LAK beat NYI 3-1, with the chances close: 3.20 expected goals to 2.46. LAK outshot NYI 30 to 20. A. Kempe led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). A. Lee had 6 shots on goal against our projection of 2.4. D. Kuemper stopped 19 of 20.
Team Stats
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
LAK 3.20 xGNYI 2.46 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
LAK Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Kempe | RW | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 19:17 | 1:24 |
| K. Fiala | LW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:39 | 2:00 |
| A. Kopitar | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 19:11 | 1:24 |
| T. Moore | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 16:43 | 0:00 |
| A. Turcotte | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 9:44 | 0:36 |
| P. Danault | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19:34 | 0:36 |
| Q. Byfield | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 18:22 | 1:24 |
| W. Foegele | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:51 | 0:00 |
| A. Laferriere | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 15:00 | 0:36 |
| T. Jeannot | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13:47 | 0:00 |
| S. Helenius | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 7:32 | 0:00 |
| M. Anderson | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 26:56 | 0:00 |
| J. Edmundson | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 21:42 | 0:00 |
| V. Gavrikov | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 25:44 | 0:00 |
| J. Spence | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:34 | 0:36 |
| B. Clarke | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:09 | 1:24 |
| J. Moverare | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:00 | 0:00 |
| K. Burroughs | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 5:30 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Kuemper | 20 | 19 | 1 | .950 | 59:45 | Win |
| D. Rittich | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
NYI Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Nelson | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:36 | 3:24 |
| K. Palmieri | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:27 | 3:21 |
| A. Lee | LW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:37 | 3:10 |
| B. Horvat | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 20:45 | 3:37 |
| M. Tsyplakov | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 0 | 18:31 | 2:13 |
| J. Pageau | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 17:29 | 2:08 |
| S. Holmstrom | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 16:58 | 2:27 |
| C. Cizikas | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 13:04 | 0:23 |
| P. Engvall | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:13 | 0:05 |
| K. MacLean | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:44 | 0:15 |
| O. Wahlstrom | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 8:41 | 0:00 |
| M. Martin | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:46 | 0:08 |
| N. Dobson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26:31 | 4:01 |
| R. Pulock | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 22:32 | 1:51 |
| D. Cholowski | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22:12 | 2:24 |
| A. Romanov | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 21:05 | 0:08 |
| G. Hutton | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:33 | 0:09 |
| I. George | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 7:36 | 0:16 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Sorokin | 29 | 27 | 2 | .931 | 58:40 | Loss |
| M. Hogberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
Storylines That Played Out
As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | LAK 2.8, NYI 2.7 | LAK 3, NYI 1 |
| Total goals | 5.5 | 4 |
| Shots on goal | LAK 28.5, NYI 26.2 | LAK 30, NYI 20 |
| Win chance | LAK 52% | LAK won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK A. Kempe | 3.0 | 1 | 0.88 | 2 | 34% | 1 |
| NYI B. Horvat | 2.7 | 2 | 0.73 | 0 | 31% | 0 |
| LAK K. Fiala | 2.6 | 4 | 0.81 | 1 | 27% | 1 |
| NYI B. Nelson | 2.6 | 0 | 0.76 | 1 | 33% | 0 |
| LAK W. Foegele | 2.5 | 1 | 0.49 | 0 | 20% | 0 |
| NYI K. Palmieri | 2.5 | 2 | 0.68 | 1 | 28% | 0 |
| NYI A. Lee | 2.4 | 6 | 0.59 | 1 | 27% | 1 |
| LAK T. Moore | 2.4 | 1 | 0.58 | 1 | 22% | 0 |
| LAK A. Laferriere | 2.0 | 2 | 0.50 | 0 | 22% | 0 |
| NYI N. Dobson | 2.0 | 2 | 0.58 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| LAK B. Clarke | 2.0 | 0 | 0.43 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| LAK Q. Byfield | 1.7 | 4 | 0.53 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| LAK P. Danault | 1.7 | 3 | 0.52 | 0 | 18% | 0 |
| NYI J. Pageau | 1.5 | 1 | 0.47 | 0 | 18% | 0 |
| LAK A. Kopitar | 1.5 | 0 | 0.84 | 1 | 24% | 0 |
| NYI M. Tsyplakov | 1.4 | 1 | 0.49 | 0 | 17% | 0 |
| LAK V. Gavrikov | 1.4 | 1 | 0.37 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| NYI R. Pulock | 1.3 | 0 | 0.33 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| LAK M. Anderson | 1.3 | 3 | 0.29 | 1 | 6% | 1 |
| NYI O. Wahlstrom | 1.3 | 1 | 0.25 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| NYI A. Romanov | 1.2 | 1 | 0.25 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| NYI P. Engvall | 1.2 | 0 | 0.30 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| LAK J. Edmundson | 1.2 | 1 | 0.23 | 1 | 6% | 0 |
| LAK J. Spence | 1.2 | 2 | 0.30 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| NYI S. Holmstrom | 1.1 | 0 | 0.40 | 0 | 19% | 0 |
| LAK T. Jeannot | 1.0 | 3 | 0.24 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| NYI G. Hutton | 0.9 | 0 | 0.13 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| LAK A. Turcotte | 0.9 | 3 | 0.25 | 1 | 9% | 0 |
| NYI C. Cizikas | 0.9 | 2 | 0.22 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| NYI D. Cholowski | 0.8 | 1 | 0.28 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| NYI M. Martin | 0.7 | 1 | 0.13 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| NYI K. MacLean | 0.7 | 0 | 0.22 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| LAK S. Helenius | 0.6 | 1 | 0.18 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| LAK J. Moverare | 0.6 | 0 | 0.07 | 0 | 2% | 0 |
| NYI I. George | 0.6 | 0 | 0.19 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| LAK K. Burroughs | 0.6 | 0 | 0.08 | 0 | 2% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 19 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 fewer than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.