Game Recap: CHI 2, EDM 3 (OT), November 1, 2025

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Game Recap

CHI2

Final/OTSat, Nov 1, 2025Every game that night

EDM3

EDM beat CHI 3-2 in overtime, and the chances backed it up: 3.82 expected goals to 2.62. C. McDavid led the way with 3 points (0 G, 3 A). A. Burakovsky had 5 shots on goal against our projection of 1.6. S. Skinner stopped 27 of 29.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	OT	T
CHI	0	1	1	0	2
EDM	0	2	0	1	3

2nd 0:54EDML. DraisaitlPP0.08 xG
2nd 8:32CHIT. BertuzziPP0.32 xG
2nd 17:17EDMJ. RoslovicPP0.09 xG
3rd 3:19CHIA. Burakovsky0.04 xG
OT 2:43EDME. Bouchard0.10 xG

Team Stats

CHIEDM

29Shots on goal30

2.62Expected goals3.82

55Shot attempts63

255v5 shots on goal20

1/1Power play2/3

9Hits18

17Blocked shots14

6Penalty minutes2

14Giveaways14

5Takeaways5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

CHI 2.62 xGEDM 3.82 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

CHI27 on goal, 2 scored

EDM29 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

CHI Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
A. Burakovsky	LW	1	1	2	5	0	0	+1	0	17:28	1:08
C. Bedard	C	0	1	1	4	0	1	+1	2	18:54	1:08
R. Greene	C	0	1	1	1	0	0	+1	0	17:33	0:00
T. Bertuzzi	LW	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	16:52	1:08
F. Nazar	C	0	0	0	5	0	3	0	0	21:10	1:08
T. Teravainen	C	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	19:56	0:00
I. Mikheyev	RW	0	0	0	1	0	0	-1	0	19:13	0:00
R. Donato	C	0	0	0	1	1	0	-1	0	17:02	0:00
N. Foligno	LW	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	13:47	0:00
C. Dach	C	0	0	0	1	4	1	0	2	10:29	0:00
L. Slaggert	LW	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	9:11	0:00
A. Levshunov	D	0	1	1	1	0	4	0	0	14:17	0:00
A. Vlasic	D	0	0	0	3	0	2	0	0	23:14	0:00
W. Kaiser	D	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	2	21:07	0:00
L. Crevier	D	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	18:52	0:00
S. Rinzel	D	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	16:51	1:08
M. Grzelcyk	D	0	0	0	1	1	0	+1	0	14:54	0:00
C. Murphy	D	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	12:29	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
S. Knight	30	27	3	.900	62:43	OT loss
A. Soderblom	0	0	0	–	0:00

EDM Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
C. McDavid	C	0	3	3	5	0	0	+1	0	25:04	4:14
L. Draisaitl	C	1	1	2	3	0	0	+1	0	22:22	4:10
J. Roslovic	C	1	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	22:52	4:08
R. Nugent-Hopkins	C	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	19:55	4:09
V. Podkolzin	RW	0	0	0	3	6	2	-1	0	16:09	0:00
A. Mangiapane	LW	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	16:08	0:00
T. Frederic	C	0	0	0	1	2	0	-1	0	13:41	0:00
A. Henrique	C	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	12:38	0:42
M. Savoie	C	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	12:17	0:41
I. Howard	LW	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	9:52	0:40
N. Philp	C	0	0	0	0	3	0	-1	2	8:55	0:00
C. Lazar	C	0	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	8:41	0:00
E. Bouchard	D	1	1	2	4	1	1	+1	0	24:21	4:05
J. Walman	D	0	0	0	1	0	3	0	0	23:22	0:45
D. Nurse	D	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	22:22	0:00
M. Ekholm	D	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	20:02	0:36
B. Kulak	D	0	0	0	3	0	0	-1	0	14:27	0:00
T. Emberson	D	0	0	0	0	2	0	-1	0	13:54	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
S. Skinner	29	27	2	.931	62:42	Win
C. Pickard	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

CHI

Line 1T. Teravainen17:33F. Nazar17:09T. Bertuzzi15:43

Line 2R. Donato16:39I. Mikheyev15:23N. Foligno12:10

Line 3A. Burakovsky15:21R. Greene15:26C. Bedard16:47

Line 4L. Slaggert9:11C. Dach10:29

Pair 1A. Vlasic19:23L. Crevier16:26

Pair 2W. Kaiser20:21A. Levshunov12:32

Pair 3C. Murphy9:11M. Grzelcyk14:38

EDM

Line 1L. Draisaitl16:59J. Roslovic18:01V. Podkolzin15:22

Line 2R. Nugent-Hopkins14:35C. McDavid19:27A. Mangiapane15:06

Line 3A. Henrique11:11T. Frederic13:41M. Savoie10:54

Line 4C. Lazar8:40I. Howard9:12N. Philp8:55

Pair 1D. Nurse21:05J. Walman22:11

Pair 2M. Ekholm17:58E. Bouchard18:27

Pair 3B. Kulak14:27T. Emberson13:54

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamAndrew Mangiapane CHI First game back in Edmonton, his team until Feb 20261 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	CHI 2.6, EDM 3.8	CHI 2, EDM 3
Total goals	6.4	5
Shots on goal	CHI 22.8, EDM 33.0	CHI 29, EDM 30
Win chance	EDM 68%	EDM won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
EDM C. McDavid	3.6	5	1.86	3	43%	0
EDM L. Draisaitl	3.3	3	1.61	2	49%	1
EDM E. Bouchard	2.8	4	1.00	2	19%	1
CHI C. Bedard	2.4	4	0.82	1	25%	0
EDM R. Nugent-Hopkins	2.3	1	0.93	1	27%	0
EDM J. Roslovic	2.2	2	0.60	1	22%	1
EDM D. Nurse	2.1	1	0.43	0	10%	0
CHI F. Nazar	2.1	5	0.67	0	25%	0
CHI R. Donato	2.0	1	0.58	0	23%	0
EDM J. Walman	1.9	1	0.50	0	12%	0
CHI I. Mikheyev	1.9	1	0.46	0	21%	0
EDM M. Ekholm	1.8	0	0.47	0	10%	0
CHI T. Bertuzzi	1.7	1	0.57	1	22%	1
EDM V. Podkolzin	1.6	3	0.42	0	15%	0
CHI A. Burakovsky	1.6	5	0.55	2	18%	1
EDM A. Henrique	1.6	0	0.46	0	21%	0
CHI S. Rinzel	1.5	2	0.34	0	7%	0
EDM A. Mangiapane	1.5	1	0.48	0	22%	0
CHI T. Teravainen	1.4	1	0.67	0	20%	0
EDM B. Kulak	1.3	3	0.28	0	6%	0
EDM N. Philp	1.3	0	0.31	0	13%	0
EDM M. Savoie	1.3	2	0.23	0	12%	0
EDM T. Frederic	1.2	1	0.31	0	16%	0
CHI N. Foligno	1.2	0	0.41	0	14%	0
CHI C. Dach	1.2	1	0.31	0	12%	0
EDM I. Howard	1.2	3	0.31	0	14%	0
CHI W. Kaiser	0.9	1	0.17	0	4%	0
EDM T. Emberson	0.9	0	0.22	0	4%	0
CHI L. Slaggert	0.8	0	0.18	0	8%	0
EDM C. Lazar	0.8	0	0.24	0	10%	0
CHI A. Vlasic	0.8	3	0.21	0	3%	0
CHI C. Murphy	0.8	0	0.14	0	4%	0
CHI R. Greene	0.7	1	0.27	1	13%	0
CHI A. Levshunov	0.7	1	0.22	1	2%	0
CHI M. Grzelcyk	0.7	1	0.20	0	1%	0
CHI L. Crevier	0.6	1	0.13	0	5%	0

Shots on goal: 20 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.