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Game Recap
FLA5
FinalThu, Mar 30, 2023Every game that night
MTL2

FLA beat MTL 5-2, and the chances backed it up: 4.29 expected goals to 1.53. FLA outshot MTL 30 to 20. M. Tkachuk scored three for FLA. A. Lyon stopped 18 of 20.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
FLA1225
MTL1012
  1. 1st 1:23MTLS. Farrell0.02 xG
  2. 1st 4:09FLAA. Lundell0.26 xG
  3. 2nd 3:59FLAM. TkachukPP0.13 xG
  4. 2nd 5:57FLAM. Tkachuk0.07 xG
  5. 3rd 10:15FLAA. Lundell0.17 xG
  6. 3rd 18:35MTLR. Harvey-PinardPP0.09 xG
  7. 3rd 19:40FLAM. TkachukEN0.46 xG

Team Stats

FLAMTL
30Shots on goal20
4.29Expected goals1.53
59Shot attempts50
275v5 shots on goal17
1/2Power play1/2
20Hits18
20Blocked shots14
4Penalty minutes4
10Giveaways22
5Takeaways5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

FLA 4.29 xGMTL 1.53 xGGoal

012341st2nd3rdMTL goal, 1:23FLA goal, 4:09FLA goal, 3:59FLA goal, 5:57FLA goal, 10:15MTL goal, 18:35FLA goal, 19:40

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

FLA30 on goal, 5 scored
MTL20 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

FLA Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
M. TkachukLW314421+3019:072:36
A. LundellC213600+2015:150:00
S. ReinhartC022201+1017:092:10
A. BarkovC011111+1020:082:11
E. LuostarinenC011111+1016:250:36
E. StaalC0002000015:410:00
C. VerhaegheC0003000015:410:37
R. LombergLW000101+1015:340:00
A. DuclairLW0001120013:580:38
G. SmithRW0000100010:000:00
N. CousinsC000030009:550:00
C. WhiteC000121008:400:00
B. MontourD0112000222:032:18
A. EkbladD011112+2021:212:09
G. ForslingD000201+2022:030:29
M. StaalD0000220018:470:00
R. GudasD000154+1218:360:11
J. MahuraD000213+1017:200:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Lyon20182.90060:00Win
M. Guzda000–0:00

MTL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
R. Harvey-PinardLW101211-3018:571:20
M. HoffmanC011001-4017:111:12
J. EvansC011000+1015:170:00
S. FarrellC1011000014:451:05
N. SuzukiC000011-3019:541:13
J. DrouinLW000201-2015:311:21
B. GallagherRW0002100015:201:19
D. GurianovRW0001210013:510:57
J. YlonenRW0000010013:320:00
A. BelzileRW0001100013:040:58
M. PezzettaLW0001510212:140:00
C. TierneyC0002010011:520:00
M. MathesonD011320-3029:161:19
J. HarrisD0001130021:000:00
J. EdmundsonD0000210020:320:00
J. KovacevicD000201-2019:390:00
J. BarronD0001110216:410:58
C. WidemanD000110009:380:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
S. Montembeault29254.86258:59Loss
J. Allen000–0:00