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Game Recap
FLA2
Final/OTSat, May 20, 2023PlayoffsEvery game that night
CAR1

FLA beat CAR 2-1 in overtime despite fewer good chances: 1.84 expected goals to 3.69. CAR outshot FLA 38 to 26. S. Bobrovsky stopped 37 of 38.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
FLA01012
CAR10001
  1. 1st 1:43CARJ. Chatfield0.12 xG
  2. 2nd 7:43FLAA. Barkov0.06 xG
  3. OT 1:51FLAM. TkachukPP0.12 xG

Team Stats

FLACAR
26Shots on goal38
1.84Expected goals3.69
49Shot attempts69
235v5 shots on goal28
1/3Power play0/3
30Hits24
14Blocked shots16
8Penalty minutes8
10Giveaways8
2Takeaways4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

FLA 1.84 xGCAR 3.69 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.541st2nd3rdOTCAR goal, 1:43FLA goal, 7:43FLA goal, 1:51

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

FLA25 on goal, 2 scored
CAR37 on goal, 1 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

FLA Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
A. BarkovC101310+1220:502:14
S. BennettC0116410219:493:03
M. TkachukLW101432+1219:423:48
S. ReinhartC011112-1019:033:01
C. VerhaegheC000001+1016:520:59
A. DuclairLW0003100015:340:14
A. LundellC000000-1015:340:55
E. LuostarinenC000030-1015:210:00
N. CousinsC0001520014:080:00
E. StaalC000101009:220:13
C. WhiteC000000007:370:10
R. LombergLW000031007:300:13
J. MahuraD0110000014:010:00
B. MontourD0003110024:523:42
G. ForslingD0001010023:190:30
A. EkbladD0002300023:121:48
M. StaalD0001220020:430:00
R. GudasD0000300215:460:10
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
S. Bobrovsky38371.97461:51Win
A. Lyon000–0:00

CAR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
S. AhoC011221+1019:053:29
S. NoesenRW011320+1016:353:28
M. NecasC0001100018:453:34
J. FastRW000000-1018:142:19
S. JarvisRW000241+1017:543:10
J. StaalC000702-1016:540:00
J. KotkaniemiC0001000216:472:31
T. TeravainenC0002120016:400:09
J. MartinookLW000440-1016:260:00
J. DruryC0002200011:282:50
P. StastnyC0005110010:432:18
M. MacEachernLW000020007:080:00
J. ChatfieldD101121+1012:250:00
B. SkjeiD000121-1023:110:10
B. BurnsD0001110223:073:39
B. PesceD000204-1022:030:00
J. SlavinD0003010021:310:00
S. GostisbehereD000101+1416:072:23
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Raanta26242.92361:51Loss
F. Andersen000–0:00