Game Recap: EDM 0, LAK 3, April 5, 2025

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Game Recap

EDM0

FinalSat, Apr 5, 2025Every game that night

LAK3

LAK beat EDM 3-0, and the chances backed it up: 3.61 expected goals to 1.81. E. Bouchard had 7 shots on goal against our projection of 2.2. D. Kuemper stopped 27 of 27.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
EDM	0	0	0	0
LAK	0	2	1	3

2nd 9:20LAKK. Fiala0.23 xG
2nd 16:08LAKA. Kuzmenko0.06 xG
3rd 17:03LAKT. LewisEN0.90 xG

Team Stats

EDMLAK

27Shots on goal29

1.81Expected goals3.61

59Shot attempts55

265v5 shots on goal20

0/1Power play0/4

17Hits23

12Blocked shots11

6Penalty minutes2

15Giveaways15

3Takeaways3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

EDM 1.81 xGLAK 3.61 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

EDM27 on goal, 0 scored

LAK29 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

EDM Skaters

Player	Pos	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
R. Nugent-Hopkins	C	0	0	1	0	0	19:08	1:38
V. Podkolzin	RW	1	2	2	-1	0	18:16	0:00
C. Brown	RW	1	1	0	-2	0	16:19	0:00
Z. Hyman	LW	1	1	1	-1	0	16:03	1:40
V. Arvidsson	LW	4	3	0	0	2	16:00	1:38
K. Kapanen	RW	0	0	0	0	0	15:21	0:22
A. Henrique	C	0	0	3	-2	0	14:36	0:22
M. Janmark	C	2	0	0	-1	2	14:36	0:00
J. Skinner	LW	1	0	0	-1	0	13:37	1:38
C. Perry	RW	1	0	0	0	0	12:34	0:20
M. Jones	LW	0	5	1	0	0	10:14	0:00
T. Frederic	C	2	2	0	-2	0	7:10	0:00
B. Kulak	D	2	0	0	-2	0	23:53	0:00
D. Nurse	D	0	2	0	-1	0	22:54	0:06
E. Bouchard	D	7	1	0	-1	2	20:46	1:54
J. Walman	D	4	0	1	-1	0	20:35	0:22
T. Emberson	D	0	0	2	-1	0	17:03	0:00
T. Stecher	D	1	0	1	0	0	13:17	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
C. Pickard	28	26	2	.929	59:38	Loss
O. Rodrigue	0	0	0	–	0:00

LAK Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
K. Fiala	LW	1	0	1	4	1	0	+1	0	19:10	5:32
A. Kempe	RW	0	1	1	3	1	0	+2	0	18:54	5:26
A. Kuzmenko	LW	1	0	1	2	0	1	+1	0	18:32	5:36
A. Laferriere	RW	0	1	1	4	3	1	+1	0	12:55	0:00
T. Lewis	C	1	0	1	1	3	1	+1	0	10:12	0:00
A. Kopitar	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	+3	0	18:59	5:34
T. Moore	LW	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	18:03	2:21
P. Danault	C	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	17:58	2:29
Q. Byfield	RW	0	0	0	4	5	1	0	2	16:53	2:33
W. Foegele	LW	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	16:40	2:22
S. Helenius	C	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	9:02	0:00
J. Malott	LW	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	8:55	0:00
D. Doughty	D	0	1	1	2	1	1	+1	0	21:45	5:21
J. Spence	D	0	1	1	0	0	0	+1	0	14:04	0:00
M. Anderson	D	0	0	0	0	3	1	+1	0	21:00	0:05
J. Edmundson	D	0	0	0	1	2	2	+1	0	20:45	0:00
V. Gavrikov	D	0	0	0	1	0	1	+1	0	19:02	0:00
B. Clarke	D	0	0	0	1	0	0	+1	0	15:35	2:41

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
D. Kuemper	27	27	0	1.000	59:36	Win
D. Rittich	0	0	0	–	0:00

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamCorey Perry LAK Faces EDM, his team until Jun 20251 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	EDM 3.1, LAK 3.1	EDM 0, LAK 3
Total goals	6.2	3
Shots on goal	EDM 28.1, LAK 28.5	EDM 27, LAK 29
Win chance	LAK 51%	LAK won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
LAK A. Kempe	2.7	3	0.80	1	33%	0
LAK K. Fiala	2.6	4	0.76	1	28%	1
EDM Z. Hyman	2.6	1	0.61	0	31%	0
LAK W. Foegele	2.4	2	0.55	0	22%	0
EDM V. Arvidsson	2.3	4	0.51	0	20%	0
EDM E. Bouchard	2.2	7	0.68	0	12%	0
LAK T. Moore	2.2	2	0.54	0	22%	0
EDM D. Nurse	2.1	0	0.36	0	8%	0
LAK A. Laferriere	2.1	4	0.39	1	17%	0
EDM J. Skinner	2.1	1	0.50	0	23%	0
LAK Q. Byfield	1.9	4	0.64	0	20%	0
EDM R. Nugent-Hopkins	1.9	0	0.67	0	22%	0
EDM J. Walman	1.9	4	0.36	0	10%	0
LAK P. Danault	1.6	0	0.53	0	17%	0
LAK A. Kuzmenko	1.5	2	0.65	1	26%	1
LAK B. Clarke	1.4	1	0.35	0	6%	0
EDM V. Podkolzin	1.4	1	0.28	0	12%	0
EDM C. Brown	1.3	1	0.30	0	10%	0
EDM B. Kulak	1.3	2	0.24	0	5%	0
LAK D. Doughty	1.3	2	0.51	1	12%	0
EDM A. Henrique	1.3	0	0.38	0	19%	0
LAK A. Kopitar	1.2	0	0.73	0	22%	0
LAK J. Edmundson	1.1	1	0.23	0	6%	0
LAK V. Gavrikov	1.1	1	0.29	0	6%	0
EDM C. Perry	1.1	1	0.29	0	15%	0
EDM T. Frederic	1.0	2	0.25	0	13%	0
LAK M. Anderson	1.0	0	0.25	0	6%	0
EDM K. Kapanen	1.0	0	0.25	0	10%	0
LAK T. Lewis	0.9	1	0.16	1	8%	1
LAK J. Spence	0.9	0	0.27	1	4%	0
EDM M. Janmark	0.8	2	0.24	0	9%	0
LAK J. Malott	0.8	1	0.15	0	8%	0
EDM M. Jones	0.8	0	0.15	0	6%	0
EDM T. Stecher	0.7	1	0.11	0	3%	0
EDM T. Emberson	0.7	0	0.14	0	2%	0
LAK S. Helenius	0.6	1	0.14	0	7%	0

Shots on goal: 20 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.