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Game Recap
FLA4
FinalMon, Jan 16, 2023Every game that night
BUF1

FLA beat BUF 4-1, and the chances backed it up: 3.51 expected goals to 2.43. M. Tkachuk led the way with 3 points (0 G, 3 A). S. Bobrovsky stopped 28 of 29.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
FLA1124
BUF0011
  1. 1st 4:01FLAB. Montour0.07 xG
  2. 2nd 8:04FLAS. Bennett0.20 xG
  3. 3rd 0:34FLAA. Lundell0.08 xG
  4. 3rd 11:27BUFA. Tuch0.04 xG
  5. 3rd 18:22FLAC. VerhaegheEN0.64 xG

Team Stats

FLABUF
34Shots on goal29
3.51Expected goals2.43
54Shot attempts54
305v5 shots on goal25
0/3Power play0/3
27Hits13
16Blocked shots14
8Penalty minutes8
3Giveaways10
3Takeaways10

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

FLA 3.51 xGBUF 2.43 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.541st2nd3rdFLA goal, 4:01FLA goal, 8:04FLA goal, 0:34BUF goal, 11:27FLA goal, 18:22

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

FLA33 on goal, 4 scored
BUF28 on goal, 1 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

FLA Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
M. TkachukLW033302+3217:392:31
C. VerhaegheC112300+3017:082:10
S. ReinhartC0113110020:083:56
A. BarkovC0111100019:573:48
S. BennettC101310+3019:542:48
A. LundellC1014000018:022:02
E. LuostarinenC0002100214:002:05
E. StaalC0000000011:390:02
G. DenisenkoLW0001010010:490:39
N. CousinsC0001210210:330:00
G. SmithRW000121008:520:02
R. LombergLW000240028:360:02
B. MontourD101242+1022:524:11
G. ForslingD011222+2022:061:49
A. EkbladD000112+2024:303:53
M. StaalD000023+1019:120:00
R. GudasD0004410016:380:02
J. MahuraD0001200012:410:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
S. Bobrovsky29281.96660:00Win
A. Lyon000–0:00

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
A. TuchRW101410-3216:342:27
T. JostC0001010019:360:09
C. MittelstadtC000200-2018:191:34
V. OlofssonLW0000110017:492:34
D. CozensC000240-1416:022:11
K. OkposoRW000521+1015:100:08
T. ThompsonC000200-2015:082:55
J. PeterkaRW0002100014:522:14
J. QuinnRW000001-1214:162:08
J. SkinnerLW000300-2012:502:18
Z. GirgensonsC0001100011:030:00
R. AsplundC000300007:270:00
R. DahlinD000131-1027:322:01
H. JokiharjuD000102-2022:000:18
O. PowerD000001-3020:502:43
M. SamuelssonD0001020020:000:00
I. LyubushkinD0001020013:080:00
J. BrysonD0000020012:120:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
U. Luukkonen33303.90959:12Loss
E. Comrie000–0:00