Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!
Game Recap
FLA5
FinalTue, Jan 10, 2023Every game that night
COL4

FLA beat COL 5-4, and the chances backed it up: 4.37 expected goals to 2.74. M. Tkachuk led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). S. Bobrovsky stopped 27 of 31.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
FLA3115
COL1034
  1. 1st 9:07FLAA. Barkov0.09 xG
  2. 1st 11:52FLAB. Montour0.16 xG
  3. 1st 13:47FLAS. BennettPP0.24 xG
  4. 1st 19:06COLA. Cogliano0.15 xG
  5. 2nd 19:08FLAM. Tkachuk0.31 xG
  6. 3rd 6:29COLM. Rantanen0.04 xG
  7. 3rd 6:49COLN. MacKinnon0.02 xG
  8. 3rd 12:07COLJ. Compher0.11 xG
  9. 3rd 16:30FLAM. TkachukPP0.04 xG

Team Stats

FLACOL
37Shots on goal31
4.37Expected goals2.74
64Shot attempts60
295v5 shots on goal27
2/2Power play0/3
29Hits22
16Blocked shots13
15Penalty minutes13
7Giveaways10
8Takeaways4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

FLA 4.37 xGCOL 2.74 xGGoal

012341st2nd3rdFLA goal, 9:07FLA goal, 11:52FLA goal, 13:47COL goal, 19:06FLA goal, 19:08COL goal, 6:29COL goal, 6:49COL goal, 12:07FLA goal, 16:30

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

FLA37 on goal, 5 scored
COL31 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

FLA Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
A. BarkovC112302+2022:012:59
M. TkachukLW202710-1018:322:59
S. BennettC112522-2217:320:38
S. ReinhartC011111+1219:242:59
A. LundellC011611+1219:100:00
C. VerhaegheC011200-2014:090:00
E. LuostarinenC0002110015:090:00
E. StaalC000112-1014:270:00
N. CousinsC000240-1013:060:00
C. WhiteC000121006:450:00
R. LombergLW000010026:220:00
G. SmithRW000210055:390:00
B. MontourD112430+2220:172:59
A. EkbladD000022-2026:182:21
G. ForslingD000012-3025:150:00
M. StaalD000021+1019:530:00
R. GudasD0001610015:360:00
J. MahuraD0000000012:250:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
S. Bobrovsky31274.87160:00Win
A. Lyon000–0:00

COL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
M. RantanenRW112600+1224:034:53
J. CompherLW1125020221:373:05
K. MacDermidLW022120+258:590:00
N. MacKinnonC101310+2026:023:32
E. RodriguesC011200+1021:584:01
A. CoglianoC101320+1011:300:00
A. LehkonenLW0000200223:434:54
A. NewhookC000010-1014:081:09
L. O'ConnorRW0000100210:390:00
D. HelmC000101-109:330:00
M. KautRW000120007:461:19
B. MeyersC000102006:480:00
C. MakarD0114220030:395:00
S. GirardD011023+1020:411:11
B. HuntD011010+2011:340:00
D. ToewsD000331-3025:470:56
E. JohnsonD0001210015:540:00
J. MacDonaldD000011005:000:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Georgiev37335.89258:40Loss
P. Francouz000–0:00