Game Recap: LAK 5, MTL 1, November 11, 2025

Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!

Game Recap

LAK5

FinalTue, Nov 11, 2025Every game that night

MTL1

LAK beat MTL 5-1, and the chances backed it up: 3.98 expected goals to 2.34. Q. Byfield led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). Q. Byfield had 5 shots on goal against our projection of 2.2. D. Kuemper stopped 21 of 22.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
LAK	0	3	2	5
MTL	1	0	0	1

1st 19:17MTLJ. Anderson0.04 xG
2nd 1:17LAKJ. Edmundson0.02 xG
2nd 4:17LAKQ. Byfield0.47 xG
2nd 5:22LAKK. Fiala0.33 xG
3rd 11:08LAKJ. Armia0.18 xG
3rd 15:32LAKW. FoegeleEN0.56 xG

Team Stats

LAKMTL

26Shots on goal22

3.98Expected goals2.34

61Shot attempts57

205v5 shots on goal17

0/3Power play0/3

10Hits21

16Blocked shots15

4Penalty minutes6

9Giveaways18

3Takeaways6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

LAK 3.98 xGMTL 2.34 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

LAK26 on goal, 5 scored

MTL21 on goal, 1 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

LAK Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
Q. Byfield	RW	1	1	2	5	0	0	+2	0	19:55	2:30
K. Fiala	LW	1	0	1	3	1	0	+2	0	18:29	3:54
A. Kempe	RW	0	1	1	4	0	0	+3	0	17:35	4:10
A. Laferriere	RW	0	1	1	2	3	0	+1	0	17:35	1:50
P. Danault	C	0	1	1	2	0	1	+1	0	17:04	1:52
A. Kopitar	C	0	1	1	0	0	1	+3	0	17:01	3:24
J. Armia	RW	1	0	1	1	1	1	+2	0	14:04	0:00
W. Foegele	LW	1	0	1	1	0	2	0	0	13:23	0:00
T. Moore	LW	0	0	0	2	0	2	+1	0	14:54	0:06
C. Perry	RW	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	14:29	4:08
A. Turcotte	C	0	0	0	0	0	1	-1	0	10:18	0:00
A. Kuzmenko	LW	0	0	0	0	0	0	-1	0	7:32	3:56
J. Edmundson	D	1	1	2	3	0	2	+2	0	15:48	0:00
B. Clarke	D	0	1	1	2	1	0	+2	2	17:37	2:04
D. Doughty	D	0	0	0	0	0	1	+2	0	21:15	2:00
M. Anderson	D	0	0	0	0	1	2	+2	0	20:32	0:00
C. Ceci	D	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	18:59	0:00
B. Dumoulin	D	0	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	18:30	0:06

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
D. Kuemper	22	21	1	.955	59:02	Win
A. Forsberg	0	0	0	–	0:00

MTL Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
J. Anderson	RW	1	0	1	2	1	0	-1	0	17:01	0:05
J. Evans	C	0	1	1	2	1	0	-1	0	15:17	0:05
N. Suzuki	C	0	0	0	3	2	3	-1	0	18:12	3:11
C. Caufield	RW	0	0	0	1	0	0	-1	0	16:19	3:13
I. Demidov	RW	0	0	0	1	0	0	-1	0	15:45	3:15
K. Dach	C	0	0	0	1	2	1	-2	4	15:43	1:29
A. Newhook	C	0	0	0	1	2	0	-1	2	15:04	1:24
B. Gallagher	RW	0	0	0	1	0	0	-1	0	14:24	1:43
Z. Bolduc	RW	0	0	0	0	2	2	-2	0	14:20	1:33
J. Slafkovský	LW	0	0	0	1	2	0	-1	0	12:12	1:47
O. Kapanen	C	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	12:10	0:00
J. Veleno	C	0	0	0	1	4	0	-1	0	10:57	0:00
L. Hutson	D	0	1	1	1	0	2	-3	0	22:33	3:22
M. Matheson	D	0	0	0	0	0	0	-1	0	24:29	0:45
N. Dobson	D	0	0	0	3	0	4	-2	0	22:31	2:28
A. Carrier	D	0	0	0	2	0	3	0	0	19:12	0:00
J. Struble	D	0	0	0	0	3	0	-2	0	15:03	0:00
A. Xhekaj	D	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	13:09	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
S. Montembeault	25	21	4	.840	59:39	Loss
J. Dobes	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

LAK

Line 1A. Kopitar11:16A. Kempe12:50J. Armia13:14

Line 2Q. Byfield14:04A. Laferriere13:34K. Fiala13:37

Line 3T. Moore12:59P. Danault14:18W. Foegele13:02

Line 4C. Perry10:21A. Turcotte10:16

Pair 1D. Doughty18:17M. Anderson17:15

Pair 2B. Dumoulin16:25C. Ceci17:35

Pair 3B. Clarke14:20J. Edmundson11:56

MTL

Line 1N. Suzuki13:18C. Caufield12:45J. Slafkovský10:04

Line 2K. Dach13:14Z. Bolduc11:47B. Gallagher11:41

Line 3J. Anderson13:31J. Evans11:49J. Veleno10:57

Line 4A. Newhook11:58O. Kapanen10:06I. Demidov12:09

Pair 1L. Hutson18:48J. Struble15:03

Pair 2M. Matheson17:51N. Dobson16:00

Pair 3A. Carrier15:56A. Xhekaj11:58

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamJoel Armia LAK Faces MTL, his team until Apr 20251 G, 1 SOG
Old teamPhillip Danault MTL Faces LAK, his team until Dec 20251 A, 2 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	LAK 3.1, MTL 3.0	LAK 5, MTL 1
Total goals	6.1	6
Shots on goal	LAK 27.8, MTL 25.6	LAK 26, MTL 22
Win chance	LAK 52%	LAK won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
LAK K. Fiala	3.2	3	0.85	1	33%	1
LAK A. Kempe	2.9	4	0.91	1	35%	0
MTL C. Caufield	2.8	1	0.78	0	33%	0
LAK A. Laferriere	2.3	2	0.50	1	20%	0
LAK Q. Byfield	2.2	5	0.74	2	24%	1
LAK T. Moore	2.1	2	0.50	0	22%	0
MTL N. Dobson	2.0	3	0.52	0	9%	0
MTL N. Suzuki	2.0	3	0.88	0	26%	0
MTL J. Slafkovský	1.9	1	0.59	0	21%	0
LAK C. Perry	1.9	1	0.55	0	26%	0
LAK W. Foegele	1.7	1	0.36	1	17%	1
LAK B. Clarke	1.7	2	0.42	1	8%	0
MTL M. Matheson	1.7	0	0.41	0	9%	0
MTL B. Gallagher	1.5	1	0.39	0	15%	0
MTL Z. Bolduc	1.5	0	0.38	0	18%	0
MTL A. Newhook	1.4	1	0.42	0	18%	0
LAK P. Danault	1.4	2	0.52	1	17%	0
MTL J. Anderson	1.4	2	0.30	1	16%	1
LAK A. Kuzmenko	1.4	0	0.55	0	23%	0
LAK D. Doughty	1.4	0	0.50	0	11%	0
LAK A. Kopitar	1.3	0	0.77	1	23%	0
MTL K. Dach	1.3	1	0.36	0	14%	0
MTL L. Hutson	1.2	1	0.74	1	6%	0
LAK J. Armia	1.2	1	0.32	1	14%	1
MTL O. Kapanen	1.1	1	0.38	0	15%	0
MTL I. Demidov	1.1	1	0.59	0	16%	0
MTL J. Evans	1.0	2	0.36	1	12%	0
LAK J. Edmundson	1.0	3	0.21	2	4%	1
MTL A. Carrier	1.0	2	0.28	0	4%	0
MTL J. Veleno	0.9	1	0.22	0	10%	0
LAK C. Ceci	0.9	0	0.22	0	4%	0
LAK A. Turcotte	0.9	0	0.24	0	8%	0
LAK B. Dumoulin	0.8	0	0.22	0	4%	0
LAK M. Anderson	0.8	0	0.24	0	5%	0
MTL A. Xhekaj	0.8	1	0.10	0	3%	0
MTL J. Struble	0.7	0	0.20	0	3%	0

Shots on goal: 25 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.2 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.