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Game Recap
DET4
FinalSat, Dec 13, 2025Every game that night
CHI0

DET beat CHI 4-0, with the chances close: 2.83 expected goals to 2.42. A. DeBrincat led the way with 3 points (2 G, 1 A). J. Gibson stopped 26 of 26.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
DET2114
CHI0000
  1. 1st 0:55DETA. DeBrincat0.08 xG
  2. 1st 4:35DETP. Kane0.08 xG
  3. 2nd 14:23DETE. Finnie0.05 xG
  4. 3rd 16:14DETA. DeBrincatEN0.56 xG

Team Stats

DETCHI
24Shots on goal26
2.83Expected goals2.42
47Shot attempts67
195v5 shots on goal21
0/3Power play0/3
15Hits30
21Blocked shots7
6Penalty minutes6
13Giveaways10
5Takeaways2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

DET 2.83 xGCHI 2.42 xGGoal

00.511.522.531st2nd3rdDET goal, 0:55DET goal, 4:35DET goal, 14:23DET goal, 16:14

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

DET24 on goal, 4 scored
CHI26 on goal, 0 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

DET Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
A. DeBrincatRW213302+3218:433:24
P. KaneRW112500+3017:593:13
L. RaymondLW011320+1018:493:31
A. CoppC011201+3017:232:04
E. FinnieC101102+1217:022:28
D. LarkinC000101+1020:443:25
J. CompherLW0001020014:310:16
M. RasmussenC0000200013:330:12
J. van RiemsdykLW0000000011:512:16
M. KasperC0001300010:250:07
N. DanielsonC000100009:312:11
E. SoderblomLW000010008:500:00
A. Sandin-PellikkaD011120+1018:322:48
M. SeiderD000113+2026:103:06
S. EdvinssonD000315+1023:300:08
B. ChiarotD000100+3020:380:19
A. JohanssonD000003+1014:540:08
J. Bernard-DockerD0000320211:070:04
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
J. Gibson262601.00059:48Win
C. Talbot000–0:00

CHI Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
F. NazarC000300-3019:414:04
T. BertuzziLW000010-3018:244:52
T. TeravainenC000100-1017:451:52
A. BurakovskyLW000100-3217:414:08
I. MikheyevRW0002000016:220:00
N. LardisLW000251-2015:324:52
R. GreeneC000230-1014:501:04
J. DickinsonC0001300014:280:00
C. DachC0003500213:261:48
R. DonatoC0000100012:401:04
O. MooreC000100-1211:280:00
D. ToninatoC0001600010:180:00
A. LevshunovD000101-1023:593:32
M. GrzelcykD000211-2019:392:24
A. VlasicD000202-1019:280:00
C. MurphyD000100-1018:210:00
W. KaiserD000202-1017:020:00
L. CrevierD000150-1014:190:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Soderblom23203.87058:37Loss
S. Knight000–0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

CHI

Line 3R. Donato11:24C. Dach11:29D. Toninato10:06
Line 4R. Greene11:55O. Moore11:25N. Lardis9:11
Pair 1M. Grzelcyk16:35A. Levshunov18:34
Pair 2C. Murphy14:35W. Kaiser14:54
Pair 3A. Vlasic15:56L. Crevier12:30

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

  • Old teamPatrick Kane CHI Faces DET, his team until Apr 20261 G, 1 A, 5 SOG
  • HometownJ.T. Compher DET Plays near home (born in Northbrook)1 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

We projectedIt finished
ScoreDET 3.4, CHI 2.8DET 4, CHI 0
Total goals6.24
Shots on goalDET 30.6, CHI 25.4DET 24, CHI 26
Win chanceDET 60%DET won

Players

PlayerSOG projectedSOGPoints projectedPointsGoal chanceGoals
DET A. DeBrincat3.330.90333%2
DET D. Larkin3.010.95034%0
DET P. Kane2.650.81224%1
DET L. Raymond2.430.95128%0
DET M. Seider2.310.64011%0
CHI T. Bertuzzi2.000.68028%0
DET E. Finnie1.910.43118%1
CHI F. Nazar1.930.62021%0
CHI I. Mikheyev1.820.42021%0
CHI R. Donato1.800.53022%0
DET J. Riemsdyk1.600.47019%0
CHI A. Burakovsky1.610.66021%0
CHI R. Greene1.520.41017%0
DET A. Copp1.520.49117%0
DET B. Chiarot1.510.2709%0
DET M. Kasper1.510.30015%0
DET M. Rasmussen1.400.37016%0
DET N. Danielson1.410.35011%0
DET E. Soderblom1.300.29013%0
CHI A. Levshunov1.310.4404%0
CHI T. Teravainen1.310.65021%0
DET S. Edvinsson1.330.41011%0
DET J. Compher1.210.39015%0
CHI L. Crevier1.210.2507%0
CHI J. Dickinson1.210.32015%0
CHI O. Moore1.210.37012%0
CHI W. Kaiser1.120.2106%0
CHI C. Dach1.130.24011%0
DET A. Sandin-Pellikka1.110.3518%0
CHI M. Grzelcyk1.120.2902%0
DET J. Bernard-Docker1.000.1805%0
CHI C. Murphy1.010.1804%0
CHI A. Vlasic0.920.2304%0
DET A. Johansson0.800.1504%0
CHI D. Toninato0.610.2008%0

Shots on goal: 23 of 35 players within one of their projection; they took 0.2 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.