Game Recap: DET 0, BOS 3, January 13, 2026

Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!

Game Recap

DET0

FinalTue, Jan 13, 2026Every game that night

BOS3

BOS beat DET 3-0, and the chances backed it up: 4.41 expected goals to 3.25. BOS outshot DET 41 to 24. V. Arvidsson had 10 shots on goal against our projection of 2.4. J. Swayman stopped 24 of 24.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
DET	0	0	0	0
BOS	0	1	2	3

2nd 10:59BOSP. Zacha0.08 xG
3rd 3:49BOSF. Minten0.34 xG
3rd 16:01BOSM. KastelicEN0.61 xG

Team Stats

DETBOS

24Shots on goal41

3.25Expected goals4.41

58Shot attempts70

215v5 shots on goal35

0/2Power play0/2

14Hits18

16Blocked shots10

4Penalty minutes4

17Giveaways18

5Takeaways3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

DET 3.25 xGBOS 4.41 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

DET24 on goal, 0 scored

BOS40 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

DET Skaters

Player	Pos	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
A. Copp	C	5	0	1	-1	0	19:06	1:10
P. Kane	RW	0	0	0	-2	0	17:17	1:13
L. Raymond	LW	1	1	1	-2	0	16:44	1:37
A. DeBrincat	RW	4	0	0	-2	0	16:41	1:40
J. Compher	LW	1	1	0	-1	0	15:45	1:12
J. van Riemsdyk	LW	1	0	1	-2	0	15:00	1:36
M. Appleton	C	0	1	0	0	0	14:27	0:00
M. Rasmussen	C	3	0	2	0	0	13:40	0:00
D. Larkin	C	2	0	1	-1	0	13:23	1:38
E. Soderblom	LW	0	0	0	0	0	13:13	0:00
M. Kasper	C	1	5	0	0	0	12:26	0:00
E. Finnie	C	1	2	0	0	0	12:09	1:10
M. Seider	D	3	0	2	-1	0	26:39	1:40
S. Edvinsson	D	1	3	5	0	0	25:27	0:00
A. Johansson	D	0	0	1	0	0	17:49	0:00
B. Chiarot	D	0	0	1	-2	2	17:48	0:00
A. Sandin-Pellikka	D	1	0	1	-2	2	15:47	1:14
J. Bernard-Docker	D	0	1	0	0	0	13:27	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
C. Talbot	40	38	2	.950	59:12	Loss
J. Gibson	0	0	0	–	0:00

BOS Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
D. Pastrnak	RW	0	1	1	5	3	0	+1	0	21:30	2:04
P. Zacha	C	1	0	1	5	0	1	+1	0	15:04	1:33
S. Kuraly	C	0	1	1	1	0	1	+1	0	15:03	0:00
V. Arvidsson	LW	0	1	1	10	1	0	+1	0	13:50	1:18
F. Minten	C	1	0	1	4	0	0	+1	0	12:36	1:17
M. Kastelic	C	1	0	1	1	1	1	+1	0	11:58	0:00
T. Jeannot	LW	0	1	1	1	3	0	+1	0	11:39	0:00
E. Lindholm	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	20:17	1:32
M. Geekie	C	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	15:57	1:43
M. Khusnutdinov	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	+1	0	15:24	0:00
C. Mittelstadt	C	0	0	0	1	1	0	+1	0	13:29	1:07
A. Steeves	C	0	0	0	1	3	1	0	0	12:01	0:42
C. McAvoy	D	0	1	1	3	0	1	+2	2	23:00	1:32
M. Lohrei	D	0	1	1	0	1	0	+1	0	16:29	1:18
J. Aspirot	D	0	0	0	1	2	1	+1	0	21:22	0:00
N. Zadorov	D	0	0	0	3	1	1	+1	0	19:46	0:00
H. Jokiharju	D	0	0	0	2	1	1	0	0	19:06	0:04
A. Peeke	D	0	0	0	1	0	2	+1	0	17:55	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Swayman	24	24	0	1.000	59:34	Win
J. Korpisalo	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

DET

Line 1A. Copp16:26P. Kane14:22A. DeBrincat13:55

Line 2J. Riemsdyk13:16L. Raymond14:07J. Compher12:51

Line 3M. Appleton12:49E. Soderblom12:48M. Rasmussen12:23

Line 4D. Larkin10:33M. Kasper11:15E. Finnie10:59

Pair 1M. Seider21:44S. Edvinsson23:02

Pair 2B. Chiarot16:35A. Sandin-Pellikka14:18

Pair 3A. Johansson16:15J. Bernard-Docker12:02

BOS

Line 1E. Lindholm16:42D. Pastrnak17:37M. Khusnutdinov14:44

Line 2V. Arvidsson12:32C. Mittelstadt12:22P. Zacha12:00

Line 3S. Kuraly12:34T. Jeannot10:51M. Kastelic10:27

Line 4M. Geekie13:32A. Steeves11:12F. Minten10:51

Pair 1C. McAvoy19:12J. Aspirot19:18

Pair 2N. Zadorov16:41H. Jokiharju17:54

Pair 3A. Peeke16:00M. Lohrei15:11

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamViktor Arvidsson DET First game back in Boston, his team until Apr 20261 A, 10 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	DET 2.9, BOS 3.4	DET 0, BOS 3
Total goals	6.4	3
Shots on goal	DET 26.9, BOS 28.1	DET 24, BOS 41
Win chance	BOS 58%	BOS won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
BOS D. Pastrnak	3.6	5	1.31	1	43%	0
DET A. DeBrincat	2.9	4	0.79	0	29%	0
DET D. Larkin	2.6	2	0.80	0	30%	0
BOS V. Arvidsson	2.4	10	0.62	1	23%	0
DET P. Kane	2.2	0	0.65	0	20%	0
DET L. Raymond	2.0	1	0.80	0	23%	0
BOS M. Geekie	1.9	2	0.72	0	29%	0
DET M. Seider	1.9	3	0.55	0	8%	0
BOS E. Lindholm	1.8	0	0.66	0	23%	0
DET J. Riemsdyk	1.8	1	0.52	0	19%	0
BOS C. McAvoy	1.7	3	0.63	1	11%	0
DET A. Copp	1.5	5	0.52	0	16%	0
BOS F. Minten	1.5	4	0.49	1	21%	1
DET E. Finnie	1.5	1	0.33	0	15%	0
BOS P. Zacha	1.4	5	0.63	1	21%	1
BOS S. Kuraly	1.4	1	0.30	1	13%	0
BOS A. Steeves	1.4	1	0.46	0	19%	0
DET M. Kasper	1.4	1	0.25	0	12%	0
BOS N. Zadorov	1.4	3	0.36	0	9%	0
DET M. Rasmussen	1.3	3	0.32	0	14%	0
BOS M. Kastelic	1.3	1	0.27	1	13%	1
BOS C. Mittelstadt	1.3	1	0.56	0	19%	0
DET S. Edvinsson	1.2	1	0.37	0	8%	0
DET M. Appleton	1.2	0	0.29	0	11%	0
BOS T. Jeannot	1.2	1	0.33	1	14%	0
DET B. Chiarot	1.2	0	0.20	0	6%	0
DET E. Soderblom	1.1	0	0.23	0	11%	0
DET J. Compher	1.1	1	0.34	0	13%	0
BOS A. Peeke	1.1	1	0.21	0	5%	0
BOS M. Khusnutdinov	1.1	0	0.42	0	16%	0
BOS M. Lohrei	1.1	0	0.39	1	7%	0
BOS H. Jokiharju	1.0	2	0.26	0	4%	0
DET A. Sandin-Pellikka	0.8	1	0.26	0	5%	0
BOS J. Aspirot	0.7	1	0.17	0	7%	0
DET J. Bernard-Docker	0.7	0	0.15	0	3%	0
DET A. Johansson	0.7	0	0.15	0	3%	0

Shots on goal: 18 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.3 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.