Game Recap: COL 2, MIN 3 (SO), November 28, 2025

Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!

Game Recap

COL2

Final/SOFri, Nov 28, 2025Every game that night

MIN3

MIN beat COL 3-2 in a shootout, with the chances close: 3.47 expected goals to 3.89. K. Kaprizov led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). G. Landeskog had 6 shots on goal against our projection of 1.9. J. Wallstedt stopped 39 of 41.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	SO	T
COL	1	0	1	0	2
MIN	0	2	0	1	3

1st 14:54COLN. MacKinnon0.24 xG
2nd 12:00MINK. Kaprizov0.12 xG
2nd 18:03MINK. Kaprizov0.24 xG
3rd 11:08COLG. Landeskog0.10 xG

Team Stats

COLMIN

41Shots on goal39

3.89Expected goals3.47

82Shot attempts69

335v5 shots on goal37

0/1Power play0/1

12Hits25

12Blocked shots17

2Penalty minutes2

15Giveaways12

2Takeaways4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

COL 3.89 xGMIN 3.47 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

COL40 on goal, 2 scored

MIN39 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

COL Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
N. MacKinnon	C	1	1	2	4	0	2	+2	0	23:58	1:18
A. Lehkonen	LW	0	1	1	2	1	0	+2	0	23:35	1:15
G. Landeskog	LW	1	0	1	6	1	2	0	0	21:13	1:15
M. Necas	C	0	0	0	1	3	0	+1	0	21:35	1:16
B. Nelson	C	0	0	0	3	0	0	-1	0	19:56	0:42
R. Colton	C	0	0	0	2	3	1	-1	0	15:51	0:45
J. Drury	C	0	0	0	2	1	0	-1	0	15:51	0:44
P. Kelly	C	0	0	0	5	1	0	-1	0	14:07	0:00
V. Olofsson	LW	0	0	0	1	0	0	-1	0	13:58	0:45
J. Kiviranta	LW	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7:05	0:00
Z. Bardakov	C	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	7:05	0:00
I. Ivan	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6:03	0:00
C. Makar	D	0	1	1	5	0	0	+1	0	27:50	1:13
D. Toews	D	0	0	0	2	1	1	0	0	25:36	0:00
B. Burns	D	0	0	0	3	0	1	-1	0	18:40	0:47
S. Malinski	D	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	18:28	0:00
J. Manson	D	0	0	0	2	0	3	0	0	16:38	0:00
S. Girard	D	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	15:54	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
S. Wedgewood	39	37	2	.949	64:37	OT loss
M. Blackwood	0	0	0	–	0:00

MIN Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
K. Kaprizov	LW	2	0	2	4	1	0	+1	0	25:25	1:01
M. Zuccarello	RW	0	1	1	4	1	0	0	0	19:28	1:00
Y. Trenin	C	0	1	1	3	6	2	+1	0	14:35	0:00
R. Hartman	RW	0	1	1	5	2	1	+1	0	14:04	1:10
M. Boldy	LW	0	0	0	3	0	1	-1	0	23:36	1:00
J. Eriksson Ek	C	0	0	0	4	1	0	-1	0	22:25	0:49
M. Johansson	LW	0	0	0	0	0	0	-1	0	19:33	1:00
D. Yurov	RW	0	0	0	3	0	2	0	0	18:16	1:00
L. Ohgren	LW	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	0	10:08	0:00
B. Jones	C	0	0	0	3	2	0	0	0	7:24	0:00
N. Sturm	C	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	7:08	0:00
T. Pitlick	C	0	0	0	2	2	1	0	0	6:48	0:00
Z. Buium	D	0	1	1	0	1	1	+1	2	15:14	1:00
B. Faber	D	0	0	0	4	0	1	-2	0	28:30	1:00
J. Brodin	D	0	0	0	0	0	3	-2	0	24:32	0:00
J. Spurgeon	D	0	0	0	0	1	3	+1	0	21:33	0:59
J. Middleton	D	0	0	0	1	3	2	+1	0	20:23	0:01
Z. Bogosian	D	0	0	0	1	1	0	+1	0	13:58	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Wallstedt	41	39	2	.951	65:00	Win
F. Gustavsson	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

COL

Line 1A. Lehkonen19:39N. MacKinnon19:33M. Necas20:19

Line 2B. Nelson16:32R. Colton14:43G. Landeskog17:37

Line 3V. Olofsson12:26J. Drury13:01P. Kelly12:42

Line 4Z. Bardakov7:05I. Ivan6:03J. Kiviranta7:05

Pair 1D. Toews21:52C. Makar23:31

Pair 2S. Girard15:18S. Malinski17:23

Pair 3B. Burns17:14J. Manson16:02

MIN

Line 1M. Zuccarello17:53K. Kaprizov22:10D. Yurov17:16

Line 2J. Ek19:13M. Boldy18:38M. Johansson15:12

Line 3R. Hartman12:31Y. Trenin13:26L. Ohgren9:45

Line 4T. Pitlick6:48B. Jones7:24N. Sturm6:26

Pair 1J. Brodin22:35B. Faber23:17

Pair 2J. Spurgeon18:23J. Middleton19:42

Pair 3Z. Bogosian13:35Z. Buium13:51

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamYakov Trenin MIN Faces COL, his team until May 20241 A, 3 SOG
HometownSam Malinski COL Plays near home (born in Lakeville)2 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	COL 3.5, MIN 2.7	COL 2, MIN 3
Total goals	6.2	5
Shots on goal	COL 32.5, MIN 26.1	COL 41, MIN 39
Win chance	COL 62%	MIN won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
COL N. MacKinnon	4.0	4	1.31	2	38%	1
MIN K. Kaprizov	3.3	4	1.11	2	43%	2
COL C. Makar	3.0	5	1.08	1	23%	0
MIN J. Ek	3.0	4	0.67	0	26%	0
MIN M. Boldy	3.0	3	0.86	0	31%	0
COL A. Lehkonen	2.5	2	0.75	1	31%	0
COL M. Necas	2.4	1	0.92	0	28%	0
COL R. Colton	2.1	2	0.48	0	20%	0
MIN R. Hartman	2.0	5	0.43	1	20%	0
MIN M. Zuccarello	2.0	4	0.77	1	22%	0
COL G. Landeskog	1.9	6	0.64	1	25%	1
COL V. Olofsson	1.9	1	0.48	0	21%	0
COL B. Nelson	1.9	3	0.62	0	27%	0
COL B. Burns	1.8	3	0.36	0	7%	0
COL S. Malinski	1.6	2	0.28	0	5%	0
MIN B. Faber	1.6	4	0.36	0	8%	0
COL J. Manson	1.5	2	0.28	0	7%	0
COL D. Toews	1.5	2	0.49	0	9%	0
COL J. Drury	1.5	2	0.34	0	13%	0
MIN M. Johansson	1.5	0	0.44	0	16%	0
MIN D. Yurov	1.4	3	0.35	0	15%	0
COL P. Kelly	1.3	5	0.27	0	11%	0
MIN Y. Trenin	1.2	3	0.22	1	13%	0
MIN J. Spurgeon	1.2	0	0.31	0	7%	0
MIN J. Brodin	1.2	0	0.31	0	6%	0
COL S. Girard	1.1	1	0.26	0	4%	0
MIN L. Ohgren	1.0	2	0.15	0	8%	0
COL J. Kiviranta	1.0	0	0.19	0	10%	0
MIN Z. Buium	0.9	0	0.33	1	6%	0
MIN J. Middleton	0.9	1	0.21	0	5%	0
MIN N. Sturm	0.9	0	0.18	0	9%	0
MIN B. Jones	0.8	3	0.05	0	5%	0
MIN Z. Bogosian	0.8	1	0.15	0	3%	0
COL Z. Bardakov	0.7	0	0.25	0	7%	0
MIN T. Pitlick	0.7	2	0.12	0	5%	0
COL I. Ivan	0.6	0	0.13	0	7%	0

Shots on goal: 20 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.6 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.