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Game Recap
LAK1
CHI5
CHI beat LAK 5-1, with the chances close: 3.20 expected goals to 3.01. LAK outshot CHI 42 to 19. R. Donato led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). K. Fiala had 8 shots on goal against our projection of 3.3. S. Knight stopped 41 of 42.
Scoring
| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| CHI | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
- 1st 10:57CHIA. Martinez0.01 xG
- 1st 11:39LAKA. Kopitar0.11 xG
- 2nd 0:46CHII. Mikheyev0.28 xG
- 2nd 13:30CHIE. Del Mastro0.01 xG
- 3rd 1:20CHIA. Athanasiou0.15 xG
- 3rd 18:30CHIR. DonatoEN0.93 xG
Team Stats
LAKCHI
42Shots on goal19
3.01Expected goals3.20
81Shot attempts44
355v5 shots on goal16
0/1Power play0/2
13Hits11
12Blocked shots19
4Penalty minutes2
12Giveaways11
8Takeaways5
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
LAK 3.01 xGCHI 3.20 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
LAK Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Kopitar | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 18:37 | 0:16 |
| A. Kempe | RW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 17:27 | 0:20 |
| A. Turcotte | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 15:04 | 0:00 |
| K. Fiala | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 22:28 | 0:23 |
| Q. Byfield | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 21:15 | 1:44 |
| P. Danault | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 19:25 | 1:40 |
| W. Foegele | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:16 | 1:37 |
| A. Laferriere | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 18:53 | 0:21 |
| T. Moore | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 17:04 | 1:39 |
| T. Lewis | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 6:07 | 0:00 |
| T. Jeannot | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 6:05 | 0:00 |
| D. Doughty | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 24:06 | 0:23 |
| M. Anderson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 22:19 | 0:00 |
| V. Gavrikov | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 21:44 | 0:00 |
| J. Edmundson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 19:23 | 0:00 |
| J. Spence | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 2 | 16:01 | 1:37 |
| J. Moverare | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 7:10 | 0:00 |
| K. Burroughs | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 5:14 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Kuemper | 18 | 14 | 4 | .778 | 58:22 | Loss |
| D. Rittich | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
CHI Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Donato | C | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 19:14 | 2:41 |
| I. Mikheyev | RW | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 16:05 | 0:00 |
| T. Teravainen | C | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 15:29 | 2:42 |
| T. Bertuzzi | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 16:33 | 2:43 |
| C. Dach | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 14:30 | 0:00 |
| P. Maroon | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:49 | 1:17 |
| L. Reichel | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:36 | 1:19 |
| A. Athanasiou | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 11:15 | 0:00 |
| C. Bedard | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 21:21 | 2:40 |
| F. Nazar | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:25 | 1:19 |
| L. Slaggert | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15:07 | 0:00 |
| C. Smith | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:43 | 1:18 |
| E. Del Mastro | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 19:18 | 0:00 |
| A. Martinez | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 15:30 | 1:20 |
| A. Vlasic | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 25:10 | 2:41 |
| C. Murphy | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 22:36 | 0:00 |
| L. Crevier | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17:19 | 0:00 |
| W. Kaiser | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 16:06 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Knight | 42 | 41 | 1 | .976 | 59:54 | Win |
| A. Soderblom | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | LAK 3.2, CHI 2.4 | LAK 1, CHI 5 |
| Total goals | 5.6 | 6 |
| Shots on goal | LAK 30.3, CHI 23.5 | LAK 42, CHI 19 |
| Win chance | LAK 62% | CHI won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK A. Kempe | 3.3 | 3 | 0.98 | 1 | 38% | 0 |
| LAK K. Fiala | 3.3 | 8 | 0.98 | 0 | 35% | 0 |
| LAK W. Foegele | 2.7 | 7 | 0.61 | 0 | 25% | 0 |
| LAK A. Laferriere | 2.6 | 5 | 0.56 | 0 | 23% | 0 |
| LAK T. Moore | 2.5 | 2 | 0.63 | 0 | 25% | 0 |
| CHI C. Bedard | 2.4 | 2 | 0.83 | 0 | 25% | 0 |
| CHI R. Donato | 2.4 | 2 | 0.67 | 2 | 24% | 1 |
| LAK Q. Byfield | 2.2 | 3 | 0.73 | 0 | 21% | 0 |
| CHI T. Bertuzzi | 1.9 | 2 | 0.61 | 1 | 25% | 0 |
| LAK P. Danault | 1.9 | 1 | 0.63 | 0 | 20% | 0 |
| CHI I. Mikheyev | 1.7 | 2 | 0.40 | 2 | 19% | 1 |
| CHI T. Teravainen | 1.6 | 2 | 0.71 | 2 | 23% | 0 |
| LAK D. Doughty | 1.6 | 1 | 0.62 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| CHI F. Nazar | 1.6 | 1 | 0.45 | 0 | 15% | 0 |
| CHI C. Smith | 1.5 | 0 | 0.29 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| LAK A. Kopitar | 1.5 | 3 | 0.83 | 1 | 24% | 1 |
| LAK V. Gavrikov | 1.4 | 0 | 0.35 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| CHI A. Athanasiou | 1.4 | 1 | 0.31 | 1 | 14% | 1 |
| LAK M. Anderson | 1.2 | 0 | 0.29 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| LAK J. Edmundson | 1.2 | 4 | 0.24 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| LAK T. Lewis | 1.2 | 1 | 0.20 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| LAK A. Turcotte | 1.2 | 1 | 0.31 | 1 | 11% | 0 |
| CHI C. Murphy | 1.1 | 0 | 0.24 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| CHI C. Dach | 1.1 | 0 | 0.29 | 1 | 12% | 0 |
| CHI A. Vlasic | 1.1 | 1 | 0.29 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| CHI L. Slaggert | 1.1 | 1 | 0.24 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| CHI A. Martinez | 1.0 | 1 | 0.27 | 1 | 7% | 1 |
| CHI W. Kaiser | 1.0 | 0 | 0.18 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| LAK J. Spence | 1.0 | 2 | 0.32 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| CHI L. Reichel | 1.0 | 0 | 0.27 | 1 | 10% | 0 |
| CHI P. Maroon | 0.9 | 1 | 0.24 | 1 | 8% | 0 |
| LAK T. Jeannot | 0.9 | 1 | 0.23 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| CHI L. Crevier | 0.8 | 1 | 0.15 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| LAK J. Moverare | 0.6 | 0 | 0.13 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| CHI E. Mastro | 0.6 | 2 | 0.19 | 1 | 5% | 1 |
| LAK K. Burroughs | 0.3 | 0 | 0.04 | 0 | 1% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 23 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.2 more than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.