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Game Recap
CHI0
LAK6
LAK beat CHI 6-0, and the chances backed it up: 3.86 expected goals to 1.08. LAK outshot CHI 32 to 23. B. Clarke led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). W. Foegele had 6 shots on goal against our projection of 2.0. D. Kuemper stopped 23 of 23.
Scoring
| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| LAK | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
- 2nd 1:55LAKW. Foegele0.13 xG
- 2nd 16:38LAKA. KuzmenkoPP0.15 xG
- 2nd 19:06LAKB. Clarke0.11 xG
- 3rd 4:46LAKB. Clarke0.10 xG
- 3rd 6:18LAKM. Anderson0.08 xG
- 3rd 9:34LAKA. Turcotte0.40 xG
Team Stats
CHILAK
23Shots on goal32
1.08Expected goals3.86
44Shot attempts53
215v5 shots on goal27
0/3Power play1/2
10Hits20
11Blocked shots10
6Penalty minutes8
18Giveaways22
5Takeaways7
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
CHI 1.08 xGLAK 3.86 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
CHI Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Bedard | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 22:07 | 3:57 |
| R. Greene | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 21:27 | 2:06 |
| T. Bertuzzi | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 19:28 | 3:54 |
| F. Nazar | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 19:20 | 3:53 |
| A. Burakovsky | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 18:58 | 3:24 |
| R. Donato | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 15:50 | 2:37 |
| O. Moore | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 15:03 | 1:44 |
| J. Dickinson | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 14:00 | 0:00 |
| I. Mikheyev | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 13:42 | 0:00 |
| C. Dach | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:07 | 2:07 |
| S. Lafferty | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:47 | 0:00 |
| M. Grzelcyk | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 19:12 | 0:00 |
| A. Vlasic | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 18:13 | 0:00 |
| A. Levshunov | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 2 | 16:57 | 3:43 |
| W. Kaiser | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 16:49 | 0:19 |
| L. Crevier | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:20 | 0:00 |
| C. Murphy | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 15:09 | 0:00 |
| S. Rinzel | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 12:40 | 2:17 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Knight | 32 | 26 | 6 | .813 | 59:42 | Loss |
| A. Soderblom | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
LAK Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Turcotte | C | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 9:05 | 0:00 |
| P. Danault | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 16:28 | 0:00 |
| K. Fiala | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:24 | 1:04 |
| T. Moore | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 15:30 | 0:00 |
| A. Kempe | RW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:22 | 1:04 |
| A. Laferriere | RW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:56 | 1:05 |
| W. Foegele | LW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:55 | 0:00 |
| A. Kuzmenko | LW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:03 | 1:04 |
| C. Perry | RW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 11:28 | 1:05 |
| Q. Byfield | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:46 | 1:05 |
| A. Kopitar | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:42 | 1:04 |
| J. Armia | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15:18 | 1:05 |
| D. Doughty | D | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 21:35 | 1:04 |
| B. Clarke | D | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 17:36 | 1:05 |
| M. Anderson | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 22:09 | 0:00 |
| B. Dumoulin | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 19:40 | 0:00 |
| J. Edmundson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 19:32 | 0:00 |
| C. Ceci | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:31 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Kuemper | 23 | 23 | 0 | 1.000 | 60:00 | Win |
| A. Forsberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
Lines at 5-on-5
CHI
Line 1A. Burakovsky14:59C. Bedard17:31R. Greene16:56
Line 2T. Bertuzzi15:28F. Nazar14:49O. Moore12:14
Line 3J. Dickinson12:55I. Mikheyev11:48R. Donato12:23
Line 4C. Dach10:49S. Lafferty8:36
Pair 1A. Vlasic16:56A. Levshunov12:46
Pair 2W. Kaiser14:28L. Crevier13:18
Pair 3M. Grzelcyk18:11S. Rinzel9:33
LAK
Line 1A. Kopitar12:59A. Kempe12:56A. Laferriere12:02
Line 2P. Danault14:18T. Moore12:57W. Foegele13:05
Line 3K. Fiala14:32Q. Byfield12:24J. Armia13:01
Line 4C. Perry10:23A. Turcotte9:05A. Kuzmenko10:59
Pair 1D. Doughty19:52M. Anderson17:20
Pair 2B. Dumoulin17:29C. Ceci15:37
Pair 3B. Clarke14:53J. Edmundson13:58
From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | CHI 2.5, LAK 3.2 | CHI 0, LAK 6 |
| Total goals | 5.7 | 6 |
| Shots on goal | CHI 23.8, LAK 30.8 | CHI 23, LAK 32 |
| Win chance | LAK 63% | LAK won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK K. Fiala | 3.4 | 3 | 0.93 | 1 | 35% | 0 |
| LAK A. Kempe | 3.2 | 2 | 0.99 | 1 | 37% | 0 |
| CHI C. Bedard | 2.7 | 2 | 0.86 | 0 | 27% | 0 |
| LAK A. Laferriere | 2.5 | 1 | 0.54 | 1 | 22% | 0 |
| LAK Q. Byfield | 2.5 | 2 | 0.82 | 0 | 25% | 0 |
| LAK B. Clarke | 2.2 | 4 | 0.58 | 2 | 12% | 2 |
| LAK T. Moore | 2.2 | 0 | 0.55 | 1 | 22% | 0 |
| CHI F. Nazar | 2.0 | 1 | 0.63 | 0 | 21% | 0 |
| LAK W. Foegele | 2.0 | 6 | 0.45 | 1 | 20% | 1 |
| CHI T. Bertuzzi | 1.9 | 2 | 0.61 | 0 | 25% | 0 |
| LAK C. Perry | 1.8 | 1 | 0.49 | 1 | 23% | 0 |
| CHI I. Mikheyev | 1.8 | 2 | 0.39 | 0 | 20% | 0 |
| CHI R. Donato | 1.6 | 2 | 0.43 | 0 | 18% | 0 |
| LAK A. Kopitar | 1.6 | 2 | 0.86 | 0 | 26% | 0 |
| CHI A. Burakovsky | 1.6 | 2 | 0.58 | 0 | 18% | 0 |
| LAK P. Danault | 1.6 | 0 | 0.50 | 1 | 16% | 0 |
| LAK J. Armia | 1.5 | 1 | 0.45 | 0 | 19% | 0 |
| LAK A. Kuzmenko | 1.4 | 1 | 0.58 | 1 | 23% | 1 |
| CHI R. Greene | 1.4 | 1 | 0.35 | 0 | 15% | 0 |
| LAK D. Doughty | 1.3 | 1 | 0.52 | 2 | 12% | 0 |
| LAK J. Edmundson | 1.3 | 1 | 0.29 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| CHI A. Levshunov | 1.2 | 1 | 0.37 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| CHI J. Dickinson | 1.2 | 0 | 0.28 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| CHI S. Rinzel | 1.1 | 0 | 0.22 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| CHI O. Moore | 1.0 | 3 | 0.35 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| CHI C. Dach | 1.0 | 1 | 0.20 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| LAK C. Ceci | 1.0 | 0 | 0.26 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| CHI W. Kaiser | 1.0 | 0 | 0.16 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| LAK B. Dumoulin | 1.0 | 2 | 0.29 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| CHI A. Vlasic | 0.9 | 0 | 0.19 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| LAK M. Anderson | 0.9 | 2 | 0.28 | 1 | 6% | 1 |
| LAK A. Turcotte | 0.9 | 3 | 0.23 | 2 | 9% | 1 |
| CHI M. Grzelcyk | 0.9 | 1 | 0.21 | 0 | 2% | 0 |
| CHI L. Crevier | 0.9 | 4 | 0.18 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| CHI C. Murphy | 0.8 | 1 | 0.13 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| CHI S. Lafferty | 0.7 | 0 | 0.15 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 22 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.0 fewer than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.