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Game Recap
CHI2
VAN6
VAN beat CHI 6-2, with the chances close: 1.88 expected goals to 1.37. C. Garland led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). A. Silovs stopped 17 of 19.
Scoring
| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| VAN | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
- 1st 17:46VANQ. Hughes0.06 xG
- 1st 18:21VANT. Myers0.05 xG
- 2nd 8:08VANC. Garland0.22 xG
- 2nd 18:51CHIA. Vlasic0.03 xG
- 3rd 4:01VANE. Pettersson0.44 xG
- 3rd 5:22CHIW. Kaiser0.06 xG
- 3rd 9:50VANN. Aman0.10 xG
- 3rd 9:58VANP. Suter0.24 xG
Team Stats
CHIVAN
19Shots on goal15
1.37Expected goals1.88
54Shot attempts48
185v5 shots on goal15
0/3Power play0/2
25Hits29
19Blocked shots18
26Penalty minutes26
12Giveaways16
3Takeaways4
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
CHI 1.37 xGVAN 1.88 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
CHI Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Donato | C | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 18:31 | 2:01 |
| T. Teravainen | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 15:54 | 2:01 |
| C. Bedard | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -2 | 14 | 18:36 | 2:01 |
| F. Nazar | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 10 | 17:14 | 1:55 |
| I. Mikheyev | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 16:26 | 1:56 |
| N. Foligno | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 16:17 | 0:05 |
| J. Dickinson | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15:42 | 0:09 |
| L. Slaggert | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 15:31 | 0:00 |
| C. Dach | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 14:54 | 2:05 |
| T. Bertuzzi | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 12:34 | 2:01 |
| L. Reichel | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 9:32 | 2:00 |
| J. Veleno | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 8:34 | 0:00 |
| A. Levshunov | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -2 | 0 | 22:39 | 2:01 |
| A. Vlasic | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -2 | 0 | 21:12 | 2:05 |
| W. Kaiser | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:46 | 0:00 |
| C. Murphy | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 19:03 | 0:10 |
| A. Martinez | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 | 17:42 | 0:00 |
| L. Crevier | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 0 | 15:53 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Soderblom | 15 | 9 | 6 | .600 | 60:00 | Loss |
| S. Knight | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
VAN Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Sherwood | LW | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 17:58 | 0:31 |
| T. Blueger | C | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 16:38 | 0:00 |
| E. Pettersson | C | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 16:01 | 1:41 |
| P. Suter | C | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:52 | 0:27 |
| C. Garland | RW | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 12 | 14:26 | 1:22 |
| N. Hoglander | LW | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 13:18 | 0:00 |
| N. Aman | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:59 | 0:00 |
| D. Joshua | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 0 | 11:08 | 0:00 |
| B. Boeser | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 15:22 | 1:39 |
| J. DeBrusk | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:18 | 1:33 |
| D. O'Connor | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:02 | 0:00 |
| F. Chytil | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 12:01 | 0:25 |
| Q. Hughes | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 22:57 | 1:38 |
| F. Hronek | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 10 | 21:58 | 0:44 |
| T. Myers | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 20:21 | 0:30 |
| M. Pettersson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 0 | 19:45 | 0:00 |
| D. Forbort | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:28 | 0:00 |
| V. Mancini | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:28 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Silovs | 19 | 17 | 2 | .895 | 60:00 | Win |
| K. Lankinen | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
Storylines That Played Out
As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | CHI 2.4, VAN 3.4 | CHI 2, VAN 6 |
| Total goals | 5.8 | 8 |
| Shots on goal | CHI 22.3, VAN 29.8 | CHI 19, VAN 15 |
| Win chance | VAN 66% | VAN won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN F. Chytil | 2.6 | 2 | 0.59 | 0 | 24% | 0 |
| VAN C. Garland | 2.4 | 3 | 0.71 | 2 | 26% | 1 |
| VAN Q. Hughes | 2.4 | 1 | 1.14 | 1 | 14% | 1 |
| VAN B. Boeser | 2.3 | 1 | 0.86 | 0 | 34% | 0 |
| CHI C. Bedard | 2.3 | 2 | 0.77 | 0 | 23% | 0 |
| CHI R. Donato | 2.3 | 2 | 0.68 | 2 | 24% | 0 |
| VAN J. DeBrusk | 2.2 | 0 | 0.66 | 0 | 31% | 0 |
| VAN E. Pettersson | 2.1 | 1 | 0.93 | 2 | 32% | 1 |
| VAN K. Sherwood | 1.8 | 1 | 0.48 | 2 | 21% | 0 |
| VAN P. Suter | 1.8 | 1 | 0.52 | 2 | 23% | 1 |
| VAN F. Hronek | 1.6 | 0 | 0.63 | 1 | 9% | 0 |
| CHI I. Mikheyev | 1.6 | 2 | 0.43 | 0 | 19% | 0 |
| VAN D. O'Connor | 1.6 | 0 | 0.37 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| VAN N. Hoglander | 1.6 | 1 | 0.43 | 2 | 20% | 0 |
| CHI F. Nazar | 1.6 | 0 | 0.45 | 0 | 17% | 0 |
| CHI T. Teravainen | 1.5 | 0 | 0.72 | 1 | 22% | 0 |
| CHI T. Bertuzzi | 1.4 | 1 | 0.48 | 0 | 19% | 0 |
| CHI N. Foligno | 1.2 | 0 | 0.38 | 0 | 14% | 0 |
| VAN T. Myers | 1.2 | 2 | 0.36 | 1 | 5% | 1 |
| VAN V. Mancini | 1.2 | 0 | 0.32 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| VAN T. Blueger | 1.2 | 0 | 0.33 | 2 | 11% | 0 |
| CHI C. Murphy | 1.1 | 1 | 0.23 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| VAN M. Pettersson | 1.1 | 0 | 0.39 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| CHI L. Slaggert | 1.1 | 0 | 0.24 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| CHI C. Dach | 1.1 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| VAN D. Joshua | 1.1 | 1 | 0.40 | 1 | 19% | 0 |
| CHI A. Vlasic | 1.0 | 3 | 0.28 | 1 | 5% | 1 |
| CHI W. Kaiser | 1.0 | 2 | 0.19 | 1 | 5% | 1 |
| CHI J. Dickinson | 1.0 | 1 | 0.30 | 0 | 14% | 0 |
| CHI L. Reichel | 0.9 | 1 | 0.27 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| CHI J. Veleno | 0.8 | 0 | 0.22 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| CHI L. Crevier | 0.8 | 1 | 0.14 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| CHI A. Martinez | 0.8 | 0 | 0.21 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| VAN D. Forbort | 0.7 | 0 | 0.19 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| VAN N. Aman | 0.7 | 1 | 0.21 | 1 | 8% | 1 |
Shots on goal: 21 of 35 players within one of their projection; they took 0.5 fewer than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.