Game Recap: DET 4, VAN 0, December 8, 2025

Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!

Game Recap

DET4

FinalMon, Dec 8, 2025Every game that night

VAN0

DET beat VAN 4-0 despite fewer good chances: 2.84 expected goals to 4.23. VAN outshot DET 39 to 21. A. Sandin-Pellikka led the way with 2 points (0 G, 2 A). J. van Riemsdyk had 5 shots on goal against our projection of 1.5. J. Gibson stopped 39 of 39.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
DET	1	2	1	4
VAN	0	0	0	0

1st 14:14DETJ. van Riemsdyk0.16 xG
2nd 15:15DETA. Copp0.09 xG
2nd 15:52DETN. Danielson0.12 xG
3rd 15:29DETD. LarkinEN0.64 xG

Team Stats

DETVAN

21Shots on goal39

2.84Expected goals4.23

40Shot attempts87

195v5 shots on goal33

0/2Power play0/3

15Hits27

23Blocked shots7

6Penalty minutes4

17Giveaways12

5Takeaways3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

DET 2.84 xGVAN 4.23 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

DET21 on goal, 4 scored

VAN38 on goal, 0 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

DET Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
A. Copp	C	1	0	1	3	0	0	+1	2	17:58	1:00
L. Raymond	LW	0	1	1	1	1	1	+1	0	17:47	0:51
D. Larkin	C	1	0	1	1	1	1	+1	0	17:39	1:00
A. DeBrincat	RW	0	1	1	1	0	1	+1	0	15:59	0:59
J. Compher	LW	0	1	1	0	1	2	+1	0	15:12	0:00
M. Rasmussen	C	0	1	1	0	1	2	+1	0	14:10	0:36
J. van Riemsdyk	LW	1	0	1	5	2	1	+1	0	13:18	0:50
M. Kasper	C	0	1	1	2	0	1	+1	2	10:54	0:36
N. Danielson	C	1	0	1	1	0	1	+1	0	10:11	1:09
E. Finnie	C	0	0	0	1	1	1	+1	0	17:18	0:40
P. Kane	RW	0	0	0	4	0	0	+1	0	15:38	1:20
E. Soderblom	LW	0	0	0	0	0	0	+1	0	9:59	0:36
A. Sandin-Pellikka	D	0	2	2	0	0	0	+3	0	14:06	0:34
M. Seider	D	0	0	0	1	4	1	+1	0	27:05	1:53
S. Edvinsson	D	0	0	0	0	0	1	+1	2	23:46	0:36
B. Chiarot	D	0	0	0	1	3	5	+3	0	22:50	0:11
J. Bernard-Docker	D	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	16:36	0:09
A. Johansson	D	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	14:00	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Gibson	39	39	0	1.000	60:00	Win
C. Talbot	0	0	0	–	0:00

VAN Skaters

Player	Pos	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
C. Garland	RW	2	0	0	-2	0	20:30	3:56
B. Boeser	RW	3	0	0	-1	0	19:09	3:56
D. Kampf	C	2	1	0	-1	0	17:15	0:00
K. Sherwood	LW	5	10	0	-2	0	17:06	3:28
J. DeBrusk	LW	5	0	0	-1	0	16:35	3:56
E. Kane	LW	2	1	0	-2	0	14:21	0:04
D. O'Connor	LW	3	3	1	-1	0	14:15	0:00
A. Räty	C	4	1	0	-1	0	13:58	0:28
N. Hoglander	LW	1	1	0	-1	0	13:22	0:00
L. Karlsson	C	1	3	1	-1	0	12:10	0:14
M. Sasson	C	1	1	0	0	2	12:00	0:14
A. Bains	LW	0	1	0	0	0	10:00	0:10
Q. Hughes	D	4	0	2	-2	0	25:46	3:56
F. Hronek	D	2	0	1	-2	0	22:32	0:04
T. Myers	D	1	0	1	-1	0	19:36	0:10
M. Pettersson	D	2	2	1	-2	2	17:20	0:14
E. Pettersson	D	0	3	0	0	0	16:00	0:00
T. Willander	D	1	0	0	-1	0	15:00	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
K. Lankinen	14	11	3	.786	39:53	Loss
N. Tolopilo	6	6	0	1.000	19:12

Lines at 5-on-5

DET

Line 1L. Raymond16:11E. Finnie14:18D. Larkin14:23

Line 2A. DeBrincat14:49A. Copp14:55P. Kane14:11

Line 3J. Riemsdyk12:28J. Compher12:04M. Rasmussen11:12

Line 4E. Soderblom9:23M. Kasper10:18N. Danielson8:30

Pair 1M. Seider22:34S. Edvinsson21:44

Pair 2B. Chiarot18:39A. Sandin-Pellikka13:32

Pair 3J. Bernard-Docker13:32A. Johansson12:07

VAN

Line 1B. Boeser14:28D. Kampf15:17C. Garland15:42

Line 2E. Kane14:17K. Sherwood12:04A. Räty12:44

Line 3L. Karlsson10:54M. Sasson11:21J. DeBrusk11:16

Line 4D. O'Connor12:22N. Hoglander13:22A. Bains8:57

Pair 1Q. Hughes20:58F. Hronek19:53

Pair 2T. Myers17:06E. Pettersson14:24

Pair 3M. Pettersson15:40T. Willander14:05

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	DET 3.2, VAN 3.1	DET 4, VAN 0
Total goals	6.3	4
Shots on goal	DET 28.8, VAN 26.3	DET 21, VAN 39
Win chance	DET 51%	DET won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
DET A. DeBrincat	3.2	1	0.91	1	32%	0
DET D. Larkin	2.9	1	0.98	1	33%	1
VAN Q. Hughes	2.8	4	1.20	0	16%	0
VAN C. Garland	2.6	2	0.79	0	28%	0
DET P. Kane	2.4	4	0.82	0	23%	0
VAN E. Kane	2.4	2	0.60	0	28%	0
VAN J. DeBrusk	2.4	5	0.65	0	30%	0
VAN B. Boeser	2.4	3	0.84	0	34%	0
DET L. Raymond	2.3	1	0.96	1	27%	0
VAN K. Sherwood	2.0	5	0.61	0	26%	0
DET M. Seider	2.0	1	0.57	0	9%	0
DET E. Finnie	1.6	1	0.42	0	16%	0
VAN L. Karlsson	1.5	1	0.39	0	16%	0
VAN N. Hoglander	1.5	1	0.49	0	20%	0
DET J. Riemsdyk	1.5	5	0.45	1	17%	1
VAN F. Hronek	1.4	2	0.58	0	8%	0
DET M. Kasper	1.4	2	0.29	1	14%	0
DET N. Danielson	1.3	1	0.26	1	8%	1
DET B. Chiarot	1.3	1	0.23	0	8%	0
DET S. Edvinsson	1.2	0	0.39	0	10%	0
DET A. Copp	1.2	3	0.42	1	14%	1
DET E. Soderblom	1.2	0	0.30	0	13%	0
DET M. Rasmussen	1.2	0	0.34	1	14%	0
VAN D. O'Connor	1.2	3	0.34	0	15%	0
VAN T. Myers	1.2	1	0.32	0	5%	0
DET J. Compher	1.2	0	0.37	1	14%	0
VAN M. Sasson	1.1	1	0.29	0	15%	0
VAN D. Kampf	1.0	2	0.30	0	12%	0
VAN A. Räty	1.0	4	0.38	0	15%	0
DET A. Sandin-Pellikka	1.0	0	0.25	2	6%	0
DET J. Bernard-Docker	0.9	0	0.16	0	4%	0
VAN M. Pettersson	0.9	2	0.35	0	5%	0
VAN T. Willander	0.8	1	0.37	0	5%	0
DET A. Johansson	0.7	0	0.14	0	4%	0
VAN E. Pettersson	0.6	0	0.13	0	4%	0
VAN A. Bains	0.5	0	0.14	0	7%	0

Shots on goal: 20 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.