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Game Recap
FLA5
FinalSun, Apr 3, 2022Every game that night
BUF3

FLA beat BUF 5-3, and the chances backed it up: 3.74 expected goals to 2.45. FLA outshot BUF 40 to 29. A. Duclair led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). S. Knight stopped 26 of 29.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
FLA0325
BUF1023
  1. 1st 17:13BUFK. Okposo0.05 xG
  2. 2nd 6:18FLAJ. Huberdeau0.17 xG
  3. 2nd 15:55FLAA. Lundell0.04 xG
  4. 2nd 17:01FLAA. Duclair0.07 xG
  5. 3rd 0:57FLAA. Duclair0.15 xG
  6. 3rd 8:25BUFJ. SkinnerPP0.44 xG
  7. 3rd 10:19BUFT. ThompsonPP0.17 xG
  8. 3rd 18:25FLAM. WeegarPP0.16 xG

Team Stats

FLABUF
40Shots on goal29
3.74Expected goals2.45
57Shot attempts48
375v5 shots on goal25
1/3Power play2/2
28Hits12
8Blocked shots6
4Penalty minutes6
9Giveaways9
3Takeaways6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

FLA 3.74 xGBUF 2.45 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.541st2nd3rdBUF goal, 17:13FLA goal, 6:18FLA goal, 15:55FLA goal, 17:01FLA goal, 0:57BUF goal, 8:25BUF goal, 10:19FLA goal, 18:25

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

FLA40 on goal, 5 scored
BUF29 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

FLA Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
A. BarkovC022210+1020:553:41
C. GirouxRW022120+1017:033:03
A. DuclairLW202210+2213:100:49
J. HuberdeauLW101201+1017:163:37
M. MarchmentLW0113100017:121:18
A. LundellC101210+1015:170:58
C. VerhaegheC011420+2012:160:00
S. ReinhartC0002100020:313:40
R. LombergLW0002200013:020:00
S. BennettC000310+1012:521:19
E. LuostarinenC0001000011:050:00
J. ThorntonC0002110011:010:15
M. WeegarD112222+2024:243:49
G. ForslingD011502+2022:221:08
B. ChiarotD0113100016:480:04
B. MontourD0003100019:070:42
R. HaggD000031+1217:090:00
R. GudasD000181+1016:310:27
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
S. Knight29263.89760:00Win
S. Bobrovsky000–0:00

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
C. MittelstadtC022200-1016:141:59
J. SkinnerLW112210-3015:291:59
K. OkposoRW101300+1017:420:00
A. TuchRW011300-2217:401:59
T. ThompsonC101300-3216:071:59
C. EakinC011000+1014:550:00
D. CozensC0001110014:500:00
Z. GirgensonsC000020+1013:470:00
R. AsplundC0004000013:210:00
V. HinostrozaC000211-1012:410:00
P. KrebsC000101-1012:270:00
V. OlofssonLW000200-1011:530:00
M. SamuelssonD0111110221:390:00
R. DahlinD000120-2024:191:59
H. JokiharjuD000221-2022:400:00
C. FitzgeraldD000220+1020:450:00
M. PysykD000001-1014:520:00
J. BrysonD000000-2014:010:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
D. Tokarski40355.87559:19Loss
C. Anderson000–0:00