Game Recap: EDM 8, LAK 1, February 26, 2026

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Game Recap

EDM8

FinalThu, Feb 26, 2026Every game that night

LAK1

EDM beat LAK 8-1, and the chances backed it up: 2.94 expected goals to 1.85. EDM outshot LAK 37 to 22. L. Draisaitl led the way with 4 points (1 G, 3 A). V. Podkolzin had 6 shots on goal against our projection of 1.4. C. Ingram stopped 21 of 22.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
EDM	2	3	3	8
LAK	1	0	0	1

1st 7:25EDMT. Emberson0.05 xG
1st 8:19EDMV. Podkolzin0.03 xG
1st 12:15LAKW. Foegele0.01 xG
2nd 2:59EDMA. Mangiapane0.11 xG
2nd 4:58EDMC. McDavid0.07 xG
2nd 8:44EDMZ. HymanPP0.04 xG
3rd 0:31EDML. DraisaitlPP0.07 xG
3rd 5:24EDMJ. Walman0.03 xG
3rd 7:36EDMJ. Walman0.05 xG

Team Stats

EDMLAK

37Shots on goal22

2.94Expected goals1.85

63Shot attempts52

345v5 shots on goal19

2/3Power play0/2

11Hits21

14Blocked shots11

4Penalty minutes6

10Giveaways12

4Takeaways3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

EDM 2.94 xGLAK 1.85 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

EDM37 on goal, 8 scored

LAK22 on goal, 1 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

EDM Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
L. Draisaitl	C	1	3	4	1	0	0	+2	0	14:52	2:40
Z. Hyman	LW	1	2	3	3	1	0	+1	0	17:35	2:40
C. McDavid	C	1	1	2	3	0	0	0	0	20:05	2:38
M. Savoie	C	0	2	2	0	0	1	+2	0	16:33	0:00
A. Mangiapane	LW	1	1	2	3	0	0	+2	0	12:11	0:00
J. Roslovic	C	0	1	1	3	0	1	+3	0	18:26	0:02
V. Podkolzin	RW	1	0	1	6	2	1	+1	0	15:50	0:00
R. Nugent-Hopkins	C	0	0	0	3	0	1	+1	0	19:22	2:38
A. Henrique	C	0	0	0	2	0	1	+1	0	16:37	0:00
T. Frederic	C	0	0	0	3	4	1	0	0	15:56	0:00
C. Lazar	C	0	0	0	0	1	0	+2	0	11:03	0:00
J. Walman	D	2	0	2	4	0	1	+3	0	22:08	0:00
D. Nurse	D	0	1	1	2	0	3	+3	4	21:20	0:02
E. Bouchard	D	0	1	1	1	1	1	+1	0	19:38	2:40
T. Emberson	D	1	0	1	2	1	0	+1	0	18:27	0:00
M. Ekholm	D	0	1	1	1	1	2	+1	0	16:35	0:00
S. Stastney	D	0	0	0	0	0	1	+1	0	19:22	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
C. Ingram	22	21	1	.955	60:00	Win
T. Jarry	0	0	0	–	0:00

LAK Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
W. Foegele	LW	1	0	1	4	0	0	+1	0	16:51	1:19
A. Kempe	RW	0	0	0	1	1	0	-3	0	18:32	2:31
Q. Byfield	RW	0	0	0	2	1	0	-1	0	18:23	2:13
A. Panarin	LW	0	0	0	2	0	0	-1	0	18:11	2:33
A. Kopitar	C	0	0	0	0	2	1	-2	0	17:25	2:00
A. Laferriere	RW	0	0	0	2	5	0	0	2	16:34	1:21
C. Perry	RW	0	0	0	0	0	0	-2	0	16:32	2:29
T. Moore	LW	0	0	0	4	1	1	-2	0	14:46	0:06
T. Ward	RW	0	0	0	3	1	1	-2	0	14:02	1:22
J. Malott	LW	0	0	0	0	4	0	-2	2	12:46	0:00
A. Turcotte	C	0	0	0	1	1	0	-2	0	12:15	0:00
J. Armia	RW	0	0	0	1	0	0	+1	0	4:46	0:00
J. Edmundson	D	0	1	1	0	3	4	-1	0	18:15	0:06
B. Clarke	D	0	0	0	0	0	1	-1	0	22:58	2:32
B. Dumoulin	D	0	0	0	0	0	1	-3	0	20:12	0:00
M. Anderson	D	0	0	0	0	2	1	-1	0	20:05	0:00
C. Ceci	D	0	0	0	1	0	0	-3	0	19:32	0:00
D. Doughty	D	0	0	0	1	0	1	-1	2	15:15	1:28

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
D. Kuemper	15	11	4	.733	26:49	Loss
A. Forsberg	22	18	4	.818	33:11

Lines at 5-on-5

EDM

Line 1R. Nugent-Hopkins14:47C. McDavid15:27Z. Hyman14:55

Line 2M. Savoie14:28L. Draisaitl12:12J. Roslovic18:24

Line 3A. Henrique14:37T. Frederic15:56V. Podkolzin15:50

Line 4A. Mangiapane12:11C. Lazar11:03

Pair 1D. Nurse21:18J. Walman20:40

Pair 2T. Emberson17:22S. Stastney16:58

Pair 3M. Ekholm15:04E. Bouchard15:28

LAK

Line 1A. Kempe14:54A. Panarin15:38A. Laferriere14:51

Line 2T. Moore13:48Q. Byfield14:38T. Ward12:40

Line 3A. Turcotte12:15J. Malott12:46C. Perry14:03

Line 4A. Kopitar15:25W. Foegele14:05

Pair 1B. Clarke20:25J. Edmundson16:46

Pair 2B. Dumoulin20:12C. Ceci18:19

Pair 3D. Doughty12:39M. Anderson18:30

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamCorey Perry LAK Faces EDM, his team until Jun 20250 SOG
BirthdayAlex Turcotte LAK Turns 25 that day1 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	EDM 3.2, LAK 3.1	EDM 8, LAK 1
Total goals	6.3	9
Shots on goal	EDM 28.8, LAK 26.9	EDM 37, LAK 22
Win chance	EDM 52%	EDM won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
EDM C. McDavid	3.5	3	1.50	2	37%	1
LAK A. Panarin	3.2	2	1.31	0	37%	0
EDM Z. Hyman	3.0	3	0.83	3	37%	1
LAK A. Kempe	2.9	1	0.97	0	35%	0
EDM L. Draisaitl	2.8	1	1.29	4	40%	1
EDM E. Bouchard	2.5	1	0.85	1	16%	0
LAK A. Laferriere	2.5	2	0.54	0	22%	0
LAK W. Foegele	2.1	4	0.44	1	21%	1
LAK Q. Byfield	2.0	2	0.64	0	23%	0
LAK B. Clarke	1.9	0	0.58	0	12%	0
EDM R. Nugent-Hopkins	1.9	3	0.79	0	23%	0
LAK T. Moore	1.9	4	0.48	0	20%	0
EDM D. Nurse	1.8	2	0.30	1	7%	0
LAK C. Perry	1.8	0	0.59	0	24%	0
EDM J. Roslovic	1.7	3	0.43	1	18%	0
EDM J. Walman	1.7	4	0.35	2	9%	2
EDM M. Ekholm	1.5	1	0.38	1	8%	0
LAK A. Turcotte	1.5	1	0.38	0	12%	0
EDM V. Podkolzin	1.4	6	0.35	1	13%	1
LAK D. Doughty	1.3	1	0.47	0	11%	0
LAK J. Armia	1.3	1	0.37	0	16%	0
EDM M. Savoie	1.3	0	0.28	2	12%	0
LAK T. Ward	1.2	3	0.31	0	13%	0
LAK A. Kopitar	1.2	0	0.70	0	21%	0
LAK J. Edmundson	1.0	0	0.22	1	4%	0
EDM A. Henrique	1.0	2	0.24	0	12%	0
LAK J. Malott	1.0	0	0.20	0	8%	0
EDM T. Frederic	0.9	3	0.17	0	10%	0
EDM A. Mangiapane	0.8	3	0.22	2	11%	1
LAK B. Dumoulin	0.8	0	0.23	0	4%	0
LAK C. Ceci	0.8	1	0.20	0	4%	0
LAK M. Anderson	0.7	0	0.20	0	4%	0
EDM S. Stastney	0.7	0	0.13	0	3%	0
EDM C. Lazar	0.6	0	0.14	0	6%	0
EDM T. Emberson	0.6	2	0.16	1	2%	1

Shots on goal: 16 of 35 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.