Game Recap: EDM 6, VAN 0, January 17, 2026

Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!

Game Recap

EDM6

FinalSat, Jan 17, 2026Every game that night

VAN0

EDM beat VAN 6-0, and the chances backed it up: 6.43 expected goals to 3.07. J. Roslovic led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). L. Karlsson had 5 shots on goal against our projection of 1.7. T. Jarry stopped 31 of 31.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
EDM	0	6	0	6
VAN	0	0	0	0

2nd 3:11EDMJ. Roslovic0.48 xG
2nd 6:49EDMZ. HymanPP0.15 xG
2nd 11:42EDMK. Kapanen0.19 xG
2nd 14:31EDMJ. Roslovic0.08 xG
2nd 15:08EDMK. Kapanen0.25 xG
2nd 16:34EDMV. Podkolzin0.14 xG

Team Stats

EDMVAN

35Shots on goal31

6.43Expected goals3.07

66Shot attempts52

265v5 shots on goal27

1/4Power play0/1

15Hits19

7Blocked shots8

2Penalty minutes6

13Giveaways19

5Takeaways3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

EDM 6.43 xGVAN 3.07 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

EDM35 on goal, 6 scored

VAN31 on goal, 0 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

EDM Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
R. Nugent-Hopkins	C	0	2	2	1	1	0	+2	0	18:16	5:51
J. Roslovic	C	2	0	2	4	1	0	+2	2	16:55	1:12
K. Kapanen	RW	2	0	2	3	1	0	+2	0	16:34	0:00
C. McDavid	C	0	1	1	1	0	1	+1	0	21:27	5:44
Z. Hyman	LW	1	0	1	3	0	1	+1	0	19:09	5:45
V. Podkolzin	RW	1	0	1	2	1	1	+2	0	13:55	0:00
I. Howard	LW	0	1	1	0	0	0	+1	0	13:26	1:05
M. Savoie	C	0	1	1	1	0	1	+1	0	13:20	1:12
C. Lazar	C	0	1	1	0	3	0	+1	0	10:01	0:00
T. Frederic	C	0	0	0	1	1	0	+2	0	14:01	0:00
M. Janmark	C	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	12:03	0:00
A. Mangiapane	LW	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	9:05	0:00
E. Bouchard	D	0	1	1	4	0	0	+2	0	22:32	5:44
J. Walman	D	0	1	1	4	0	2	0	0	21:29	5:48
T. Emberson	D	0	1	1	1	4	0	+1	0	18:52	0:00
D. Nurse	D	0	0	0	5	0	0	+3	0	22:59	1:11
M. Ekholm	D	0	0	0	2	1	1	+4	0	18:24	1:08
S. Stastney	D	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	15:43	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
T. Jarry	31	31	0	1.000	59:49	Win
C. Pickard	0	0	0	–	0:00

VAN Skaters

Player	Pos	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
C. Garland	RW	0	0	0	-1	2	19:51	0:41
B. Boeser	RW	2	2	0	-3	0	17:12	1:33
E. Pettersson	C	0	0	0	-4	0	16:47	1:35
E. Kane	LW	1	4	0	-1	0	16:26	0:27
D. Kampf	C	2	1	0	0	0	15:41	0:00
A. Räty	C	1	2	0	0	0	15:40	0:00
D. O'Connor	LW	4	0	0	-1	0	14:46	0:00
J. DeBrusk	LW	2	1	0	-1	0	13:47	1:41
L. Ohgren	LW	3	1	0	0	0	12:56	0:19
M. Sasson	C	1	0	0	-1	2	10:57	0:00
L. Karlsson	C	5	1	0	-2	0	10:21	1:19
A. Bains	LW	2	1	0	-1	0	10:01	0:00
M. Pettersson	D	1	2	0	-1	0	23:05	0:00
F. Hronek	D	0	2	4	-2	0	22:05	0:25
T. Myers	D	4	2	1	-1	2	20:00	0:00
Z. Buium	D	1	0	0	-2	0	18:47	1:36
T. Willander	D	1	0	2	-2	0	18:23	0:24
V. Mancini	D	1	0	1	-2	0	16:26	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
N. Tolopilo	35	29	6	.829	59:53	Loss
K. Lankinen	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

EDM

Line 1Z. Hyman13:24C. McDavid15:32V. Podkolzin12:53

Line 2T. Frederic14:01K. Kapanen15:25R. Nugent-Hopkins12:16

Line 3J. Roslovic15:25I. Howard12:03M. Savoie11:27

Line 4M. Janmark11:05C. Lazar9:42A. Mangiapane9:05

Pair 1M. Ekholm16:30E. Bouchard16:02

Pair 2D. Nurse20:46T. Emberson18:23

Pair 3J. Walman14:38S. Stastney15:13

VAN

Line 1E. Kane15:52D. Kampf12:58J. DeBrusk11:16

Line 2B. Boeser12:16E. Pettersson14:32L. Ohgren12:09

Line 3D. O'Connor13:01A. Räty13:42C. Garland17:32

Line 4M. Sasson10:04A. Bains9:43L. Karlsson8:51

Pair 1M. Pettersson17:36F. Hronek18:10

Pair 2T. Myers17:09Z. Buium16:53

Pair 3T. Willander16:28V. Mancini15:38

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamVasily Podkolzin EDM Faces VAN, his team until May 20241 G, 2 SOG
HometownRyan Nugent-Hopkins EDM Plays near home (born in Burnaby)2 A, 1 SOG
HometownTristan Jarry EDM Plays near home (born in Surrey)31 saves on 31, the win

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	EDM 3.6, VAN 3.1	EDM 6, VAN 0
Total goals	6.7	6
Shots on goal	EDM 29.8, VAN 26.8	EDM 35, VAN 31
Win chance	EDM 56%	EDM won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
EDM C. McDavid	3.6	1	1.71	1	39%	0
EDM Z. Hyman	3.0	3	0.90	1	38%	1
EDM E. Bouchard	2.8	4	1.01	1	21%	0
VAN J. DeBrusk	2.4	2	0.55	0	26%	0
VAN E. Kane	2.2	1	0.50	0	23%	0
VAN B. Boeser	2.2	2	0.70	0	29%	0
VAN C. Garland	2.0	0	0.58	0	21%	0
EDM R. Nugent-Hopkins	2.0	1	0.87	2	24%	0
EDM D. Nurse	1.9	5	0.36	0	10%	0
VAN E. Pettersson	1.9	0	0.80	0	28%	0
EDM M. Ekholm	1.7	2	0.46	0	11%	0
EDM J. Roslovic	1.7	4	0.48	2	18%	2
VAN L. Karlsson	1.7	5	0.51	0	19%	0
VAN L. Ohgren	1.6	3	0.26	0	13%	0
EDM J. Walman	1.6	4	0.38	1	11%	0
EDM K. Kapanen	1.6	3	0.41	2	13%	2
EDM V. Podkolzin	1.4	2	0.41	1	15%	1
VAN D. O'Connor	1.4	4	0.34	0	15%	0
VAN M. Sasson	1.3	1	0.33	0	18%	0
VAN F. Hronek	1.3	0	0.49	0	7%	0
EDM I. Howard	1.2	0	0.19	1	10%	0
EDM M. Savoie	1.2	1	0.26	1	11%	0
VAN T. Myers	1.1	4	0.25	0	5%	0
VAN A. Räty	1.1	1	0.33	0	14%	0
VAN D. Kampf	1.0	2	0.27	0	11%	0
VAN T. Willander	1.0	1	0.37	0	7%	0
EDM S. Stastney	0.9	1	0.18	0	4%	0
VAN M. Pettersson	0.9	1	0.30	0	4%	0
EDM A. Mangiapane	0.9	0	0.28	0	13%	0
VAN Z. Buium	0.9	1	0.35	0	6%	0
EDM T. Frederic	0.8	1	0.17	0	9%	0
EDM T. Emberson	0.8	1	0.21	1	4%	0
VAN V. Mancini	0.6	1	0.17	0	4%	0
EDM M. Janmark	0.6	2	0.21	0	7%	0
VAN A. Bains	0.6	2	0.13	0	7%	0
EDM C. Lazar	0.6	0	0.15	1	6%	0

Shots on goal: 19 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.4 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.