Game Recap: COL 1, MIN 5, May 9, 2026

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Game Recap

COL1

FinalSat, May 9, 2026PlayoffsEvery game that night

MIN5

MIN beat COL 5-1. COL outshot MIN 35 to 26. K. Kaprizov led the way with 3 points (1 G, 2 A). G. Landeskog had 7 shots on goal against our projection of 2.2. J. Wallstedt stopped 34 of 35.

Team Stats

COLMIN

35Shots on goal26

60Shot attempts43

245v5 shots on goal15

1/3Power play2/3

25Hits39

8Blocked shots15

8Penalty minutes8

16Giveaways17

3Takeaways7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Shot Map

COL35 on goal, 1 scored

MIN24 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

COL Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
N. MacKinnon	C	1	0	1	4	1	0	-1	2	23:51	4:18
N. Kadri	C	0	1	1	3	1	1	-1	0	21:07	4:21
G. Landeskog	LW	0	1	1	7	5	0	0	0	20:40	4:16
M. Necas	C	0	0	0	3	2	0	-1	0	24:52	4:18
B. Nelson	C	0	0	0	1	0	1	-2	0	19:52	0:34
A. Lehkonen	LW	0	0	0	0	1	1	-1	0	15:30	0:38
V. Nichushkin	RW	0	0	0	1	1	0	-1	0	13:25	0:37
N. Roy	C	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	12:39	0:00
P. Kelly	C	0	0	0	4	1	0	-1	4	8:54	0:00
J. Drury	C	0	0	0	1	1	0	-1	0	8:47	0:00
R. Colton	C	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	8:08	0:00
L. O'Connor	RW	0	0	0	0	4	0	-1	0	8:06	0:00
C. Makar	D	0	0	0	4	0	2	-2	0	29:06	3:52
D. Toews	D	0	0	0	1	0	0	-1	2	22:34	1:03
S. Malinski	D	0	0	0	2	1	1	-1	0	18:56	0:38
B. Kulak	D	0	0	0	1	0	2	-1	0	17:25	0:00
B. Burns	D	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	15:48	0:00
N. Blankenburg	D	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7:54	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
M. Blackwood	13	12	1	.923	32:27
S. Wedgewood	12	9	3	.750	24:23	Loss

MIN Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
K. Kaprizov	LW	1	2	3	4	0	2	+3	0	23:27	3:11
M. Zuccarello	RW	0	2	2	3	1	0	0	0	17:27	3:11
R. Hartman	RW	1	0	1	3	1	2	+1	2	21:14	2:19
M. Boldy	LW	1	0	1	5	1	1	+2	0	21:05	3:11
M. McCarron	C	0	1	1	0	3	0	+1	0	13:26	0:00
V. Tarasenko	RW	0	1	1	2	2	1	+1	0	12:27	0:25
D. Yurov	RW	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	14:23	0:25
N. Foligno	LW	0	0	0	0	6	1	0	0	11:37	0:00
Y. Trenin	C	0	0	0	0	3	1	+1	0	11:14	0:00
M. Johansson	LW	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	10:57	0:25
M. Foligno	LW	0	0	0	0	9	0	0	2	9:01	0:00
N. Sturm	C	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	8:45	0:00
B. Faber	D	1	2	3	4	1	2	+3	2	29:39	0:25
Q. Hughes	D	1	1	2	1	0	1	+2	2	28:32	3:11
J. Spurgeon	D	0	0	0	1	2	3	+1	0	17:36	0:25
D. Hunt	D	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	14:34	0:00
J. Middleton	D	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	14:26	0:00
Z. Bogosian	D	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	13:18	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Wallstedt	35	34	1	.971	59:57	Win
F. Gustavsson	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

COL

Line 1M. Necas16:12N. MacKinnon15:08G. Landeskog14:00

Line 2N. Kadri13:36N. Roy12:39R. Colton8:08

Line 3B. Nelson13:10V. Nichushkin10:55A. Lehkonen13:41

Line 4P. Kelly7:54L. O'Connor7:50J. Drury7:49

Pair 1D. Toews18:23C. Makar19:41

Pair 2B. Kulak15:22S. Malinski18:01

Pair 3B. Burns13:17N. Blankenburg7:54

MIN

Line 1R. Hartman15:30K. Kaprizov16:05M. Zuccarello14:16

Line 2Y. Trenin11:11V. Tarasenko11:25D. Yurov13:58

Line 3M. Johansson9:58M. Boldy11:13M. McCarron10:16

Line 4N. Foligno8:49M. Foligno9:01N. Sturm7:11

Pair 1Q. Hughes23:46B. Faber22:43

Pair 2Z. Bogosian12:17J. Middleton12:19

Pair 3J. Spurgeon12:12D. Hunt11:30

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamYakov Trenin MIN Faces COL, his team until May 20240 SOG
HometownSam Malinski COL Plays near home (born in Lakeville)2 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	COL 3.5, MIN 3.0	COL 1, MIN 5
Total goals	6.5	6
Shots on goal	COL 32.7, MIN 28.7	COL 35, MIN 26
Win chance	COL 57%	MIN won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
COL N. MacKinnon	3.8	4	1.33	1	38%	1
MIN M. Boldy	3.5	5	0.94	1	35%	1
MIN K. Kaprizov	3.4	4	1.12	3	43%	1
COL C. Makar	2.6	4	0.96	0	24%	0
MIN R. Hartman	2.5	3	0.57	1	24%	1
COL M. Necas	2.5	3	0.99	0	28%	0
COL S. Malinski	2.3	2	0.47	0	10%	0
COL N. Kadri	2.2	3	0.61	1	22%	0
COL G. Landeskog	2.2	7	0.77	1	28%	0
MIN Q. Hughes	2.2	1	0.96	2	12%	1
MIN M. Zuccarello	2.1	3	0.76	2	21%	0
COL A. Lehkonen	2.0	0	0.63	0	26%	0
COL B. Nelson	2.0	1	0.63	0	27%	0
MIN B. Faber	2.0	4	0.48	3	11%	1
COL V. Nichushkin	1.9	1	0.61	0	25%	0
COL B. Burns	1.9	1	0.36	0	10%	0
COL D. Toews	1.9	1	0.57	0	12%	0
MIN V. Tarasenko	1.8	2	0.47	1	21%	0
COL R. Colton	1.6	1	0.31	0	13%	0
MIN M. Johansson	1.4	0	0.43	0	15%	0
MIN M. McCarron	1.4	0	0.23	1	12%	0
COL B. Kulak	1.4	1	0.24	0	5%	0
COL P. Kelly	1.2	4	0.29	0	13%	0
MIN J. Spurgeon	1.1	1	0.28	0	7%	0
MIN M. Foligno	1.1	0	0.25	0	13%	0
MIN Y. Trenin	1.1	0	0.22	0	10%	0
COL J. Drury	1.1	1	0.25	0	9%	0
COL L. O'Connor	1.0	0	0.25	0	10%	0
COL N. Roy	1.0	1	0.32	0	13%	0
MIN D. Yurov	1.0	1	0.28	0	12%	0
MIN N. Foligno	0.9	0	0.26	0	11%	0
MIN N. Sturm	0.8	1	0.19	0	9%	0
COL N. Blankenburg	0.8	0	0.18	0	5%	0
MIN J. Middleton	0.8	0	0.18	0	4%	0
MIN D. Hunt	0.7	0	0.18	0	2%	0
MIN Z. Bogosian	0.6	1	0.12	0	3%	0

Shots on goal: 23 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.0 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.