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Game Recap
DET3
FinalThu, Dec 29, 2022Every game that night
BUF6

BUF beat DET 6-3, and the chances backed it up: 4.06 expected goals to 2.54. K. Okposo scored three for BUF. U. Luukkonen stopped 28 of 31.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
DET0033
BUF1416
  1. 1st 15:32BUFC. Mittelstadt0.04 xG
  2. 2nd 1:20BUFJ. Skinner0.17 xG
  3. 2nd 10:28BUFC. MittelstadtPP0.03 xG
  4. 2nd 11:21BUFK. Okposo0.12 xG
  5. 2nd 14:02BUFK. Okposo0.12 xG
  6. 3rd 2:35DETD. Kubalik0.11 xG
  7. 3rd 4:23DETD. KubalikPP0.08 xG
  8. 3rd 7:11DETJ. Oesterle0.08 xG
  9. 3rd 16:22BUFK. OkposoEN0.87 xG

Team Stats

DETBUF
31Shots on goal35
2.54Expected goals4.06
47Shot attempts59
195v5 shots on goal29
1/3Power play1/5
15Hits9
16Blocked shots7
10Penalty minutes6
3Giveaways4
5Takeaways8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

DET 2.54 xGBUF 4.06 xGGoal

012341st2nd3rdBUF goal, 15:32BUF goal, 1:20BUF goal, 10:28BUF goal, 11:21BUF goal, 14:02DET goal, 2:35DET goal, 4:23DET goal, 7:11BUF goal, 16:22

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

DET31 on goal, 3 scored
BUF34 on goal, 6 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

DET Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
D. KubalikLW202511-1013:591:25
A. CoppC011120+1015:200:20
O. SundqvistC011100-1015:101:28
J. VelenoC011210+1214:271:28
J. BerggrenRW0111000212:311:19
E. SoderblomLW011200+1211:060:00
M. RasmussenC000100-3018:351:41
D. LarkinC000110-3016:281:21
A. ErneLW000011-1215:100:03
D. PerronLW000300-3015:031:34
L. RaymondLW0002100014:351:37
P. SuterC000000-2013:290:00
J. OesterleD101202+1014:380:00
M. SeiderD000111-1221:552:11
B. ChiarotD0000330021:480:00
F. HronekD000611-4021:251:11
J. WalmanD000225-2019:330:07
O. MaattaD000112+1016:510:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
M. Hellberg34295.85358:43Loss
A. Nedeljkovic000–0:00

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
K. OkposoRW303501+2013:050:07
J. PeterkaRW0223000214:243:39
C. MittelstadtC202201+2014:203:42
Z. GirgensonsC022311+1010:020:00
J. SkinnerLW101600+1020:263:47
D. CozensC011000+1016:253:43
T. JostC011110+1012:420:00
P. KrebsC0110200011:040:09
A. TuchRW0003110021:543:47
T. ThompsonC0002000021:393:44
V. OlofssonLW000100+1013:493:48
J. QuinnRW000100+1013:013:39
O. PowerD022201+2221:083:29
R. DahlinD000410+1225:174:05
M. SamuelssonD000110+1022:130:11
I. LyubushkinD000121+1017:360:00
K. ClagueD0000010014:010:00
J. BrysonD0000000012:260:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
U. Luukkonen31283.90359:39Win
C. Anderson000–0:00