Game Recap: CHI 5, VAN 2, November 5, 2025

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Game Recap

CHI5

FinalWed, Nov 5, 2025Every game that night

VAN2

CHI beat VAN 5-2 despite fewer good chances: 3.92 expected goals to 4.62. VAN outshot CHI 45 to 28. T. Bertuzzi scored three for CHI. E. Kane had 10 shots on goal against our projection of 2.8. S. Knight stopped 43 of 45.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
CHI	0	0	5	5
VAN	0	0	2	2

3rd 3:06CHIT. Bertuzzi0.30 xG
3rd 6:46CHIT. BertuzziPP0.28 xG
3rd 7:39CHII. Mikheyev0.24 xG
3rd 11:37CHIT. Bertuzzi0.18 xG
3rd 16:49VANA. Räty0.08 xG
3rd 18:00VANE. Kane0.07 xG
3rd 19:00CHIC. BedardEN0.91 xG

Team Stats

CHIVAN

28Shots on goal45

3.92Expected goals4.62

59Shot attempts71

265v5 shots on goal37

1/1Power play0/2

12Hits18

8Blocked shots15

4Penalty minutes2

17Giveaways21

4Takeaways6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

CHI 3.92 xGVAN 4.62 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

CHI28 on goal, 5 scored

VAN44 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

CHI Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
T. Bertuzzi	LW	3	0	3	4	2	0	+1	2	20:27	0:55
C. Bedard	C	1	1	2	5	0	1	0	2	20:32	0:55
R. Donato	C	0	2	2	1	0	0	+2	0	11:36	0:00
I. Mikheyev	RW	1	0	1	2	1	0	+1	0	16:49	0:00
O. Moore	C	0	1	1	0	0	0	+2	0	11:10	0:00
F. Nazar	C	0	0	0	2	0	1	-1	0	19:29	0:00
T. Teravainen	C	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	18:57	0:55
A. Burakovsky	LW	0	0	0	0	0	0	-1	0	17:45	0:55
R. Greene	C	0	0	0	1	0	0	-1	0	15:47	0:00
N. Foligno	LW	0	0	0	0	2	0	+2	0	12:56	0:00
C. Dach	C	0	0	0	0	4	1	+1	0	11:21	0:00
A. Levshunov	D	0	1	1	1	0	0	-1	0	16:31	0:55
M. Grzelcyk	D	0	1	1	2	0	0	+1	0	16:19	0:00
L. Crevier	D	0	1	1	2	2	1	+2	0	14:07	0:00
C. Murphy	D	0	1	1	2	0	0	+1	0	13:23	0:00
A. Vlasic	D	0	0	0	5	0	0	+1	0	21:42	0:00
W. Kaiser	D	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	21:02	0:00
S. Rinzel	D	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	16:07	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
S. Knight	45	43	2	.956	60:00	Win
A. Soderblom	0	0	0	–	0:00

VAN Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
E. Kane	LW	1	0	1	10	1	0	0	0	19:26	0:58
A. Räty	C	1	0	1	2	3	2	+1	0	11:23	0:00
C. Garland	RW	0	0	0	7	0	0	-1	0	20:15	3:06
E. Pettersson	C	0	0	0	3	1	2	0	0	19:02	2:47
B. Boeser	RW	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	18:27	3:02
J. DeBrusk	LW	0	0	0	4	3	0	-1	0	17:46	2:48
L. Reichel	LW	0	0	0	2	0	0	-2	0	15:53	0:00
K. Sherwood	LW	0	0	0	1	4	2	0	0	15:27	1:13
M. Sasson	C	0	0	0	0	1	1	-1	0	13:05	0:55
D. O'Connor	LW	0	0	0	2	0	1	-1	0	12:16	0:00
L. Karlsson	C	0	0	0	3	0	0	-1	0	11:24	0:54
A. Bains	LW	0	0	0	1	3	0	-1	0	10:30	0:00
Q. Hughes	D	0	1	1	1	0	1	-2	0	26:44	3:44
T. Willander	D	0	1	1	1	0	0	+1	0	14:39	0:00
P. Joseph	D	0	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	14:02	0:00
F. Hronek	D	0	0	0	1	2	3	+1	0	22:04	0:33
T. Myers	D	0	0	0	4	0	1	-3	2	19:02	0:00
M. Pettersson	D	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	18:53	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
K. Lankinen	27	23	4	.852	58:47	Loss
T. Demko	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

CHI

Line 1A. Burakovsky16:50C. Bedard18:55R. Greene15:47

Line 2T. Bertuzzi19:01F. Nazar16:47T. Teravainen15:51

Line 3I. Mikheyev13:45R. Donato11:36O. Moore11:10

Line 4N. Foligno10:30C. Dach11:21

Pair 1A. Vlasic19:20S. Rinzel16:07

Pair 2W. Kaiser18:24A. Levshunov15:36

Pair 3C. Murphy11:29M. Grzelcyk16:05

VAN

Line 1E. Kane17:39E. Pettersson14:26C. Garland15:20

Line 2B. Boeser14:26J. DeBrusk14:16L. Reichel15:39

Line 3M. Sasson12:10A. Bains10:30L. Karlsson10:30

Line 4A. Räty11:23D. O'Connor11:52K. Sherwood13:36

Pair 1M. Pettersson17:58F. Hronek20:21

Pair 2T. Myers19:02Q. Hughes21:47

Pair 3P. Joseph14:02T. Willander14:23

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

HometownConnor Bedard CHI Plays near home (born in North Vancouver)1 G, 1 A, 5 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	CHI 2.7, VAN 3.3	CHI 5, VAN 2
Total goals	6.0	7
Shots on goal	CHI 24.0, VAN 28.1	CHI 28, VAN 45
Win chance	VAN 61%	CHI won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
VAN J. DeBrusk	2.8	4	0.72	0	33%	0
VAN E. Kane	2.8	10	0.64	1	30%	1
VAN Q. Hughes	2.8	1	1.16	1	17%	0
VAN C. Garland	2.6	7	0.82	0	28%	0
CHI C. Bedard	2.5	5	0.85	2	25%	1
VAN K. Sherwood	2.5	1	0.77	0	31%	0
CHI F. Nazar	2.2	2	0.70	0	25%	0
VAN B. Boeser	2.2	1	0.81	0	33%	0
VAN E. Pettersson	2.2	3	1.04	0	34%	0
CHI R. Donato	2.0	1	0.56	2	22%	0
CHI I. Mikheyev	1.8	2	0.46	1	21%	1
CHI T. Bertuzzi	1.8	4	0.61	3	24%	3
CHI A. Burakovsky	1.8	0	0.62	0	20%	0
CHI S. Rinzel	1.7	0	0.37	0	8%	0
VAN F. Hronek	1.6	1	0.62	0	9%	0
VAN D. O'Connor	1.5	2	0.39	0	16%	0
VAN T. Myers	1.4	4	0.35	0	6%	0
CHI O. Moore	1.4	0	0.38	1	12%	0
CHI T. Teravainen	1.4	0	0.63	0	19%	0
VAN L. Reichel	1.3	2	0.40	0	15%	0
VAN A. Räty	1.2	2	0.41	1	17%	1
CHI N. Foligno	1.2	0	0.38	0	13%	0
VAN L. Karlsson	1.2	3	0.28	0	11%	0
CHI C. Dach	1.1	0	0.26	0	10%	0
VAN M. Sasson	1.1	0	0.29	0	15%	0
VAN M. Pettersson	1.0	1	0.40	0	5%	0
CHI W. Kaiser	1.0	1	0.18	0	5%	0
CHI R. Greene	1.0	1	0.31	0	13%	0
CHI A. Vlasic	0.9	5	0.24	0	4%	0
VAN P. Joseph	0.9	1	0.16	1	4%	0
CHI A. Levshunov	0.9	1	0.27	1	3%	0
CHI M. Grzelcyk	0.8	2	0.22	1	2%	0
CHI C. Murphy	0.8	2	0.14	1	4%	0
VAN A. Bains	0.7	1	0.16	0	8%	0
CHI L. Crevier	0.7	2	0.15	1	6%	0

Shots on goal: 14 of 35 players within one of their projection; they took 0.5 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.