Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!
Game Recap
COL5
FinalSat, Feb 11, 2023Every game that night
FLA3

COL beat FLA 5-3, and the chances backed it up: 5.42 expected goals to 4.02. N. MacKinnon led the way with 3 points (2 G, 1 A). A. Georgiev stopped 42 of 45.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
COL2215
FLA0213
  1. 1st 3:35COLL. O'ConnorSH0.06 xG
  2. 1st 8:04COLM. Nieto0.19 xG
  3. 2nd 7:03FLAA. Ekblad0.02 xG
  4. 2nd 8:08FLAS. Bennett0.03 xG
  5. 2nd 8:33COLD. Toews0.13 xG
  6. 2nd 14:01COLN. MacKinnonPP0.18 xG
  7. 3rd 11:03FLAA. Barkov0.19 xG
  8. 3rd 19:01COLN. MacKinnonEN0.79 xG

Team Stats

COLFLA
50Shots on goal45
5.42Expected goals4.02
68Shot attempts70
385v5 shots on goal32
1/3Power play0/4
7Hits17
16Blocked shots12
13Penalty minutes9
5Giveaways5
4Takeaways9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

COL 5.42 xGFLA 4.02 xGGoal

0123451st2nd3rdCOL goal, 3:35COL goal, 8:04FLA goal, 7:03FLA goal, 8:08COL goal, 8:33COL goal, 14:01FLA goal, 11:03COL goal, 19:01

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

COL50 on goal, 5 scored
FLA45 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

COL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
N. MacKinnonC2136110023:555:05
J. CompherLW022303+1021:230:07
M. RantanenRW0227020221:135:06
L. O'ConnorRW101100+1012:510:00
A. CoglianoC011200+1010:170:00
M. NietoLW101200009:420:00
V. NichushkinRW0004010021:425:05
A. LehkonenLW0003100020:244:46
E. RodriguesC000700-1218:260:10
A. NewhookC0001010010:330:08
K. MacDermidLW000200-1010:290:00
D. MalginC000000006:070:00
D. ToewsD101400+2029:305:02
S. GirardD011223-1025:340:28
B. ByramD011313+2023:130:08
A. EnglundD000121+1713:510:00
B. HuntD000200-1011:190:00
E. JohnsonD000001021:310:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Georgiev45423.93360:00Win
P. Francouz000–0:00

FLA Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
M. TkachukLW022710+1023:537:28
S. ReinhartC0224020023:275:16
A. BarkovC1015200023:495:13
A. LundellC011000-1018:532:32
S. BennettC1015200016:493:31
E. StaalC0110010010:540:09
C. VerhaegheC000502-2017:002:28
E. LuostarinenC000101-2413:330:23
R. LombergLW0002200510:520:15
N. CousinsC000100-109:410:15
C. TierneyC000100006:040:00
G. SmithRW000130005:230:00
A. EkbladD1016010026:114:21
B. MontourD0004000025:086:24
G. ForslingD0001240022:441:27
M. StaalD0001010016:470:00
R. GudasD0001500014:220:09
J. MahuraD000000-1011:220:09
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
S. Bobrovsky49454.91857:59Loss
S. Knight000–0:00