Game Recap: CHI 4, SEA 2, April 4, 2026

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Game Recap

CHI4

FinalSat, Apr 4, 2026Every game that night

SEA2

CHI beat SEA 4-2, and the chances backed it up: 3.73 expected goals to 2.37. I. Mikheyev led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). R. Donato had 6 shots on goal against our projection of 1.4. A. Soderblom stopped 25 of 27.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
CHI	0	2	2	4
SEA	0	0	2	2

2nd 9:15CHIT. TeravainenPP0.16 xG
2nd 19:37CHIT. Bertuzzi0.20 xG
3rd 10:48SEAJ. Schwartz0.18 xG
3rd 13:08CHIS. Boisvert0.25 xG
3rd 14:18SEAK. Kakko0.21 xG
3rd 18:48CHII. MikheyevEN0.39 xG

Team Stats

CHISEA

31Shots on goal27

3.73Expected goals2.37

58Shot attempts61

245v5 shots on goal21

1/3Power play0/2

17Hits16

20Blocked shots12

4Penalty minutes6

16Giveaways13

6Takeaways6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

CHI 3.73 xGSEA 2.37 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

CHI31 on goal, 4 scored

SEA26 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

CHI Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
C. Bedard	C	0	2	2	2	0	1	0	0	17:41	3:36
I. Mikheyev	RW	1	1	2	2	1	1	+1	0	17:14	0:00
T. Teravainen	C	1	0	1	4	0	2	0	0	20:48	4:12
F. Nazar	C	0	1	1	1	1	0	-1	2	18:57	4:12
T. Bertuzzi	LW	1	0	1	3	2	1	+1	0	18:46	4:12
L. Slaggert	LW	0	1	1	2	2	0	+1	0	9:58	0:00
S. Boisvert	C	1	0	1	2	2	0	+1	0	9:18	0:00
A. Frondell	C	0	0	0	1	2	1	+1	2	16:50	4:12
R. Greene	C	0	0	0	1	1	1	-1	0	16:17	1:11
R. Donato	C	0	0	0	6	0	0	-1	0	15:12	1:11
N. Lardis	LW	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	14:12	1:08
A. Burakovsky	LW	0	0	0	0	0	1	+1	0	9:24	1:03
W. Kaiser	D	0	2	2	1	1	1	-1	0	20:41	0:08
K. Korchinski	D	0	1	1	0	0	1	+1	0	11:20	0:00
A. Vlasic	D	0	0	0	0	0	3	+1	0	22:27	0:03
S. Rinzel	D	0	0	0	2	1	1	+1	0	21:04	1:39
L. Crevier	D	0	0	0	1	3	3	0	0	20:09	0:08
E. Del Mastro	D	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	15:42	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
A. Soderblom	27	25	2	.926	60:00	Win
S. Knight	0	0	0	–	0:00

SEA Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
J. Schwartz	LW	1	1	2	1	0	1	+1	0	14:08	2:18
M. Beniers	C	0	1	1	1	0	0	-1	0	20:49	2:16
K. Kakko	RW	1	0	1	1	0	1	+1	0	14:39	2:10
E. Tolvanen	RW	0	1	1	0	5	0	0	0	14:22	1:43
B. Catton	C	0	1	1	3	0	1	+1	0	11:59	0:00
J. Eberle	RW	0	0	0	1	2	0	-2	0	18:57	1:46
J. McCann	LW	0	0	0	0	1	2	-2	0	18:30	2:15
C. Stephenson	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	-1	0	17:36	1:42
B. McMann	C	0	0	0	4	0	0	-1	0	15:57	1:47
F. Gaudreau	C	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	14:05	0:00
B. Meyers	C	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	11:26	0:00
O. Fisker Molgaard	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7:04	0:00
B. Montour	D	0	0	0	4	1	1	-1	0	25:03	2:28
A. Larsson	D	0	0	0	4	2	3	-1	2	22:02	0:00
V. Dunn	D	0	0	0	1	0	0	-2	2	19:25	1:35
R. Lindgren	D	0	0	0	1	1	1	-1	2	17:02	0:00
R. Evans	D	0	0	0	0	0	1	+1	0	16:51	0:00
J. Oleksiak	D	0	0	0	3	1	1	+2	0	16:23	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
P. Grubauer	30	27	3	.900	58:19	Loss
M. Murray	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

CHI

Line 1T. Teravainen13:33N. Lardis13:04C. Bedard13:36

Line 2T. Bertuzzi14:05A. Frondell12:38I. Mikheyev14:42

Line 3R. Donato14:01R. Greene12:08F. Nazar13:07

Line 4S. Boisvert9:18L. Slaggert8:06A. Burakovsky8:21

Pair 1A. Vlasic18:48S. Rinzel19:25

Pair 2L. Crevier17:10W. Kaiser18:24

Pair 3E. Mastro12:54K. Korchinski11:20

SEA

Line 1J. Eberle16:39M. Beniers17:19J. McCann15:46

Line 2C. Stephenson12:55B. McMann13:41K. Kakko11:17

Line 3J. Schwartz10:38B. Catton10:47E. Tolvanen10:40

Line 4F. Gaudreau11:14B. Meyers8:05O. Molgaard7:04

Pair 1A. Larsson19:31V. Dunn17:21

Pair 2B. Montour19:51R. Lindgren14:54

Pair 3R. Evans14:03J. Oleksiak12:55

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	CHI 2.8, SEA 3.4	CHI 4, SEA 2
Total goals	6.2	6
Shots on goal	CHI 24.7, SEA 29.4	CHI 31, SEA 27
Win chance	SEA 61%	CHI won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
CHI C. Bedard	2.9	2	0.94	2	29%	0
SEA B. Montour	2.6	4	0.56	0	18%	0
SEA B. McMann	2.6	4	0.68	0	30%	0
SEA J. McCann	2.3	0	0.76	0	28%	0
CHI A. Frondell	2.2	1	0.74	0	21%	0
SEA J. Eberle	2.1	1	0.74	0	25%	0
CHI F. Nazar	2.1	1	0.64	1	22%	0
CHI T. Bertuzzi	2.0	3	0.72	1	29%	1
SEA V. Dunn	2.0	1	0.62	0	15%	0
SEA M. Beniers	2.0	1	0.64	1	24%	0
SEA E. Tolvanen	1.7	0	0.45	1	19%	0
SEA J. Schwartz	1.7	1	0.46	2	20%	1
CHI S. Rinzel	1.7	2	0.31	0	5%	0
CHI I. Mikheyev	1.7	2	0.46	2	21%	1
CHI L. Crevier	1.5	1	0.26	0	6%	0
SEA B. Catton	1.5	3	0.34	1	14%	0
CHI N. Lardis	1.4	3	0.40	0	19%	0
CHI R. Greene	1.4	1	0.37	0	14%	0
CHI R. Donato	1.4	6	0.43	0	19%	0
SEA K. Kakko	1.3	1	0.53	1	18%	1
SEA C. Stephenson	1.2	0	0.71	0	21%	0
SEA A. Larsson	1.2	4	0.32	0	8%	0
SEA F. Gaudreau	1.2	2	0.39	0	16%	0
CHI T. Teravainen	1.1	4	0.54	1	19%	1
CHI W. Kaiser	1.1	1	0.21	2	6%	0
SEA B. Meyers	1.1	1	0.26	0	12%	0
CHI A. Vlasic	1.1	0	0.26	0	3%	0
CHI A. Burakovsky	1.1	0	0.39	0	14%	0
SEA O. Molgaard	0.9	0	0.28	0	9%	0
CHI L. Slaggert	0.9	2	0.15	1	7%	0
SEA R. Evans	0.8	0	0.29	0	9%	0
CHI K. Korchinski	0.8	0	0.12	1	3%	0
CHI E. Mastro	0.8	0	0.14	0	4%	0
SEA J. Oleksiak	0.7	3	0.18	0	5%	0
SEA R. Lindgren	0.7	1	0.21	0	4%	0

Shots on goal: 16 of 35 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.