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Game Recap
CHI2
MIN3
MIN beat CHI 3-2, with the chances close: 2.34 expected goals to 1.89. R. Donato led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). M. Fleury stopped 21 of 23.
Scoring
| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| MIN | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
- 1st 2:23CHIR. Donato0.21 xG
- 2nd 5:43CHIR. DonatoPP0.07 xG
- 2nd 10:22MINM. Rossi0.07 xG
- 2nd 10:39MINJ. Spurgeon0.39 xG
- 2nd 17:33MINJ. Spurgeon0.01 xG
Team Stats
CHIMIN
23Shots on goal29
1.89Expected goals2.34
39Shot attempts60
195v5 shots on goal28
1/3Power play0/2
14Hits17
16Blocked shots4
4Penalty minutes4
19Giveaways14
10Takeaways1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
CHI 1.89 xGMIN 2.34 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
CHI Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Donato | C | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:40 | 3:23 |
| C. Bedard | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 21:09 | 3:42 |
| T. Bertuzzi | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:53 | 3:29 |
| T. Hall | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 18:10 | 1:28 |
| P. Kurashev | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 17:22 | 0:00 |
| T. Teravainen | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:29 | 3:20 |
| N. Foligno | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:09 | 0:00 |
| I. Mikheyev | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:20 | 0:00 |
| J. Dickinson | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 14:18 | 0:00 |
| C. Smith | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:19 | 1:09 |
| P. Maroon | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:51 | 1:20 |
| L. Reichel | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 10:56 | 1:31 |
| A. Vlasic | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 22:59 | 3:18 |
| C. Murphy | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 2 | 21:01 | 0:02 |
| A. Martinez | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 0 | 20:59 | 1:33 |
| W. Kaiser | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 0 | 20:18 | 0:00 |
| L. Crevier | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 14:32 | 0:00 |
| T. Brodie | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 14:04 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Mrazek | 29 | 26 | 3 | .897 | 58:31 | Loss |
| A. Soderblom | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
MIN Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Eriksson Ek | C | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 21:43 | 2:55 |
| K. Kaprizov | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 25:38 | 3:36 |
| M. Boldy | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:28 | 3:01 |
| M. Rossi | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:19 | 1:34 |
| M. Johansson | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:26 | 1:04 |
| M. Foligno | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:35 | 0:00 |
| R. Hartman | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:50 | 0:25 |
| F. Gaudreau | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 13:26 | 1:01 |
| Y. Trenin | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:22 | 0:00 |
| M. Khusnutdinov | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:04 | 0:00 |
| B. Jones | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:03 | 0:00 |
| D. Shore | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 7:43 | 0:00 |
| J. Spurgeon | D | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 19:17 | 2:51 |
| J. Middleton | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 23:53 | 0:33 |
| B. Faber | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 23:47 | 2:03 |
| D. Chisholm | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 18:43 | 0:57 |
| Z. Bogosian | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:52 | 0:00 |
| J. Merrill | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:00 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Fleury | 23 | 21 | 2 | .913 | 60:00 | Win |
| F. Gustavsson | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
Storylines That Played Out
As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | CHI 2.4, MIN 3.5 | CHI 2, MIN 3 |
| Total goals | 5.8 | 5 |
| Shots on goal | CHI 25.5, MIN 32.6 | CHI 23, MIN 29 |
| Win chance | MIN 68% | MIN won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN K. Kaprizov | 3.8 | 2 | 1.47 | 1 | 50% | 0 |
| MIN M. Boldy | 3.6 | 4 | 1.06 | 1 | 37% | 0 |
| MIN J. Ek | 3.2 | 3 | 0.84 | 2 | 32% | 0 |
| MIN R. Hartman | 2.4 | 3 | 0.64 | 0 | 26% | 0 |
| CHI C. Bedard | 2.4 | 4 | 0.69 | 1 | 21% | 0 |
| CHI R. Donato | 2.1 | 3 | 0.45 | 2 | 19% | 2 |
| MIN M. Rossi | 2.0 | 1 | 0.57 | 1 | 23% | 1 |
| CHI T. Hall | 2.0 | 2 | 0.52 | 0 | 20% | 0 |
| MIN M. Johansson | 1.9 | 0 | 0.51 | 1 | 20% | 0 |
| MIN F. Gaudreau | 1.7 | 2 | 0.44 | 0 | 18% | 0 |
| CHI T. Teravainen | 1.6 | 1 | 0.52 | 0 | 20% | 0 |
| CHI I. Mikheyev | 1.6 | 0 | 0.34 | 0 | 17% | 0 |
| MIN J. Spurgeon | 1.6 | 2 | 0.43 | 2 | 8% | 2 |
| CHI N. Foligno | 1.6 | 1 | 0.41 | 0 | 17% | 0 |
| CHI T. Bertuzzi | 1.5 | 0 | 0.45 | 1 | 19% | 0 |
| CHI C. Smith | 1.5 | 3 | 0.31 | 0 | 14% | 0 |
| MIN B. Faber | 1.5 | 0 | 0.54 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| MIN J. Middleton | 1.3 | 1 | 0.36 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| MIN Y. Trenin | 1.3 | 1 | 0.25 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| CHI P. Kurashev | 1.3 | 1 | 0.43 | 0 | 15% | 0 |
| CHI J. Dickinson | 1.3 | 0 | 0.34 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| CHI L. Reichel | 1.2 | 2 | 0.29 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| CHI C. Murphy | 1.1 | 0 | 0.23 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| CHI A. Martinez | 1.1 | 0 | 0.24 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| MIN Z. Bogosian | 1.1 | 0 | 0.18 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| CHI A. Vlasic | 1.1 | 2 | 0.26 | 1 | 3% | 0 |
| MIN D. Chisholm | 1.1 | 3 | 0.31 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| MIN M. Foligno | 1.0 | 2 | 0.40 | 1 | 18% | 0 |
| MIN B. Jones | 0.9 | 1 | 0.15 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| CHI P. Maroon | 0.9 | 0 | 0.27 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| CHI L. Crevier | 0.8 | 1 | 0.16 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| CHI W. Kaiser | 0.8 | 2 | 0.16 | 0 | 2% | 0 |
| MIN D. Shore | 0.7 | 0 | 0.20 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| MIN J. Merrill | 0.7 | 2 | 0.18 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| CHI T. Brodie | 0.6 | 1 | 0.22 | 0 | 2% | 0 |
| MIN M. Khusnutdinov | 0.4 | 2 | 0.21 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 19 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 fewer than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.