Game Recap: DET 1, NYR 4, April 4, 2026

Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!

Game Recap

DET1

FinalSat, Apr 4, 2026Every game that night

NYR4

NYR beat DET 4-1, with the chances close: 3.76 expected goals to 3.29. DET outshot NYR 32 to 20. G. Perreault scored three for NYR. G. Perreault had 6 shots on goal against our projection of 1.4. J. Quick stopped 31 of 32.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
DET	0	0	1	1
NYR	1	1	2	4

1st 13:19NYRJ. Chmelar0.08 xG
2nd 15:59NYRG. Perreault0.15 xG
3rd 7:13NYRG. PerreaultPP0.28 xG
3rd 18:16NYRG. PerreaultEN0.84 xG
3rd 19:27DETD. Perron0.13 xG

Team Stats

DETNYR

32Shots on goal20

3.29Expected goals3.76

75Shot attempts47

205v5 shots on goal17

0/4Power play1/2

14Hits23

15Blocked shots18

9Penalty minutes13

10Giveaways12

4Takeaways4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

DET 3.29 xGNYR 3.76 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

DET33 on goal, 1 scored

NYR20 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

DET Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
E. Finnie	C	0	1	1	1	3	0	+1	0	18:28	2:21
D. Perron	LW	1	0	1	5	1	0	0	0	13:46	2:19
J. van Riemsdyk	LW	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	11:39	2:30
P. Kane	RW	0	0	0	2	0	0	-1	0	23:06	5:32
A. DeBrincat	RW	0	0	0	1	0	0	-1	0	22:22	5:32
D. Larkin	C	0	0	0	7	0	0	-1	0	20:45	5:13
A. Copp	C	0	0	0	2	0	2	0	2	20:30	3:45
L. Raymond	LW	0	0	0	2	1	1	-2	0	19:53	5:32
J. Compher	LW	0	0	0	1	1	1	-1	0	14:54	0:27
M. Kasper	C	0	0	0	3	1	1	-1	0	10:07	0:10
M. Rasmussen	C	0	0	0	1	0	2	-1	0	9:31	0:18
D. Shine	RW	0	0	0	1	2	0	-1	0	5:50	0:08
M. Seider	D	0	0	0	2	2	1	-1	0	28:04	5:01
S. Edvinsson	D	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	20:59	0:00
A. Sandin-Pellikka	D	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	16:51	2:18
B. Chiarot	D	0	0	0	1	2	3	-1	7	15:43	0:54
A. Johansson	D	0	0	0	1	0	0	-1	0	15:23	0:00
J. Bernard-Docker	D	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	13:07	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Gibson	19	16	3	.842	55:33	Loss
C. Talbot	0	0	0	–	0:00

NYR Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
G. Perreault	RW	3	0	3	6	0	1	+2	0	15:44	0:36
M. Zibanejad	C	0	1	1	1	0	0	+2	0	20:51	2:57
J. Miller	C	0	1	1	3	0	2	+1	2	17:05	2:51
J. Chmelar	RW	1	0	1	1	4	0	+1	0	12:00	0:11
J. Brodzinski	C	0	1	1	1	3	0	-1	0	11:12	0:34
A. Sykora	LW	0	1	1	0	3	0	+1	0	11:10	0:00
V. Trocheck	C	0	0	0	0	1	0	-1	0	17:44	2:54
A. Lafrenière	LW	0	0	0	2	0	0	+1	0	17:00	3:00
N. Laba	C	0	0	0	0	1	0	+1	2	15:27	0:00
T. Kartye	LW	0	0	0	0	2	4	0	0	13:34	0:00
W. Cuylle	LW	0	0	0	1	3	1	-1	5	12:05	0:18
C. Sheary	LW	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	2	11:13	0:10
A. Fox	D	0	2	2	3	1	2	+2	0	22:39	3:04
V. Gavrikov	D	0	1	1	0	1	1	+2	0	26:00	0:25
M. Robertson	D	0	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	18:18	0:00
B. Schneider	D	0	0	0	1	2	2	0	0	20:13	0:25
W. Borgen	D	0	0	0	0	1	2	-1	0	18:44	0:00
D. Fortescue	D	0	0	0	0	0	0	+1	2	11:16	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Quick	32	31	1	.969	59:45	Win
I. Shesterkin	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

DET

Line 1P. Kane16:10A. DeBrincat15:16A. Copp15:34

Line 2E. Finnie13:51D. Larkin11:58L. Raymond12:42

Line 3D. Perron10:28J. Compher12:12M. Kasper9:14

Line 4D. Shine5:42M. Rasmussen6:48J. Riemsdyk7:37

Pair 1S. Edvinsson18:45M. Seider18:51

Pair 2B. Chiarot14:02A. Sandin-Pellikka14:33

Pair 3J. Bernard-Docker11:32A. Johansson13:50

NYR

Line 1M. Zibanejad13:51A. Lafrenière13:34G. Perreault13:45

Line 2J. Chmelar11:28A. Sykora10:50N. Laba11:06

Line 3T. Kartye11:10C. Sheary10:40J. Miller10:16

Line 4V. Trocheck10:44J. Brodzinski10:38W. Cuylle9:14

Pair 1V. Gavrikov19:19A. Fox17:06

Pair 2W. Borgen14:33M. Robertson14:57

Pair 3B. Schneider14:38D. Fortescue11:16

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	DET 3.1, NYR 3.1	DET 1, NYR 4
Total goals	6.2	5
Shots on goal	DET 28.4, NYR 26.1	DET 32, NYR 20
Win chance	NYR 51%	NYR won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
DET A. DeBrincat	3.5	1	1.00	0	35%	0
DET D. Larkin	2.7	7	0.81	0	31%	0
DET P. Kane	2.6	2	0.88	0	25%	0
NYR M. Zibanejad	2.5	1	0.91	1	31%	0
DET M. Seider	2.3	2	0.61	0	9%	0
NYR A. Lafrenière	2.2	2	0.73	0	27%	0
DET L. Raymond	2.2	2	0.91	0	27%	0
NYR J. Miller	2.0	3	0.93	1	29%	0
NYR V. Trocheck	2.0	0	0.81	0	26%	0
NYR W. Cuylle	1.8	1	0.44	0	20%	0
NYR A. Fox	1.6	3	0.84	2	13%	0
DET A. Copp	1.5	2	0.56	0	16%	0
DET E. Finnie	1.4	1	0.34	1	15%	0
DET M. Kasper	1.4	3	0.29	0	13%	0
NYR G. Perreault	1.4	6	0.46	3	16%	3
DET D. Perron	1.4	5	0.44	1	18%	1
DET J. Compher	1.4	1	0.44	0	17%	0
NYR V. Gavrikov	1.3	0	0.36	1	9%	0
DET B. Chiarot	1.3	1	0.16	0	5%	0
NYR J. Brodzinski	1.3	1	0.30	1	13%	0
NYR C. Sheary	1.3	1	0.34	0	14%	0
NYR A. Sykora	1.2	0	0.32	1	15%	0
NYR T. Kartye	1.2	0	0.37	0	15%	0
DET S. Edvinsson	1.2	0	0.32	0	9%	0
NYR B. Schneider	1.2	1	0.26	0	6%	0
NYR M. Robertson	1.2	0	0.25	1	7%	0
DET M. Rasmussen	1.1	1	0.28	0	13%	0
DET J. Riemsdyk	1.1	1	0.35	1	13%	0
NYR W. Borgen	1.0	0	0.23	0	6%	0
NYR N. Laba	1.0	0	0.30	0	13%	0
NYR J. Chmelar	0.9	1	0.22	1	12%	1
DET A. Sandin-Pellikka	0.8	1	0.22	0	5%	0
DET A. Johansson	0.8	1	0.12	0	3%	0
DET J. Bernard-Docker	0.7	0	0.12	0	3%	0
DET D. Shine	0.6	1	0.16	0	8%	0

Shots on goal: 22 of 35 players within one of their projection; they took 0.0 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.