Game Recap: CHI 1, NYR 6, March 27, 2026

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Game Recap

CHI1

FinalFri, Mar 27, 2026Every game that night

NYR6

NYR beat CHI 6-1, and the chances backed it up: 3.94 expected goals to 2.46. NYR outshot CHI 38 to 28. J. Miller led the way with 3 points (1 G, 2 A). A. Levshunov had 5 shots on goal against our projection of 1.4. D. Garand stopped 27 of 28.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
CHI	1	0	0	1
NYR	1	3	2	6

1st 17:34CHIN. Lardis0.16 xG
1st 18:32NYRJ. Miller0.27 xG
2nd 5:24NYRM. Robertson0.03 xG
2nd 8:20NYRA. Sykora0.20 xG
2nd 16:07NYRJ. Brodzinski0.06 xG
3rd 13:17NYRA. LafrenièrePP0.12 xG
3rd 16:00NYRJ. Brodzinski0.17 xG

Team Stats

CHINYR

28Shots on goal38

2.46Expected goals3.94

48Shot attempts68

225v5 shots on goal33

0/3Power play1/3

12Hits22

9Blocked shots9

13Penalty minutes13

20Giveaways14

3Takeaways6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

CHI 2.46 xGNYR 3.94 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

CHI27 on goal, 1 scored

NYR38 on goal, 6 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

CHI Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
T. Bertuzzi	LW	0	1	1	2	1	0	0	0	17:06	4:34
N. Lardis	LW	1	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	10:57	1:12
A. Frondell	C	0	0	0	1	1	1	-2	0	20:50	4:29
C. Bedard	C	0	0	0	3	0	0	-2	0	20:32	4:33
R. Greene	C	0	0	0	1	1	0	-2	0	17:27	1:45
F. Nazar	C	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	16:33	4:13
I. Mikheyev	RW	0	0	0	0	0	0	-1	0	15:14	0:00
T. Teravainen	C	0	0	0	0	2	0	-1	0	13:52	1:12
A. Burakovsky	LW	0	0	0	2	0	0	-1	0	13:19	1:21
R. Donato	C	0	0	0	1	0	0	-1	0	12:59	0:14
L. Slaggert	LW	0	0	0	2	1	0	-1	0	11:51	0:00
S. Boisvert	C	0	0	0	0	2	0	-1	7	10:05	0:00
A. Vlasic	D	0	1	1	0	0	1	-2	4	19:15	0:11
A. Levshunov	D	0	0	0	5	2	3	-2	0	22:33	4:08
S. Rinzel	D	0	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	19:35	1:54
L. Crevier	D	0	0	0	4	1	1	-1	0	18:05	0:00
W. Kaiser	D	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	17:44	0:14
E. Del Mastro	D	0	0	0	2	1	1	-2	2	17:36	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
A. Soderblom	38	32	6	.842	60:00	Loss
S. Knight	0	0	0	–	0:00

NYR Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
J. Miller	C	1	2	3	5	3	1	+2	0	17:00	1:42
J. Brodzinski	C	2	0	2	3	2	0	+2	0	11:00	1:47
V. Trocheck	C	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	18:33	1:48
A. Lafrenière	LW	1	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	16:34	1:58
W. Cuylle	LW	0	1	1	1	4	0	0	2	15:31	0:00
C. Sheary	LW	0	1	1	1	1	0	+2	2	15:28	1:27
A. Sykora	LW	1	0	1	3	1	0	0	0	13:56	0:43
T. Raddysh	RW	0	1	1	3	0	0	+2	0	10:05	1:39
J. Chmelar	RW	0	1	1	4	2	2	+2	0	9:47	1:17
T. Kartye	LW	0	0	0	3	2	1	+2	0	16:46	0:42
M. Zibanejad	C	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	2	15:54	1:44
G. Perreault	RW	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	15:28	0:45
B. Schneider	D	0	1	1	1	0	1	+3	0	21:49	0:48
A. Fox	D	0	1	1	2	1	1	0	0	21:38	1:44
W. Borgen	D	0	1	1	1	2	1	+2	5	17:41	0:00
D. Fortescue	D	0	1	1	1	2	0	+1	0	17:23	1:05
M. Robertson	D	1	0	1	3	1	0	+2	0	15:53	0:55
V. Gavrikov	D	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	23:34	2:11

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
D. Garand	28	27	1	.964	60:00	Win
I. Shesterkin	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

CHI

Line 1C. Bedard15:59A. Frondell16:21R. Greene14:18

Line 2R. Donato12:45I. Mikheyev12:41A. Burakovsky11:58

Line 3T. Teravainen10:46L. Slaggert10:12S. Boisvert10:05

Line 4F. Nazar10:59T. Bertuzzi12:32N. Lardis9:45

Pair 1A. Vlasic17:55A. Levshunov16:20

Pair 2S. Rinzel17:41W. Kaiser15:27

Pair 3L. Crevier15:41E. Mastro16:20

NYR

Line 1A. Lafrenière14:35G. Perreault14:43M. Zibanejad12:42

Line 2V. Trocheck14:19W. Cuylle13:14A. Sykora13:13

Line 3C. Sheary13:43T. Kartye13:31J. Miller13:05

Line 4J. Brodzinski9:13J. Chmelar8:30T. Raddysh7:42

Pair 1V. Gavrikov19:05A. Fox18:06

Pair 2B. Schneider17:18D. Fortescue16:03

Pair 3W. Borgen14:35M. Robertson14:08

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	CHI 2.5, NYR 3.3	CHI 1, NYR 6
Total goals	5.8	7
Shots on goal	CHI 24.7, NYR 28.4	CHI 28, NYR 38
Win chance	NYR 63%	NYR won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
NYR M. Zibanejad	2.9	3	1.07	0	34%	0
CHI C. Bedard	2.9	3	0.94	0	29%	0
NYR A. Lafrenière	2.5	2	0.85	1	30%	1
NYR J. Miller	2.3	5	1.07	3	32%	1
NYR V. Trocheck	2.2	0	0.92	1	29%	0
NYR W. Cuylle	2.0	1	0.50	1	22%	0
CHI F. Nazar	2.0	2	0.64	0	21%	0
CHI T. Bertuzzi	2.0	2	0.68	1	27%	0
NYR A. Fox	1.9	2	0.98	1	17%	0
CHI S. Rinzel	1.8	1	0.32	0	6%	0
NYR G. Perreault	1.7	2	0.58	0	19%	0
CHI I. Mikheyev	1.6	0	0.43	0	20%	0
CHI R. Greene	1.6	1	0.42	0	15%	0
NYR V. Gavrikov	1.5	0	0.42	0	12%	0
CHI L. Crevier	1.5	4	0.20	0	6%	0
NYR B. Schneider	1.4	1	0.30	1	8%	0
CHI R. Donato	1.4	1	0.43	0	18%	0
CHI A. Levshunov	1.4	5	0.38	0	5%	0
NYR M. Robertson	1.3	3	0.30	1	8%	1
NYR C. Sheary	1.3	1	0.36	1	15%	0
NYR T. Kartye	1.3	3	0.41	0	17%	0
CHI A. Burakovsky	1.2	2	0.45	0	15%	0
CHI A. Vlasic	1.2	0	0.25	1	3%	0
CHI N. Lardis	1.2	2	0.37	1	16%	1
CHI W. Kaiser	1.1	0	0.20	0	6%	0
CHI T. Teravainen	1.1	0	0.51	0	17%	0
NYR J. Brodzinski	1.1	3	0.26	2	11%	2
NYR W. Borgen	1.0	1	0.23	1	7%	0
NYR T. Raddysh	0.9	3	0.30	1	12%	0
CHI L. Slaggert	0.8	2	0.14	0	6%	0
CHI E. Mastro	0.7	2	0.13	0	4%	0
NYR J. Chmelar	0.6	4	0.16	1	10%	0

Shots on goal: 15 of 32 players within one of their projection; they took 0.4 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.