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Game Recap
FLA3
Final/OTThu, May 18, 2023PlayoffsEvery game that night
CAR2

FLA beat CAR 3-2 in overtime despite fewer good chances: 4.63 expected goals to 5.88. C. Verhaeghe led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). S. Bobrovsky stopped 63 of 65.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOT2OT3OT4OTT
FLA02000013
CAR10100002
  1. 1st 19:48CARS. JarvisPP0.15 xG
  2. 2nd 15:28FLAA. Barkov0.09 xG
  3. 2nd 17:43FLAC. Verhaeghe0.04 xG
  4. 3rd 3:47CARS. NoesenPP0.11 xG
  5. 4OT 19:47FLAM. Tkachuk0.06 xG

Team Stats

FLACAR
60Shots on goal65
4.63Expected goals5.88
126Shot attempts145
585v5 shots on goal55
0/3Power play2/6
46Hits35
38Blocked shots39
12Penalty minutes6
11Giveaways15
11Takeaways14

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

FLA 4.63 xGCAR 5.88 xGGoal

01234561st2nd3rdOT2OT3OT4OTCAR goal, 19:48FLA goal, 15:28FLA goal, 17:43CAR goal, 3:47FLA goal, 19:47

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

FLA60 on goal, 3 scored
CAR65 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

FLA Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
C. VerhaegheC112610+2244:592:20
A. BarkovC112350+2044:203:58
A. DuclairLW022801+2235:510:38
M. TkachukLW101330+1040:315:33
S. BennettC011412+1438:333:40
S. ReinhartC0002240040:584:08
A. LundellC0002020037:301:23
E. LuostarinenC0002510033:280:00
N. CousinsC000252+1031:520:00
E. StaalC0002120024:040:00
C. WhiteC0001110021:370:18
R. LombergLW0002210018:460:00
B. MontourD000813+3057:565:51
G. ForslingD000604+1055:410:09
A. EkbladD000241+1252:102:02
M. StaalD000226+1244:440:00
R. GudasD00021260036:230:00
J. MahuraD0003120029:080:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
S. Bobrovsky65632.969139:47Win
A. Lyon000–0:00

CAR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
S. JarvisRW1124030041:326:21
S. AhoC0116010045:566:05
M. NecasC011503-1241:306:25
S. NoesenRW1015600038:476:24
J. MartinookLW000512-1038:300:18
T. TeravainenC000111-2037:280:11
J. FastRW000250-2036:072:19
J. StaalC000433-1035:330:22
J. KotkaniemiC000321-2035:192:38
J. DruryC0006010026:152:25
P. StastnyC0000000024:112:24
D. StepanC0003210020:250:00
B. BurnsD0118510-2254:436:20
J. SlavinD000336-2051:410:00
B. SkjeiD000321-1048:190:23
B. PesceD000234-1247:510:00
S. GostisbehereD0003010035:242:44
J. ChatfieldD0002210033:280:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
F. Andersen60573.950139:43Loss
A. Raanta000–0:00