Game Recap: LAK 3, NYI 2, March 13, 2026

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Game Recap

LAK3

FinalFri, Mar 13, 2026Every game that night

NYI2

LAK beat NYI 3-2, with the chances close: 3.42 expected goals to 3.36. E. Heineman led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). D. Kuemper stopped 21 of 23.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
LAK	3	0	0	3
NYI	0	1	1	2

1st 3:33LAKT. Moore0.13 xG
1st 13:07LAKA. Kopitar0.32 xG
1st 18:28LAKA. Kempe0.20 xG
2nd 10:46NYIE. Heineman0.05 xG
3rd 3:38NYIE. Heineman0.09 xG

Team Stats

LAKNYI

27Shots on goal23

3.42Expected goals3.36

59Shot attempts72

195v5 shots on goal17

0/3Power play0/3

23Hits23

23Blocked shots14

10Penalty minutes8

11Giveaways9

4Takeaways5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

LAK 3.42 xGNYI 3.36 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

LAK27 on goal, 3 scored

NYI23 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

LAK Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
A. Kopitar	C	1	0	1	3	1	1	+2	0	20:53	3:46
A. Panarin	LW	0	1	1	4	0	1	+1	0	19:49	5:13
T. Moore	LW	1	0	1	3	0	3	0	0	19:01	2:15
A. Kempe	RW	1	0	1	4	1	1	+1	0	17:35	3:35
A. Turcotte	C	0	1	1	0	1	1	+1	0	12:15	0:00
A. Laferriere	RW	0	0	0	2	2	1	-1	0	19:24	3:08
Q. Byfield	RW	0	0	0	4	0	0	-1	0	19:05	2:57
S. Laughton	C	0	0	0	3	4	1	0	4	18:05	2:10
J. Wright	RW	0	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	12:14	0:00
S. Helenius	C	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	7:46	0:06
T. Ward	RW	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	7:04	0:36
J. Malott	LW	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	6:44	0:04
M. Anderson	D	0	1	1	0	2	5	+1	0	23:44	0:00
D. Doughty	D	0	0	0	0	1	1	+1	2	23:28	2:11
B. Clarke	D	0	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	19:15	3:39
J. Edmundson	D	0	0	0	0	1	3	-1	0	17:36	0:00
C. Ceci	D	0	0	0	1	1	3	+1	0	16:12	0:07
B. Dumoulin	D	0	0	0	0	0	0	+1	2	14:11	0:13

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
D. Kuemper	23	21	2	.913	59:35	Win
A. Forsberg	0	0	0	–	0:00

NYI Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
B. Horvat	C	0	2	2	1	0	1	+1	2	23:37	3:43
E. Heineman	LW	2	0	2	2	5	0	+1	0	15:44	0:00
M. Barzal	C	0	0	0	3	1	0	+1	0	24:56	3:51
J. Pageau	C	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	17:59	0:25
B. Schenn	C	0	0	0	1	3	3	-1	2	17:36	3:31
S. Holmstrom	RW	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	16:56	0:13
C. Ritchie	C	0	0	0	0	0	1	-1	0	15:46	3:39
A. Lee	LW	0	0	0	3	2	0	-1	0	15:08	0:25
O. Palat	LW	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	9:50	0:00
C. Cizikas	C	0	0	0	0	1	0	-1	0	8:38	0:00
M. Shabanov	RW	0	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	7:12	0:00
M. Gatcomb	C	0	0	0	1	4	1	-1	0	6:20	0:00
M. Schaefer	D	0	1	1	3	0	1	0	2	29:24	3:40
A. Pelech	D	0	1	1	2	1	1	0	0	24:14	0:33
R. Pulock	D	0	0	0	3	1	1	-1	0	22:25	0:04
T. DeAngelo	D	0	0	0	1	0	1	+1	0	20:01	0:20
S. Mayfield	D	0	0	0	0	0	2	-1	0	9:27	0:00
C. Soucy	D	0	0	0	0	0	1	-1	2	9:11	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
I. Sorokin	27	24	3	.889	57:36	Loss
D. Rittich	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

LAK

Line 1A. Kopitar14:15A. Panarin13:49A. Kempe11:47

Line 2A. Laferriere13:30T. Moore12:53Q. Byfield11:38

Line 3A. Turcotte12:12J. Wright12:11S. Laughton12:16

Line 4J. Malott6:40S. Helenius7:40T. Ward6:28

Pair 1D. Doughty18:02M. Anderson20:02

Pair 2J. Edmundson12:51B. Clarke14:25

Pair 3B. Dumoulin13:17C. Ceci11:59

NYI

Line 1B. Horvat14:51E. Heineman14:36M. Barzal17:41

Line 2A. Lee12:39J. Pageau13:15S. Holmstrom12:01

Line 3B. Schenn11:14O. Palat9:39C. Ritchie9:48

Line 4C. Cizikas6:03M. Gatcomb6:20M. Shabanov7:12

Pair 1R. Pulock17:15M. Schaefer21:52

Pair 2A. Pelech18:23T. DeAngelo17:58

Pair 3S. Mayfield8:01C. Soucy7:07

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

HometownAlex Laferriere LAK Plays near home (born in Chatham)2 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	LAK 2.8, NYI 3.0	LAK 3, NYI 2
Total goals	5.8	5
Shots on goal	LAK 26.5, NYI 29.0	LAK 27, NYI 23
Win chance	NYI 54%	LAK won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
NYI B. Horvat	3.5	1	0.86	2	35%	0
LAK A. Panarin	3.0	4	1.09	1	33%	0
LAK A. Kempe	2.9	4	0.88	1	34%	1
LAK A. Laferriere	2.8	2	0.52	0	22%	0
NYI M. Barzal	2.5	3	0.96	0	24%	0
NYI A. Lee	2.5	3	0.54	0	23%	0
NYI M. Schaefer	2.4	3	0.73	1	20%	0
LAK T. Moore	2.3	3	0.50	1	21%	1
LAK Q. Byfield	2.1	4	0.58	0	21%	0
LAK B. Clarke	2.0	1	0.54	0	10%	0
NYI E. Heineman	2.0	2	0.38	2	20%	2
NYI T. DeAngelo	2.0	1	0.50	0	9%	0
NYI B. Schenn	1.7	1	0.60	0	21%	0
NYI C. Ritchie	1.5	0	0.47	0	17%	0
NYI S. Holmstrom	1.5	1	0.60	0	22%	0
NYI A. Pelech	1.4	2	0.26	1	4%	0
LAK A. Kopitar	1.4	3	0.71	1	22%	1
LAK D. Doughty	1.4	0	0.45	0	10%	0
NYI O. Palat	1.4	0	0.37	0	15%	0
LAK S. Laughton	1.3	3	0.35	0	15%	0
NYI J. Pageau	1.3	1	0.49	0	17%	0
NYI M. Shabanov	1.2	1	0.33	0	10%	0
LAK T. Ward	1.2	0	0.20	0	10%	0
NYI R. Pulock	1.1	3	0.31	0	6%	0
LAK A. Turcotte	1.1	0	0.24	1	8%	0
LAK J. Edmundson	1.1	0	0.21	0	4%	0
NYI C. Cizikas	1.0	0	0.23	0	9%	0
NYI M. Gatcomb	1.0	1	0.18	0	10%	0
LAK J. Wright	0.9	2	0.22	0	9%	0
LAK M. Anderson	0.9	0	0.24	1	5%	0
LAK J. Malott	0.8	0	0.15	0	6%	0
LAK C. Ceci	0.8	1	0.19	0	3%	0
NYI C. Soucy	0.8	0	0.15	0	5%	0
LAK B. Dumoulin	0.8	0	0.22	0	3%	0
NYI S. Mayfield	0.8	0	0.14	0	3%	0
LAK S. Helenius	0.7	0	0.18	0	9%	0

Shots on goal: 19 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.2 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.