O. Moore	1.3	5	0.40	1	12%	1
DET E. Soderblom	1.3	1	0.33	0	15%	0
DET A. Copp	1.2	0	0.44	0	16%	0
DET S. Edvinsson	1.2	3	0.40	1	11%	0
DET B. Chiarot	1.2	2	0.22	0	7%	0
CHI C. Dach	1.2	2	0.26	0	11%	0
DET A. Sandin-Pellikka	1.2	2	0.27	0	6%	0
CHI N. Foligno	1.1	0	0.37	0	14%	0
DET T. Hamonic	1.1	2	0.17	0	5%	0
CHI W. Kaiser	1.0	0	0.19	0	4%	0
CHI A. Vlasic	1.0	1	0.25	0	3%	0
DET A. Johansson	1.0	1	0.19	0	5%	0
CHI R. Greene	0.9	0	0.31	0	15%	0
CHI M. Grzelcyk	0.9	0	0.24	1	1%	0
CHI A. Levshunov	0.9	0	0.32	2	2%	0
CHI C. Murphy	0.8	1	0.15	0	3%	0
CHI L. Crevier	0.8	1	0.17	1	5%	0
CHI S. Lafferty	0.7	0	0.17	0	9%	0

Shots on goal: 19 of 35 players within one of their projection; they took 0.2 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.