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Game Recap
COL6
FinalThu, Dec 1, 2022Every game that night
BUF4

COL beat BUF 6-4, with the chances close: 4.23 expected goals to 3.53. N. MacKinnon led the way with 5 points (2 G, 3 A). A. Georgiev stopped 24 of 28.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
COL1416
BUF2114
  1. 1st 8:48COLJ. CompherPP0.15 xG
  2. 1st 10:19BUFJ. Peterka0.13 xG
  3. 1st 19:49BUFT. ThompsonPP0.15 xG
  4. 2nd 9:00COLN. MacKinnonPP0.20 xG
  5. 2nd 9:49COLA. LehkonenPP0.01 xG
  6. 2nd 11:53COLN. MacKinnon0.19 xG
  7. 2nd 14:05BUFD. CozensPP0.23 xG
  8. 2nd 17:16COLJ. Compher0.03 xG
  9. 3rd 0:07BUFA. Tuch0.17 xG
  10. 3rd 19:25COLM. RantanenEN0.58 xG

Team Stats

COLBUF
34Shots on goal28
4.23Expected goals3.53
49Shot attempts61
165v5 shots on goal19
3/6Power play2/7
10Hits13
19Blocked shots6
16Penalty minutes14
4Giveaways6
5Takeaways4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

COL 4.23 xGBUF 3.53 xGGoal

012341st2nd3rdCOL goal, 8:48BUF goal, 10:19BUF goal, 19:49COL goal, 9:00COL goal, 9:49COL goal, 11:53BUF goal, 14:05COL goal, 17:16BUF goal, 0:07COL goal, 19:25

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

COL34 on goal, 6 scored
BUF28 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

COL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
N. MacKinnonC235802+1225:098:38
J. CompherLW224300+2022:097:17
M. RantanenRW112200+1225:048:51
A. LehkonenLW1014010225:187:58
A. CoglianoC011100+1016:230:12
L. O'ConnorRW011410+1216:170:00
A. NewhookC0000000011:491:30
J. FoudyC000010007:241:21
D. HuntLW000030-107:110:00
A. BlidhLW000000-126:370:02
A. GalchenyukC000001006:310:34
J. MegnaC000000-125:050:00
C. MakarD0226100030:388:38
D. ToewsD022124+1226:031:44
E. JohnsonD0003140019:020:09
S. GirardD000103+1016:130:11
J. MacDonaldD000101-1010:180:00
J. MansonD000013+1210:170:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Georgiev28244.85760:00Win
P. Francouz000–0:00

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
T. ThompsonC1234210221:295:14
D. CozensC123110-2017:114:58
J. SkinnerLW0225000019:355:46
A. TuchRW1013000021:385:54
J. PeterkaRW101200-1215:325:13
J. QuinnRW011101-1013:374:39
C. MittelstadtC0001000013:364:40
T. JostC0001000012:550:15
K. OkposoRW0000200212:420:15
V. OlofssonLW0002100012:375:20
Z. GirgensonsC0001100011:440:15
P. KrebsC000110027:350:00
R. DahlinD0114000028:115:54
M. SamuelssonD000121-1022:310:16
O. PowerD000000-1421:354:51
H. JokiharjuD0001200220:210:15
C. FitzgeraldD0000020010:120:00
L. PilutD000011006:500:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
U. Luukkonen33285.84859:34Loss
C. Anderson000–0:00