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Game Recap
COL5
FinalSat, Feb 19, 2022Every game that night
BUF3

COL beat BUF 5-3, and the chances backed it up: 4.97 expected goals to 2.93. T. Thompson scored three for BUF. D. Kuemper stopped 29 of 32.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
COL3025
BUF2103
  1. 1st 2:50BUFT. Thompson0.12 xG
  2. 1st 3:35COLN. MacKinnon0.03 xG
  3. 1st 11:18COLJ. Compher0.18 xG
  4. 1st 12:42BUFT. Thompson0.13 xG
  5. 1st 13:02COLN. Kadri0.10 xG
  6. 2nd 12:54BUFT. Thompson0.12 xG
  7. 3rd 8:37COLA. Newhook0.19 xG
  8. 3rd 19:08COLM. RantanenEN0.95 xG

Team Stats

COLBUF
36Shots on goal32
4.97Expected goals2.93
51Shot attempts52
305v5 shots on goal25
0/2Power play0/1
8Hits9
12Blocked shots9
2Penalty minutes4
3Giveaways8
3Takeaways5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

COL 4.97 xGBUF 2.93 xGGoal

0123451st2nd3rdBUF goal, 2:50COL goal, 3:35COL goal, 11:18BUF goal, 12:42COL goal, 13:02BUF goal, 12:54COL goal, 8:37COL goal, 19:08

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

COL35 on goal, 5 scored
BUF32 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

COL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
M. RantanenRW112400+2020:273:11
N. MacKinnonC101510+1020:163:06
N. KadriC101500+1017:142:58
V. NichushkinRW011210+1016:410:54
J. CompherLW101311+1015:150:00
A. NewhookC101301-1013:210:49
N. Aube-KubelRW0111200010:220:00
G. LandeskogLW000110+1020:043:06
A. BurakovskyLW0001000016:590:53
T. JostC000200+2015:340:00
D. HelmC000110-207:160:00
L. O'ConnorRW000100007:110:00
C. MakarD0112100023:422:56
D. ToewsD0111020023:371:13
S. GirardD0000020020:180:54
E. JohnsonD000003+2217:470:00
J. JohnsonD000201+1016:360:00
R. MurrayD000202+1015:200:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
D. Kuemper32293.90660:00Win
P. Francouz000–0:00

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
T. ThompsonC303300+1018:091:31
J. SkinnerLW022401+1017:521:32
A. TuchRW0113010018:571:32
D. CozensC000400-3016:290:29
K. OkposoRW000311-1016:180:27
V. OlofssonLW000202-1016:100:28
P. KrebsC000100-2215:371:33
C. MittelstadtC000300-2015:100:28
C. EakinC0000000012:450:00
R. AsplundC0002000012:400:00
A. BjorkLW000100-1010:300:00
J. HaydenC000020009:170:00
R. DahlinD011211-1023:231:44
M. SamuelssonD0110200216:550:00
H. JokiharjuD000001+1021:270:16
C. FitzgeraldD0002200020:200:00
M. PysykD000011-2018:140:00
J. BrysonD000201-1017:040:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
D. Tokarski35314.88658:43Loss
C. Anderson000–0:00