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Game Recap
DAL10
FinalThu, Mar 9, 2023Every game that night
BUF4

DAL beat BUF 10-4, and the chances backed it up: 4.86 expected goals to 2.57. DAL outshot BUF 49 to 29. M. Marchment led the way with 3 points (1 G, 2 A). J. Oettinger stopped 25 of 29.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
DAL32510
BUF1124
  1. 1st 7:06DALW. Johnston0.04 xG
  2. 1st 19:07DALJ. PavelskiPP0.17 xG
  3. 1st 19:25DALJ. Benn0.18 xG
  4. 1st 19:35BUFJ. Greenway0.07 xG
  5. 2nd 8:37DALJ. Kiviranta0.14 xG
  6. 2nd 9:51BUFK. Okposo0.12 xG
  7. 2nd 10:38DALR. Suter0.21 xG
  8. 3rd 3:49BUFJ. Skinner0.01 xG
  9. 3rd 9:12DALE. Dadonov0.12 xG
  10. 3rd 9:41DALR. Faksa0.16 xG
  11. 3rd 11:38DALR. Faksa0.09 xG
  12. 3rd 12:15DALR. Hintz0.17 xG
  13. 3rd 12:31BUFV. Olofsson0.12 xG
  14. 3rd 16:12DALM. Marchment0.03 xG

Team Stats

DALBUF
49Shots on goal29
4.86Expected goals2.57
64Shot attempts45
425v5 shots on goal27
1/3Power play0/2
30Hits26
7Blocked shots8
4Penalty minutes4
4Giveaways11
7Takeaways6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

DAL 4.86 xGBUF 2.57 xGGoal

0123451st2nd3rdDAL goal, 7:06DAL goal, 19:07DAL goal, 19:25BUF goal, 19:35DAL goal, 8:37BUF goal, 9:51DAL goal, 10:38BUF goal, 3:49DAL goal, 9:12DAL goal, 9:41DAL goal, 11:38DAL goal, 12:15BUF goal, 12:31DAL goal, 16:12

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

DAL47 on goal, 10 scored
BUF28 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

DAL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
J. RobertsonLW0339200018:433:11
M. MarchmentLW123311+1018:300:43
J. BennLW123220+3016:062:39
J. PavelskiC112331-1016:123:02
E. DadonovLW112211+3015:001:14
R. FaksaC202610+3013:350:00
J. KivirantaLW112300+3012:110:00
M. DomiC0114000017:471:18
R. HintzC1013100417:103:07
W. JohnstonC101301+3017:051:10
T. DellandreaC0110410014:130:00
T. SeguinC000110003:210:36
M. HeiskanenD022020+3023:593:00
R. SuterD112400+5020:041:21
J. HakanpääD022070-1020:020:00
C. MillerD011111+3017:570:24
J. HanleyD011010+2015:000:00
E. LindellD000531-2019:050:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
J. Oettinger29254.86260:00Win
M. Murray000–0:00

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
J. PeterkaRW0221100016:551:58
J. SkinnerLW112200-1014:512:01
T. ThompsonC022210-1014:281:58
P. KrebsC011021-1017:041:59
K. OkposoRW101411+1016:540:04
J. GreenwayLW101110-2015:060:00
V. OlofssonLW101110-1014:381:58
T. JostC000231+1014:400:05
Z. GirgensonsC0003100014:260:00
D. CozensC000121-4013:521:56
J. QuinnRW000210-3013:301:57
C. MittelstadtC000110-4013:001:57
I. LyubushkinD011121+1017:150:00
M. SamuelssonD000233-2022:070:07
R. DahlinD000420-3221:462:09
H. JokiharjuD000110-3020:270:09
O. PowerD000010-3219:191:42
R. StillmanD0001200015:210:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
E. Comrie493910.79660:00Loss
U. Luukkonen000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.