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Game Recap
DET5
FinalTue, Dec 5, 2023Every game that night
BUF3

DET beat BUF 5-3, and the chances backed it up: 3.17 expected goals to 2.27. D. Larkin led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). A. Lyon stopped 29 of 32.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
DET2215
BUF0123
  1. 1st 3:40DETD. Larkin0.10 xG
  2. 1st 8:25DETR. Fabbri0.18 xG
  3. 2nd 5:43DETM. SeiderPP0.05 xG
  4. 2nd 13:55DETM. Rasmussen0.18 xG
  5. 2nd 18:57BUFR. DahlinPP0.04 xG
  6. 3rd 8:20BUFC. Mittelstadt0.07 xG
  7. 3rd 11:37BUFJ. SkinnerPP0.12 xG
  8. 3rd 19:14DETD. LarkinEN0.49 xG

Team Stats

DETBUF
27Shots on goal32
3.17Expected goals2.27
39Shot attempts61
175v5 shots on goal25
1/4Power play2/5
16Hits18
18Blocked shots9
10Penalty minutes8
2Giveaways3
3Takeaways5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

DET 3.17 xGBUF 2.27 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.51st2nd3rdDET goal, 3:40DET goal, 8:25DET goal, 5:43DET goal, 13:55BUF goal, 18:57BUF goal, 8:20BUF goal, 11:37DET goal, 19:14

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

DET25 on goal, 5 scored
BUF32 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

DET Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
D. LarkinC202411+2016:301:47
M. RasmussenC112302+2015:150:00
R. FabbriC112201+1012:302:49
L. RaymondLW0112100218:022:56
A. DeBrincatRW011410+1017:213:29
A. CoppC011001+1215:560:02
D. PerronLW011120+1013:342:45
J. CompherLW0004020020:033:29
J. VelenoC0001000016:072:19
D. SprongRW0001010012:082:46
K. KostinC0000000010:450:00
C. FischerRW0000210010:060:00
M. SeiderD101311+2022:363:29
J. PetryD011140+1020:240:00
S. GostisbehereD011110+2218:532:47
B. ChiarotD0000260221:110:07
J. WalmanD000012+1217:500:00
O. MaattaD0000000014:030:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Lyon32293.90660:00Win
V. Husso000–0:00

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
J. SkinnerLW112410-2217:503:48
C. MittelstadtC101300-2219:464:17
T. ThompsonC011400-2018:413:43
J. PeterkaRW0110000217:472:30
D. CozensC011100-1017:283:42
P. KrebsC000120-1016:370:05
T. JostC000040-1016:120:05
K. OkposoRW000021-1015:511:30
Z. BensonLW000310-1015:401:24
V. OlofssonLW000101008:391:26
I. RosenRW000500007:540:05
B. BiroLW000000007:040:00
R. DahlinD101430-3225:223:50
M. SamuelssonD000103-1021:420:05
O. PowerD000102-1021:121:27
H. JokiharjuD000112-1020:150:00
C. CliftonD0000200013:490:00
E. JohnsonD000320+1012:390:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
E. Comrie26224.84658:18Loss
D. Levi000–0:00