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Game Recap
CHI1
SEA3
SEA beat CHI 3-1, and the chances backed it up: 3.15 expected goals to 1.46. J. Daccord stopped 18 of 19.
Scoring
| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| SEA | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
- 2nd 4:18SEAM. Beniers0.14 xG
- 3rd 1:34SEAJ. SchwartzPP0.19 xG
- 3rd 3:22CHIR. Donato0.25 xG
- 3rd 19:41SEAB. TanevEN0.94 xG
Team Stats
CHISEA
19Shots on goal26
1.46Expected goals3.15
40Shot attempts65
165v5 shots on goal21
0/1Power play1/3
12Hits14
15Blocked shots11
6Penalty minutes2
9Giveaways8
6Takeaways8
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
CHI 1.46 xGSEA 3.15 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
CHI Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Donato | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:23 | 0:26 |
| C. Bedard | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 19:57 | 0:26 |
| N. Foligno | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 17:34 | 0:00 |
| P. Kurashev | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 16:38 | 0:00 |
| T. Teravainen | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 14:34 | 0:26 |
| T. Bertuzzi | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 14:34 | 0:26 |
| J. Anderson | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:32 | 0:00 |
| T. Hall | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:23 | 0:00 |
| L. Reichel | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:08 | 0:00 |
| C. Smith | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:23 | 0:00 |
| P. Maroon | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:07 | 0:00 |
| J. Dickinson | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:04 | 0:00 |
| S. Jones | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 2 | 26:12 | 0:26 |
| A. Vlasic | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22:22 | 0:00 |
| C. Murphy | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20:23 | 0:00 |
| A. Martinez | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 19:32 | 0:00 |
| T. Brodie | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:30 | 0:00 |
| W. Kaiser | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:09 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Mrazek | 25 | 23 | 2 | .920 | 58:41 | Loss |
| A. Soderblom | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
SEA Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Stephenson | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:15 | 2:56 |
| J. Schwartz | LW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:22 | 2:48 |
| M. Beniers | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:21 | 2:02 |
| J. McCann | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 19:10 | 2:55 |
| O. Bjorkstrand | RW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:27 | 1:03 |
| B. Tanev | LW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:22 | 0:00 |
| Y. Gourde | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 16:03 | 0:00 |
| E. Tolvanen | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:49 | 1:25 |
| A. Burakovsky | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:05 | 1:25 |
| S. Wright | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:54 | 1:08 |
| T. Kartye | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 9:31 | 0:00 |
| J. Eberle | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:22 | 0:56 |
| R. Evans | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 24:33 | 1:25 |
| A. Larsson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 22:48 | 0:26 |
| B. Montour | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22:01 | 3:11 |
| J. Oleksiak | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:09 | 0:00 |
| W. Borgen | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:20 | 0:00 |
| J. Mahura | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:28 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Daccord | 19 | 18 | 1 | .947 | 60:00 | Win |
| P. Grubauer | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
Storylines That Played Out
As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | CHI 2.5, SEA 3.3 | CHI 1, SEA 3 |
| Total goals | 5.8 | 4 |
| Shots on goal | CHI 25.5, SEA 30.7 | CHI 19, SEA 26 |
| Win chance | SEA 63% | SEA won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA J. McCann | 2.9 | 1 | 0.98 | 1 | 37% | 0 |
| CHI C. Bedard | 2.6 | 1 | 0.74 | 0 | 22% | 0 |
| SEA B. Montour | 2.5 | 3 | 0.64 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| CHI S. Jones | 2.2 | 3 | 0.46 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| SEA O. Bjorkstrand | 2.2 | 1 | 0.65 | 1 | 24% | 0 |
| CHI T. Hall | 2.1 | 1 | 0.56 | 0 | 21% | 0 |
| SEA J. Schwartz | 2.0 | 3 | 0.60 | 1 | 24% | 1 |
| SEA J. Eberle | 2.0 | 2 | 0.67 | 0 | 24% | 0 |
| CHI R. Donato | 2.0 | 4 | 0.44 | 1 | 18% | 1 |
| CHI T. Bertuzzi | 1.8 | 0 | 0.53 | 0 | 22% | 0 |
| SEA A. Burakovsky | 1.7 | 1 | 0.56 | 0 | 19% | 0 |
| SEA M. Beniers | 1.7 | 3 | 0.61 | 1 | 23% | 1 |
| CHI T. Teravainen | 1.7 | 2 | 0.58 | 0 | 21% | 0 |
| SEA Y. Gourde | 1.7 | 1 | 0.51 | 0 | 18% | 0 |
| SEA E. Tolvanen | 1.7 | 2 | 0.48 | 0 | 21% | 0 |
| CHI N. Foligno | 1.6 | 1 | 0.43 | 0 | 17% | 0 |
| SEA B. Tanev | 1.5 | 2 | 0.38 | 1 | 19% | 1 |
| CHI C. Smith | 1.5 | 0 | 0.30 | 0 | 14% | 0 |
| SEA A. Larsson | 1.4 | 2 | 0.26 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| SEA C. Stephenson | 1.4 | 2 | 0.82 | 1 | 24% | 0 |
| CHI J. Dickinson | 1.3 | 1 | 0.37 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| SEA R. Evans | 1.3 | 1 | 0.41 | 1 | 7% | 0 |
| SEA J. Oleksiak | 1.3 | 0 | 0.27 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| CHI P. Kurashev | 1.3 | 0 | 0.45 | 0 | 15% | 0 |
| CHI L. Reichel | 1.2 | 1 | 0.32 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| SEA T. Kartye | 1.2 | 1 | 0.28 | 0 | 15% | 0 |
| CHI C. Murphy | 1.1 | 0 | 0.21 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| CHI A. Martinez | 1.1 | 1 | 0.23 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| SEA W. Borgen | 1.1 | 0 | 0.26 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| CHI J. Anderson | 1.0 | 0 | 0.28 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| CHI A. Vlasic | 1.0 | 2 | 0.26 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| SEA S. Wright | 0.9 | 1 | 0.32 | 0 | 17% | 0 |
| CHI P. Maroon | 0.8 | 0 | 0.23 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| SEA J. Mahura | 0.8 | 0 | 0.20 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| CHI W. Kaiser | 0.8 | 2 | 0.18 | 0 | 2% | 0 |
| CHI T. Brodie | 0.5 | 0 | 0.19 | 0 | 2% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 21 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.3 fewer than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.