Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!
Game Recap
DET4
FinalSat, Oct 30, 2021Every game that night
TOR5

TOR beat DET 5-4, and the chances backed it up: 3.09 expected goals to 2.15. J. Tavares led the way with 3 points (1 G, 2 A). P. Mrazek stopped 27 of 31.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
DET0134
TOR1135
  1. 1st 19:46TORJ. Muzzin0.03 xG
  2. 2nd 8:19DETF. ZadinaPP0.05 xG
  3. 2nd 19:42TORM. BuntingPP0.24 xG
  4. 3rd 0:17TORA. Kerfoot0.09 xG
  5. 3rd 1:36DETJ. Veleno0.19 xG
  6. 3rd 7:47TORJ. Tavares0.10 xG
  7. 3rd 10:11DETV. Namestnikov0.11 xG
  8. 3rd 17:55TORM. Marner0.01 xG
  9. 3rd 19:31DETF. Hronek0.06 xG

Team Stats

DETTOR
31Shots on goal38
2.15Expected goals3.09
53Shot attempts63
265v5 shots on goal37
1/2Power play1/2
21Hits23
15Blocked shots14
4Penalty minutes4
11Giveaways12
10Takeaways7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

DET 2.15 xGTOR 3.09 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.51st2nd3rdTOR goal, 19:46DET goal, 8:19TOR goal, 19:42TOR goal, 0:17DET goal, 1:36TOR goal, 7:47DET goal, 10:11TOR goal, 17:55DET goal, 19:31

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

DET30 on goal, 4 scored
TOR36 on goal, 5 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

DET Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
F. ZadinaRW1122200017:332:10
J. VelenoC112320+2012:280:00
L. RaymondLW0111100018:262:10
V. NamestnikovC101100+2015:490:00
M. RasmussenC011202+2214:551:20
S. GagnerC011001-2013:242:10
D. LarkinC000602-1021:472:10
R. FabbriC0004300219:381:20
M. StephensC000022-2014:150:00
P. SuterC000110-1014:131:20
C. RowneyC000030-1011:460:00
G. SmithRW000120-107:340:00
F. HronekD1011120023:391:20
M. SeiderD011302+1022:272:10
J. OesterleD011120-1017:180:00
N. LeddyD000311-2020:491:20
D. DeKeyserD0001030017:380:00
M. StaalD0001100015:550:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
T. Greiss38335.86858:32Loss
A. Nedeljkovic000–0:00

TOR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
J. TavaresC123311+2217:051:02
A. KerfootC112321+4017:300:13
M. MarnerRW101201+3019:341:15
M. BuntingLW101400-2015:090:39
J. SpezzaC0111110011:310:39
N. RitchieLW0110000010:160:39
D. KampfC000220-1016:540:13
A. MatthewsC000300-1016:221:19
P. EngvallLW0001010015:080:22
W. NylanderRW000200-2014:561:02
O. KaseRW0005200014:060:00
W. SimmondsRW000540009:360:00
J. MuzzinD112322+1024:240:00
M. RiellyD0112420024:271:32
T. BrodieD011001+1220:330:00
T. LiljegrenD000112+1017:190:00
T. DermottD000122-1016:240:00
R. SandinD0000200015:160:35
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
P. Mrazek31274.87160:00Win
J. Campbell000–0:00