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Game Recap
DAL4
Final/OTSat, Dec 17, 2022Every game that night
CAR5

CAR beat DAL 5-4 in overtime, and the chances backed it up: 3.96 expected goals to 2.53. CAR outshot DAL 38 to 30. J. Robertson led the way with 3 points (0 G, 3 A). A. Raanta stopped 26 of 30.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
DAL11204
CAR21115
  1. 1st 6:20CARS. NoesenPP0.07 xG
  2. 1st 17:03CARA. Svechnikov0.03 xG
  3. 1st 18:38DALJ. PavelskiPP0.10 xG
  4. 2nd 5:38DALJ. BennPP0.09 xG
  5. 2nd 13:54CART. TeravainenPP0.10 xG
  6. 3rd 2:44CARS. Jarvis0.19 xG
  7. 3rd 9:05DALT. Seguin0.08 xG
  8. 3rd 10:47DALJ. Hakanpää0.11 xG
  9. OT 2:19CARM. Necas0.38 xG

Team Stats

DALCAR
30Shots on goal38
2.53Expected goals3.96
53Shot attempts68
205v5 shots on goal27
2/5Power play2/4
14Hits20
17Blocked shots16
10Penalty minutes14
6Giveaways7
5Takeaways8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

DAL 2.53 xGCAR 3.96 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.541st2nd3rdOTCAR goal, 6:20CAR goal, 17:03DAL goal, 18:38DAL goal, 5:38CAR goal, 13:54CAR goal, 2:44DAL goal, 9:05DAL goal, 10:47CAR goal, 2:19

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

DAL30 on goal, 4 scored
CAR36 on goal, 5 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

DAL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
J. RobertsonLW033310+1021:275:03
J. PavelskiC101200+1019:384:38
T. SeguinC1013000016:251:20
J. BennLW101110-1015:514:26
R. HintzC000302+1019:374:32
R. FaksaC0001140015:240:00
M. MarchmentLW000220-1014:501:21
W. JohnstonC0000010013:050:44
D. GurianovRW0000010012:251:07
J. KivirantaLW000100-1211:450:00
T. DellandreaC000111-1211:400:07
L. GlendeningC000200-109:540:00
M. HeiskanenD022400-3226:184:35
C. MillerD011011+1016:550:00
J. HakanpääD1011210416:340:15
R. SuterD000213+1022:020:43
E. LindellD000201+1019:190:00
N. LundkvistD000242-1016:161:04
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
S. Wedgewood38335.86862:09OT loss
J. Oettinger000–0:00

CAR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
M. NecasC112800+1017:313:02
A. SvechnikovRW112430+2217:022:58
T. TeravainenC1121000215:083:02
S. NoesenRW1013110012:142:53
S. JarvisRW1013100211:561:11
J. StaalC000432-1020:000:00
J. MartinookLW000220-1218:280:04
J. FastRW000201-1016:490:00
P. StastnyC0001000013:361:11
J. KotkaniemiC0000300211:491:11
J. DruryC000101+1011:120:00
D. StepanC000310+1010:240:00
B. BurnsD022512-1024:163:02
B. SkjeiD011011+1022:591:11
C. de HaanD0111210415:100:00
J. ChatfieldD0110100013:430:00
B. PesceD000003+2022:481:20
J. SlavinD000014-1022:340:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Raanta30264.86762:19Win
P. Kochetkov000–0:00