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Game Recap
LAK3
CHI1
LAK beat CHI 3-1, and the chances backed it up: 2.83 expected goals to 1.39. LAK outshot CHI 33 to 17. J. Edmundson had 4 shots on goal against our projection of 1.1. D. Kuemper stopped 16 of 17.
Team Stats
LAKCHI
33Shots on goal17
2.83Expected goals1.39
60Shot attempts42
295v5 shots on goal13
0/2Power play1/4
19Hits22
10Blocked shots8
8Penalty minutes4
11Giveaways15
3Takeaways7
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
LAK 2.83 xGCHI 1.39 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
LAK Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Moore | LW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 15:37 | 1:03 |
| A. Turcotte | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 8:05 | 0:07 |
| Q. Byfield | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:30 | 1:26 |
| A. Kopitar | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18:14 | 0:49 |
| A. Kempe | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:48 | 0:59 |
| K. Fiala | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:38 | 1:20 |
| P. Danault | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 16:05 | 1:11 |
| A. Laferriere | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:51 | 0:12 |
| A. Kuzmenko | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:12 | 1:04 |
| W. Foegele | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 14:21 | 0:55 |
| S. Helenius | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 9:22 | 0:00 |
| T. Jeannot | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 8:38 | 0:00 |
| V. Gavrikov | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 20:50 | 0:08 |
| J. Edmundson | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:55 | 0:00 |
| J. Spence | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:28 | 0:09 |
| D. Doughty | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 24:06 | 1:05 |
| M. Anderson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 23:24 | 0:00 |
| B. Clarke | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:16 | 1:22 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Kuemper | 17 | 16 | 1 | .941 | 60:00 | Win |
| D. Rittich | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
CHI Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Bedard | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 22:38 | 4:43 |
| T. Teravainen | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 19:32 | 4:25 |
| T. Bertuzzi | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 15:27 | 4:41 |
| R. Donato | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 21:42 | 4:39 |
| I. Mikheyev | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:47 | 1:20 |
| F. Nazar | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16:39 | 1:37 |
| J. Dickinson | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:03 | 0:00 |
| N. Foligno | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 13:42 | 0:00 |
| J. Veleno | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 13:01 | 0:00 |
| C. Dach | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 11:27 | 1:21 |
| L. Slaggert | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 9:31 | 0:00 |
| L. Reichel | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 9:17 | 1:10 |
| A. Vlasic | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 23:33 | 2:59 |
| W. Kaiser | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 21:35 | 0:12 |
| E. Del Mastro | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:37 | 0:00 |
| A. Levshunov | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 17:37 | 3:03 |
| C. Murphy | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17:16 | 0:00 |
| A. Martinez | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 15:00 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Knight | 32 | 30 | 2 | .938 | 58:36 | Loss |
| A. Soderblom | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | LAK 3.3, CHI 2.5 | LAK 3, CHI 1 |
| Total goals | 5.8 | 4 |
| Shots on goal | LAK 30.6, CHI 23.5 | LAK 33, CHI 17 |
| Win chance | LAK 63% | LAK won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK A. Kempe | 3.0 | 3 | 0.93 | 0 | 37% | 0 |
| LAK K. Fiala | 2.9 | 2 | 0.90 | 0 | 32% | 0 |
| LAK W. Foegele | 2.5 | 3 | 0.60 | 0 | 24% | 0 |
| LAK A. Laferriere | 2.3 | 1 | 0.46 | 0 | 20% | 0 |
| LAK T. Moore | 2.2 | 5 | 0.60 | 1 | 24% | 1 |
| CHI R. Donato | 2.2 | 1 | 0.66 | 0 | 24% | 0 |
| CHI C. Bedard | 2.1 | 1 | 0.70 | 1 | 22% | 1 |
| LAK Q. Byfield | 2.0 | 3 | 0.72 | 0 | 22% | 0 |
| LAK P. Danault | 1.8 | 1 | 0.62 | 0 | 20% | 0 |
| CHI I. Mikheyev | 1.6 | 0 | 0.40 | 0 | 19% | 0 |
| LAK A. Kuzmenko | 1.5 | 1 | 0.67 | 0 | 28% | 0 |
| LAK D. Doughty | 1.5 | 2 | 0.62 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| LAK B. Clarke | 1.5 | 2 | 0.41 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| CHI F. Nazar | 1.4 | 1 | 0.41 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| CHI T. Bertuzzi | 1.4 | 0 | 0.48 | 1 | 20% | 0 |
| LAK A. Kopitar | 1.4 | 0 | 0.82 | 0 | 24% | 0 |
| CHI T. Teravainen | 1.4 | 0 | 0.66 | 1 | 21% | 0 |
| CHI N. Foligno | 1.3 | 1 | 0.38 | 0 | 15% | 0 |
| LAK V. Gavrikov | 1.2 | 1 | 0.34 | 1 | 6% | 0 |
| LAK M. Anderson | 1.2 | 1 | 0.31 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| CHI L. Slaggert | 1.2 | 1 | 0.24 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| CHI C. Dach | 1.1 | 0 | 0.31 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| LAK J. Edmundson | 1.1 | 4 | 0.23 | 1 | 5% | 1 |
| CHI C. Murphy | 1.1 | 1 | 0.22 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| CHI A. Vlasic | 1.0 | 2 | 0.29 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| CHI W. Kaiser | 1.0 | 0 | 0.20 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| CHI J. Dickinson | 1.0 | 2 | 0.30 | 0 | 14% | 0 |
| LAK A. Turcotte | 0.9 | 1 | 0.25 | 1 | 9% | 1 |
| CHI L. Reichel | 0.9 | 2 | 0.28 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| LAK J. Spence | 0.9 | 0 | 0.27 | 1 | 3% | 0 |
| CHI E. Mastro | 0.8 | 2 | 0.23 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| CHI J. Veleno | 0.8 | 2 | 0.20 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| CHI A. Martinez | 0.8 | 0 | 0.21 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| LAK T. Jeannot | 0.7 | 2 | 0.19 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| LAK S. Helenius | 0.6 | 1 | 0.13 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 19 of 35 players within one of their projection; they took 0.0 fewer than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.